What can be decided this weekend?

A general view of the Premier League match ball
[Getty Images]

A lot of teams play their penultimate Premier League game of the season this weekend.

Arsenal, Manchester City and Liverpool have qualified for the Champions League. Aston Villa can finish no lower than fifth so will be in the Europa League at worst. Liverpool’s Europa Conference League place for winning the Carabao Cup reverts to the league and Sheffield United have been relegated.

But much is still to be decided.

Despite nobody being able to win the title just yet, here is what could happen...

Aston Villa can clinch the fourth and final Champions League place despite not playing until Monday:

  • If Tottenham lose on Saturday, Villa qualify without kicking a ball;

  • If Tottenham draw, Villa qualify if they draw with Liverpool on Monday;

  • If Tottenham win, Villa qualify if they beat Liverpool.

Tottenham can ensure a top-five finish:

  • If they win, Newcastle United lose and Chelsea and Manchester United both fail to win.

Failing that, Spurs can ensure a top-six finish - Europa Conference League at worst:

  • If they win AND Chelsea and Manchester United both fail to win;

  • If they win AND Newcastle lose AND one of Chelsea and Manchester United fail to win;

  • If they draw AND Chelsea and Manchester United both lose.

The other two relegation places could also be settled this weekend.

Burnley will be relegated:

  • If they fail to win at Tottenham on Saturday, whatever happens elsewhere;

  • If Nottingham Forest win against Chelsea.

If Burnley win and Forest draw, the Clarets will be teetering and will need a huge swing in goal difference on the final day of the season when the two sides meet.

Luton Town are slightly better off than Burnley, but will be relegated:

  • If they lose at West Ham AND Nottingham Forest avoid defeat;

  • If they lose AND Burnley win, even if Forest lose;

  • If they draw AND Forest win.

If Forest match Luton's result, the Hatters will be on the brink as they would need a big swing in goal difference on the final day.

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