Trump-backed candidates struggle to cross finish line in Ohio, Kansas

Aug 8 (Reuters) - Republican candidates backed by Donald Trump clung to small leads in closely watched races in Ohio and Kansas on Wednesday, with the narrow margins serving as encouraging signs for Democrats heading into November's elections.

Republicans looked likely to hold onto a U.S. House of Representatives seat in a reliably conservative district in Ohio, where Troy Balderson led Democrat Danny O'Connor by about 1,700 votes in a special election. The final result could be days away as state officials count more than 8,000 provisional and absentee ballots.

In Kansas, staunch Trump ally and conservative firebrand Kris Kobach held a lead of less than 200 votes over current Governor Jeff Colyer, in a primary race that could take days or weeks before a final result is determined.

The narrow margin in Ohio - less than 1 percentage point separates Balderson and O'Connor - is little comfort for Republicans looking ahead to the Nov. 6 vote, as they outspent Democratic groups by more than 4 to 1 to retain a seat they have held for three decades.


13 PHOTOS
Ohio special election -- Danny O'Connor and Troy Balderson
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Ohio special election -- Danny O'Connor and Troy Balderson
NEWARK, OH - AUGUST 07: Supporters of Republican congressional candidate Troy Balderson watch early returns in Ohio's special election for the 12th Congressional District at Balderson's election night party at the DoubleTree by Hilton Hotel on August 7, 2018 in Newark, Ohio. Voters in Ohio's 12th Congressional District are choosing between Democrat Danny O'Connor and Republican Troy Balderson for Congress in today's special election. (Photo by Justin Merriman/Getty Images)
Democratic candidate Danny O'Connor, in Ohio's 12th congressional district, speaks with the media after casting his vote during Tuesday's special election in Columbus, Ohio, U.S., August 7, 2018. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton
Republican candidate Troy Balderson, in Ohio's 12th congressional district, waits to greet voters at a polling station during the special election in Newark, Ohio, U.S., August 7, 2018. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton
Children wave U.S. flags at an election night party for Democratic candidate Danny O?Connor in a special congressional election in Ohio?s 12th district, in Westerville, Ohio, U.S., August 7, 2018. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton
Democratic candidate Danny O'Connor, in Ohio's 12th congressional district, walks with his fiancee Spenser Stafford to a polling station to cast his his vote during Tuesday's special election in Columbus, Ohio, U.S., August 7, 2018. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton
Republican candidate Troy Balderson, in Ohio's 12th congressional district, shakes hands with a voter at a polling station during the special election in Newark, Ohio, U.S., August 7, 2018. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton
A sign for Democratic candidate Danny O'Connor, in Ohio's 12th congressional district, is seen outside a house ahead of Tuesday's special election in Columbus, Ohio, U.S., August 6, 2018. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton
COLUMBUS, OH - AUGUST 07: Charmon Barnes makes a sign to direct voters at a polling place on August 7, 2018 in Columbus, Ohio. Voters in Ohio's 12th Congressional District are choosing between Democrat Danny O'Connor and Republican Troy Balderson for congress in today's special election. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)
Ohio Senator Troy Balderson goes in for the handshake with U.S. President Donald Trump during a Make America Great Again rally in Olentangy Orange High School in Lewis Center, OH, U.S., August 4, 2018. REUTERS/Leah Millis
NEWARK, OH - AUGUST 07: Voters head to the polls at the Licking County Family YMCA to vote in the special election for Ohio's 12th District on Tuesday, August 7, 2018 in Newark, Ohio. Voters in Ohio's 12th Congressional District are choosing between Democrat Danny O'Connor and Republican Troy Balderson for Congress in today's special election. (Photo by Justin Merriman/Getty Images)
WESTERVILLE, OH - AUGUST 07: Troy Balderson, the Republican congressional candidate, stops briefly at Genoa Baptist Church to greet voters participating in the special election for Ohio's 12th District on August 7, 2018 in Westerville, Ohio. Voters in Ohio's 12th Congressional District are choosing between Democrat Danny O'Connor and Republican Troy Balderson for congress in today's special election. (Photo by Justin Merriman/Getty Images)
COLUMBUS, OH - AUGUST 07: Ohio Democratic congressional candidate Danny O'Connor speaks to reporters after casting his vote in the special election on August 7, 2018 in Columbus, Ohio. O'Connor is in a close race with Republican challenger Troy Balderson for Ohio's 12th Congressional District which is being decided in today's election. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)
NEWARK, OH - AUGUST 06: Ohio Democratic congressional candidate Danny O'Connor visits the River Road Coffeehouse while campaigning on August 6, 2018 in Newark, Ohio. O'Connor is in a dead heat race against Republican challenger Troy Balderson for tomorrow's special election in Ohio's 12th Congressional District. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)
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"Moving forward, we cannot expect to win tough races when our candidate is being outraised," said Corry Bliss, executive director of the Congressional Leadership Fund, a Republican Super PAC. "Any Republican running for Congress getting vastly outraised by an opponent needs to start raising more money."

Democrats performed dramatically better than expected in the last federal special election before the midterms, when Republicans are defending majorities in both the House and Senate.

"This gives me optimism," Democratic National Committee Chairman Tom Perez told CNN on Wednesday.

Trump took credit for Balderson's lead, writing on Twitter that his fellow Republican's campaign took "a big turn for the better" after he campaigned for him in the district on Saturday.

Other Republicans, including Vice President Mike Pence and Ohio Governor John Kasich, had also rushed to Balderson's aid in a district Kasich once represented.

Tuesday's vote mirrored special elections through 2017 and 2018, with suburban and urban turnout rates that have favored Democrats exceeding turnout in rural areas where Trump has a higher level of support.

"As we've seen all along, Trump's support is rock-solid with a certain percentage of the base. Yet he still appears unable to widen that constituency, either in approval rating or coattails,” said Joe Brettell, a Republican strategist based in Texas. 

Trump won the district by 11 percentage points in the White House race in 2016. Republican Pat Tiberi resigned before finishing his term, triggering the special election.

"Complacency is the thing we're most concerned about as a party. ... We have to wake up our voters and let them know you've got to fight for this comeback," Republican National Committee Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel said in a Fox News interview.

The Ohio secretary of state's office said it could not yet declare a winner. Absentee and provisional ballots cannot be counted for 11 days; an automatic recount occurs if the margin is within 0.5 percent of votes cast.

On Wednesday, O'Connor declined to say whether he would seek a recount if one was not automatically triggered. No matter the outcome, he and Balderson will face off again in November to serve a full two-year term.

Democrats need to win 23 more seats in the House and two in the Senate to control Congress and put the brakes on Trump's agenda. All 435 House seats, 35 of 100 Senate seats and 36 of 50 governors' offices are up for grabs in November.

KANSAS RACE NEARLY DEADLOCKED

Kobach, Kansas' secretary of state who was endorsed by Trump in the waning days of the primary race, and Colyer each had about 41 percent of the vote on Wednesday.

Kansas state law allows for a recount if the vote margin is within half a percentage point, but the candidate has to request the recount. Absentee ballots must be postmarked by Tuesday and received by Friday; it is unknown how many ballots may be outstanding. 

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Kansas governor candidate Kris Kobach
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Kansas governor candidate Kris Kobach
American politician Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach as he speaks during a fundraiser for his gubernatorial campaign at an unidentified senior citizens center, Emporia, Kansas, October 28, 2017. (Photo by Mark Reinstein/Corbis via Getty Images)
Kris Kobach, Kansass secretary of state, arrives to the initial meeting of the Presidential Advisory Commission on Election Integrity at the Eisenhower Executive Office Building in Washington, D.C., U.S., on Wednesday, July 19, 2017. President Donald Trump created the advisory commission in May, after claiming without evidence that 3 million people or more illegally voted for Hillary Clinton last year. Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg via Getty Images
U.S. President Donald Trump speaks as Kris Kobach, Kansass secretary of state, left, listens during the initial meeting of the Presidential Advisory Commission on Election Integrity at the Eisenhower Executive Office Building in Washington, D.C., U.S., on Wednesday, July 19, 2017. Trump created the advisory commission in May, after claiming without evidence that 3 million people or more illegally voted for Hillary Clinton last year. Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg via Getty Images
BEDMINSTER TOWNSHIP, NJ - NOVEMBER 20: President-elect Donald Trump greets Kansas Secretary of State, Kris Kobach, at the clubhouse at Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Bedminster Township, N.J. on Sunday, Nov. 20, 2016. (Photo by Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post via Getty Images)
Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach attends an election night party (for Ron Estes' Congressional special election victory), Wichita, Kansas, April 11, 2017. (Photo by Mark Reinstein/Corbis via Getty Images)
Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach (left) shakes hands with the state's Attorney General Derek Schmidt at an election night party (for Ron Estes' Congressional special election victory), Wichita, Kansas, April 11, 2017. (Photo by Mark Reinstein/Corbis via Getty Images)
Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach in a March 2016 file image in Wichita, Kan. A federal judge on Wednesday, April 18, 2018, found Kobach in contempt of court in a case involving Kansas voting laws, her latest rebuke of the Republican candidate for governor. (Fernando Salazar/Wichita Eagle/TNS via Getty Images)
TOPEKA, KS - FEBRUARY, 17: Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach discusses the Kansas proof of citizenship requirements for voter registration in his office in Topeka, Ks. Wednesday February 17, 2015. (Photo by Christopher Smith/ For the Washington Post)
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The recount process could take weeks, and could be complicated as different counties in Kansas use different voting systems, said Patrick Miller, a political science professor at the University of Kansas.

“There is the potential out there for a recount to shift a number of voters given the margins,” Miller said.

Democrats are hoping to capitalize on dissatisfaction with deep tax cuts passed by former Republican Governor Sam Brownback that led to a state fiscal crisis. Colyer was appointed to the seat after Brownback left office to serve in the Trump administration.

Kobach has led a crusade to end what he describes as rampant voter fraud, even though very few cases have been prosecuted in the United States. He served as the co-chairman for a panel convened by Trump to investigate voter fraud, which was later disbanded after most states declined to share information with the panel.

Three other states held nominating contests on Tuesday, including a battle for governor in Michigan in which mainstream Democratic candidate Gretchen Whitmer beat progressive Abdul El-Sayed. Whitmer received more than half of the vote as Democrats angle to take back the governor's office in that Midwestern state.

(Reporting by John Whitesides, Ginger Gibson and Brendan O'Brien; additional reporting by Susan Heavey Writing by David Gaffen Editing by Colleen Jenkins and Jonathan Oatis)

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