Championship: Leeds, Ipswich or Southampton - who will join Leicester in Premier League?
Leeds United's 4-0 defeat by Queens Park Rangers ensured Leicester City earned an instant return to the Premier League.
The Foxes have two games to play but are guaranteed a top-two finish in the Championship after Leeds' surprise defeat.
But it was not just Enzo Maresca's side who were celebrating Leeds' loss. Ipswich now have two games in hand as they look to secure automatic promotion.
BBC Sport examines the run-in and the Opta predictions.
Current table
Team | Played | Points | GD | GS | Form (past 5 games) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Leicester | 44 | 94 | 47 | 86 | WLLWW |
2. Leeds | 45 | 90 | 39 | 80 | DWLDL |
3. Ipswich | 43 | 89 | 32 | 85 | WWLDD |
4. Southampton | 44 | 84 | 24 | 85 | WWLLL |
What are the remaining fixtures for each club?
Date | Ipswich | Leicester | Leeds | Southampton |
---|---|---|---|---|
27 April | Hull (a) | Stoke (h) | ||
29 April | Preston (a) | |||
30 April | Coventry (a) | |||
4 May | Huddersfield (h) | Blackburn (h) | Southampton (h) | Leeds (a) |
Who are the favourites?
Opta, with its 10,000 'supercomputer' simulations, now have Leicester as clear title favourites after they guaranteed promotion - it says Maresca's side have a 93% chance of winning the title.
Leeds' loss has seen their chances of automatic promotion drop from 59% to 29%.
Ipswich are favourites to secure the second automatic promotion spot, with Kieran McKenna's side given a 72% chance of automatic promotion and a 7% chance of winning the title.
Southampton are mathematically still in contention for an automatic promotion spot but their chances are slim given their inferior goal difference.
Predicted Championship final table - Opta | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
1. Leicester | 93 | 100 | 98 | 1st - 94 points |
2. Leeds | 0 | 29 | 92 | 2nd - 90 points |
3. Ipswich | 7 | 65 | 94 | 3rd - 89 points |
4. Southampton | 0 | <0.1 | 87 | 4th - 84 points |
Predicted points rounded down to nearest point |
Opta predicts the current top three will all pass the 90-point mark. No side has managed that and failed to be promoted in the past 10 seasons.
"The league is spectacular and you're a fool if you try and predict it because there's been so many twists and turns," former Ipswich and Luton striker Sam Parkin told BBC Radio 5 Live.
Former Hull, Derby and Bolton manager Phil Brown said: "It is all about bottle and the pressure. It is all about being able to handle that as a group and club."
What if the teams finish level on points?
Should there be a tie, the league is decided on goal difference, then goals scored, then most points in the head-to-head matches, then goal difference in head-to-head games, before goals scored in those games.
If all of that is level we go to number of wins, then goals scored in away games.
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