Nate Silver's World Series projection is out and the Cleveland Indians are heavy favorites

The Cleveland Indians are the favorite to win the World Series, according to Nate Silver's model at

According to the model, which simulates the playoffs thousands of times, the Indians have a whopping 43% chance to reach the World Series and a 27% chance to be crowned champions. These are almost identical to what the model had for the Chicago Cubs a year ago, as they had a 43% chance to reach the World Series and a 26% chance to end their championship drought.

Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Dodgers are the favorite in the National League with a 37% chance to be NL Champs and a 18% chance to win the World Series. The Colorado Rockies and Minnesota Twins are the longest shots, as they each have a 1% chance to win it all.

Here are the chances for each team to win the World Series heading into the Wild Card matchups:

FiveThirtyEight's World Series projections
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FiveThirtyEight's World Series projections

Minnesota Twins: 1% chance

Via FiveThirtyEight

(Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images)

Colorado Rockies: 1% chance

Via FiveThirtyEight

(Photo by Russell Lansford/Getty Images)

Arizona Diamondbacks: 4% chance

Via FiveThirtyEight

(Photo by Nick Tre. Smith/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

New York Yankees: 6% chance

Via FiveThirtyEight

(Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)

Boston Red Sox: 8% chance

Via FiveThirtyEight

(Photo by Billie Weiss/Boston Red Sox/Getty Images)

Chicago Cubs: 10% chance

Via FiveThirtyEight

(Photo by Jon Durr/Getty Images)

Washington Nationals: 11% chance

Via FiveThirtyEight

(Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)

Houston Astros: 15% chance

Via FiveThirtyEight

(Photo by Michael Ivins/Boston Red Sox/Getty Images)

Los Angeles Dodgers: 18% chance

Via FiveThirtyEight

(Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)

Cleveland Indians: 27% chance

Via FiveThirtyEight

(Photo by David Maxwell/Getty Images)


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