Stormy Father's Day may unfold for the western Gulf Coast, northern tier of US

While some wonderful weather for outdoor activities is in store for a large part of the nation, stormy conditions are forecast for parts of Texas and Louisiana and from Montana and Wyoming to northern Michigan on Father's Day.

Portion of Gulf Coast states at risk for flooding

How nasty the weather becomes along the western half of the Gulf Coast will depend on the nature and forward speed of an area of tropical moisture.

This moisture may be anything from just slow-moving showers and thunderstorms to a concentrated area of torrential rainfall associated with a tropical depression or tropical storm, according to AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski.

Either way, enough rain is likely to fall to hinder outdoor plans and travel from coastal and central Texas to much of Louisiana. Downpours may also extend across parts of Mississippi, Arkansas, Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. Rainfall may be heavy enough to cause flooding problems.

Static US Father's Day

Downpours to drench part of US northern tier

Farther north, drenching showers and locally gusty thunderstorms are likely from the northern Rockies to the parts of the northern Plains and the upper Great Lakes region.

Some of the rainfall over the northern Rockies and High Plains may be associated with Bud.

"Rainfall over part of the northern tier is likely to be locally heavy and may lead to isolated flooding problems," according to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Brett Anderson.

"In addition to forcing cooking operations and a family day out to the indoors, some of the thunderstorms on the southern edge of this rain area could be heavy, gusty and locally severe," Anderson said.

Warmth to reach the East as the Central states heat up

In a vast area in between, people from the central Plains to the much of the Mississippi and Ohio valleys, lower Great Lakes, interior South, mid-Atlantic and New England can expect dry weather and at least some sunshine on Father's Day.

"It's going to be a pretty warm to hot Father's Day from the central Plains to parts of the mid-Atlantic," Anderson said.

It will feel like the middle of the summer in Kansas City, Chicago, Cincinnati, Nashville, Pittsburgh, Washington, D.C., Philadelphia and New York City. Highs in much of this zone will range from the middle 80s to the middle 90s F. Air conditioners and fans will be put to good use.

"Along parts of the Atlantic coast, a sea breeze may hold temperatures back a bit," Anderson said.

See more severe weather from Spring 2018: 

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Severe spring weather across the U.S. in 2018
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Severe spring weather across the U.S. in 2018
NEW YORK, USA - MAY 15:�Rainbow occurs after rain over Manhattan in New York, United States on May 15, 2018. (Photo by Atilgan Ozdil/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images)
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Example ballots are caught by sudden winds as a storm system moves in quickly during Primary Election Day, in Philadelphia, PA, on May 15, 2018. (Photo by Bastiaan Slabbers/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
Severe weather builds up over Northwest Philadelphia, PA, on Primary Election Day, May 15, 2018. (Photo by Bastiaan Slabbers/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
NEW YORK, USA - MAY 12: Rain clouds are seen over between Lower Manhattan and Jersey City in New York, United States on May 12, 2018. (Photo by Atilgan Ozdil/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images)
WEEHAWKEN, NJ - MAY 23: A person walks in front of the skyline of lower Manhattan and One World Trade Center on a rainy day in New York City on May 12, 2018 as seen from Weehawken, New Jersey. (Photo by Gary Hershorn/Getty Images)
WASHINGTON, DC - MAY 14: The front of a severe thunderstorm passes over the U.S. Capitol, on May 14, 2018 in Washington, DC. The area was hit with heavy rain and high winds from the early evening storm. (Photo by Mark Wilson/Getty Images)
Simon Rusen-Morohovich, 19, of Pittsburgh, Pa. skim boards as storm clouds move in over Hollywood Beach, Fla. The National Hurricane Center says bad weather is coming from a stormy cluster over the Gulf and gives it a 40 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next five days. (Susan Stocker/Sun Sentinel/TNS via Getty Images)
WASHINGTON, DC - MAY 14: People play sports on the National Mall as the front of a severe thunderstorm approaches, on May 14, 2018 in Washington, DC. The area was hit with heavy rain and high winds from the early evening storm. (Photo by Mark Wilson/Getty Images)
WASHINGTON, DC - MAY 14: People stand under a tree as rain starts to fall as a severe thunderstorm passes over the U.S. Capitol, on May 14, 2018 in Washington, DC. The area was hit with heavy rain and high winds from the early evening storm. (Photo by Mark Wilson/Getty Images)
LAKEWOOD, CO - MAY 14: A man covers himself with his coat as he walks down west Colfax Avenue during a heavy rain and hail storm on May 14, 2018 in Lakewood, Colorado. (Photo by RJ Sangosti/The Denver Post via Getty Images)
LAKEWOOD, CO - MAY 14: A man covers himself with his coat as he walks down west Colfax Avenue during a heavy rain and hail storm on May 14, 2018 in Lakewood, Colorado. (Photo by RJ Sangosti/The Denver Post via Getty Images)
PHILADELPHIA, PA - MAY 12: Members of the Philadelphia Phillies ground crew roll out the tarp to cover the field due to an incoming storm before the start of a game between the Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets at Citizens Bank Park on May 12, 2018 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Hunter Martin/Getty Images)
HOBOKEN, NJ - MAY 10: Lightning strikes New York City next to Hudson Yards on May 10, 2018 as seen from Hoboken, New Jersey. (Photo by Gary Hershorn/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, USA - MAY 12: Rain clouds are seen over Lower Manhattan in New York, United States on May 12, 2018. (Photo by Atilgan Ozdil/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, USA - APRIL 16: People walk over a pedestrian crossing with their umbrellas on a rainy day in New York, United States on April 16, 2018. (Photo by Atilgan Ozdil/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images)
MADISON, CONNECTICUT -APRIL 6: Snow settles on a daffodil as an April springtime snowfall covered the East Coast of the United States on April 6, 2018 in Madison, Connecticut. (Photo by Tim Clayton/Corbis via Getty Images)
NEW YORK, USA - APRIL 2: Snow covered buildings are seen in Brooklyn borough of New York, United States on April 2, 2018. (Photo by Mohammed Elshamy/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, USA - MARCH 21: A woman stands with her umbrella during a late season snowstorm in Time Square, Manhattan in New York. The fourth nor'easter in three weeks hit the city on March 21, 2018 in New York, United States. (Photo by Atilgan Ozdil/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images)
WASHINGTON, March 21, 2018: People carrying ski gears walk past the Reflecting Pool in Washington D.C., the United States, on March 21, 2018. A late-season nor'easter, the fourth of its kind in three weeks, is targeting the northeast United States on Wednesday, bringing heavy snow and strong winds to the region. Washington, which is already snow-covered, is expected to see up to 6 inches of snow, as some models suggesting much high totals for the capital. Federal offices are closed for the snowstorm as the White House announced early Wednesday that all public events for the day were cancelled. (Xinhua/Ting Shen via Getty Images)
NEW YORK, March 22, 2018 : Photo taken on March 21, 2018 shows the Statue of Liberty seen in the snow storm in New York, the United States. Thousands of flights were canceled and public schools were closed as the fourth snow storm in three weeks began hitting New York City and its neighboring areas on Wednesday. (Xinhua/Li Muzi via Getty Images)
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Spotty afternoon thundershowers may cause a brief disruption to outdoor plans in the Southeast states, away from the tropical concern. However, even where spotty storms are possible, much of the day will be free of rain in cities such as Atlanta and Orlando, Florida.

People spending time outdoors in the Southeast and northern tier should keep an eye out for rapidly changing weather conditions. Move indoors and get off the water at the first rumble of thunder.

Remember to drink plenty of water when partaking in vigorous physical activity during hot weather.

Much of West to be split withspotty storms, drought concerns

In much of the Southwest and the Pacific coast, dry weather is forecast on Father's Day. This is in the wake of spotty storms and rainfall from Bud over the Four Corners states.

There may still be ill-effects from spotty downpours and gusty storms from Bud, especially in Colorado. People traveling through this region, especially on secondary roads, should be on the lookout for rocks and other debris, where recent storms caused heavy rainfall in New Mexico, Arizona and Utah.

Dry weather is forecast for the most of the West Coast beaches, despite the usual morning low clouds this time of the year.

However, not all of the Pacific Coast states may stay dry. There is a chance of a stray afternoon thunderstorm over the mountains from the northern Sierra Nevada through the Cascades.

Those taking a Father's Day hike in the mountains of the West should immediately be prepared to seek shelter in a low-lying area. Having a plan and checking the forecast frequently is advised.

Otherwise, outdoor enthusiasts in the West should take precautions when using open flames such as campfires and barbecue grills due to the ongoing risk of wildfire ignition and spread.

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