Farmers' Almanac predicts 'sizzling' summer in Texas. How accurate is it?

Brandi D. Addison, Lubbock Avalanche-Journal

Last year marked the warmest year on record globally. With several consecutive months experiencing record-high temperatures, many are curious about what to anticipate for the upcoming summer.

If the Farmers' Almanac has predicted correctly, Texans "will see sizzling temperatures."

The almanac, which has been predicting weather (with varying accuracy) since 1818, recently released its extended weather forecast for the upcoming summer, titled "Summer Soaker Ahead."

Here's what the Farmers' Almanac has predicted for this summer.

What does the Farmers Almanac predict for Texas in summer 2024?

"Hold on to your umbrellas … and tune up your AC," the almanac says. "Summer is coming early this year, and it may bring the hottest temperatures in recorded history!"

The almanac's 200-year-old mathematical and astronomical formula indicates a "hot, showery" summer for South Central, which includes Texas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, New Mexico and Arkansas.

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"The Southeast states and Mid-Atlantic region won’t escape from summer’s soaking showers and steamy days," the almanac says. "Texas will see sizzling temperatures, with a stormier July than August."

The three-month outlook from the National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center shows above-normal temperatures through July.

Weather predictions in Texas on upcoming holidays

The almanac forecasts the following in Texas for these upcoming holidays.

  • Mother's Day, May 12: "Clouds increase, and turning warmer."

  • Father's Day, June 16: "Heat persists, dry weather."

  • Fourth of July: "Fair, dry, very warm."

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How accurate is the Farmers' Almanac?

Farmers' Almanac is an annual American periodical that has been in continuous publication since 1818, providing long-range weather predictions for the U.S. and Canada. The almanac states that its readers find its predictions to be accurate about 80% to 85% of the time.

However, the Columbus Dispatch found that most analyses of the almanac's predictions have indicated an accuracy rate of 50%.

The almanac also offers a daily planning feature, which suggests the best gardening practices, the best times to fish, and the most suitable daily activities.

This article originally appeared on Lubbock Avalanche-Journal: Farmers' Almanac predicts 'sizzling temperatures' this summer in Texas

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