Central US put on alert for severe weather outbreak later this week

Residents of the central United States will face more severe weather this week with the most far-reaching event set to unfold later in the week.

Severe weather across the nation's midsection early this week will be confined to localized clusters affecting only a fraction of the region. Friday into next weekend, multiple states will be at risk.

Localized threats into Tuesday

While much-needed drier weather sweeps across flood-ravaged eastern Texas and the lower Mississippi Valley, a few thunderstorms can cause damage and flash flooding between El Paso and Junction, Texas, to end this weekend and start Monday.

An uptick in severe weather may follow for Monday afternoon and evening.

Violent thunderstorms capable of producing large hail, damaging winds and flash flooding are expected to erupt from Midland and Fort Stockton to San Antonio. There can also be a brief tornado.

Mon severe May 12

The severe weather risk should wane overnight Monday, but some rain and thunderstorms can spread to Houston.

While latest indications do not point to this, AccuWeather meteorologists will continue to monitor the potential for the rain to be heavy enough to trigger new flash flooding problems by the Tuesday morning commute.

As showers and thunderstorms linger over Texas on Tuesday, another zone of thunderstorms with damaging winds and hail can target the central parts of Nebraska late in the day.

Potential severe weather outbreak to unfold by next weekend

There is growing concern among AccuWeather meteorologists for an outbreak of severe weather to target multiple states in the central U.S., Friday into next weekend.

A potent storm that may first bring unusually late-season rainfall to California later this week will spark the severe weather across the Plains as it clashes with surging warmth and humidity.

"By Friday, the pattern will become increasingly conducive for thunderstorm activity across western parts of Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas," according to AccuWeather Meteorologist Max Vido.

severe outbreak May 12

The violent thunderstorms may hold off until the late-afternoon hours of Friday and could ignite as far north as South Dakota and westward to eastern Colorado.

"The threat for severe weather is then expected to shift east across the central and southern Plains on Saturday," Vido stated. "This could put the larger metropolitan areas, such as Dallas and Oklahoma City, at risk for damaging thunderstorms."

Residents across the central U.S. are being warned that all facets of severe weather from damaging winds to large hail, flooding downpours and tornadoes can be anticipated later Friday into Saturday.

Looking ahead to Sunday, Vido is concerned that the severe weather threat will shift to more of Louisiana, Arkansas and Missouri.

"More precise details on specific hazards and exact locations of where the worst of the severe weather may occur will become clearer in the coming days, so anyone in the central U.S. will want to revisit their forecasts through the week," according to Vido.

Download the free AccuWeather app to remain alert of severe weather watches and warnings and know when severe weather is threatening your community. Keep checking back for updates on AccuWeather.com and stay tuned to the AccuWeather Network on DirecTV, Frontier and Verizon Fios.

EF2 Tornado Tahoka, TX

A tornado touched down north of Tahoka, Texas on May 5, 2019. The tornado developed into an EF2 as it made its way southeast of the city. (Twitter / @1WXRoderick)

 

"Travel delays and disruptions will be possible throughout the central U.S. due to the high wind and flash flooding threats posed by the storms," Vido said.

"Those with outdoor activities planned will need to stay vigilant of rapidly changing weather conditions and have alternative plans in place."

River levels will also be closely monitored during the impending severe weather outbreak. Where downpours repeat over the same locations, there can be further rises or a delay in the recession of area rivers or those downstream.

North of the severe weather, a prolonged chilly rain event may unfold across the northern Plains Friday through the weekend.

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2019 spring weather across the US
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2019 spring weather across the US
A vehicle drives through Mississippi River flood water in downtown Alton, Il. on Monday, May 6, 2019. Flooding from the Mississippi River closed streets in downtown, forced the closure of Argosy Casino and flooded the basements of several businesses. The Mississippi River is expected to crest at 34.8 feet later on Monday, almost 14 feet above flood stage. The red painted line beneath the American flag on the grain silos denotes the height of flood water in 1993. (David Carson/St. Louis Post-Dispatch via AP)
Water from the swelling Mississippi River covers roadways and surrounds houses on Saturday, May 4, 2019 in Foley, Mo. he National Weather Service at St. Louis says rain in the coming days will determine whether Mississippi River levels will rise more than expected. A flood warning continues for areas on either side of the river from Minnesota all the way to Louisiana, where the river empties into the Gulf of Mexico.(Colter Peterson/St. Louis Post-Dispatch via AP)
A runner makes his way along South Grandview Ave. during a snowfall Saturday, April 27, 2019 in Dubuque, Iowa. (Dave Kettering/Telegraph Herald via AP)
John Love of Pacific Junction, Iowa, stands in flood water to wash the muck off of his golf clubs which were in a flooded shed Thursday, April 18, 2019. The mandatory evacuation of the city during the flooding from the Missouri River has been lifted Thursday and residents and owners were allowed to return to their property to determine the viability of their premises. (AP Photo/Nati Harnik)
Marissa Whitman, 20, wades in about 3 feet of floodwater from the swelling Mississippi River, while guiding a boat carrying her boyfriend Brendan Cameron and his mother, Tory Cameron, to their home along Pet Street, Sunday, May 5, 2019, in East Foley, Mo. "I just need to see if the water reached inside," said Tory. The family had to evacuate Saturday when the water rose suddenly. (Laurie Skrivan/St. Louis Post-Dispatch via AP)
A van stands in floodwaters as cornstalks cover its roof after a flood inundated Pacific Junction, Iowa, Thursday, April 18, 2019. The mandatory evacuation of the city during the flooding from the Missouri River has been lifted Thursday and residents and owners were allowed to return to their property to determine the viability of their premises. (AP Photo/Nati Harnik)
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