The computers have correctly predicted 63% of the NFL games — here are their picks for Week 4

The NFL season is nearing the quarter pole, and the computers are picking their winners for every game.

We took a look at two popular systems used to pick NFL games: Cortana, Microsoft's digital assistant, and Elo, the modeling system used by Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.

In both cases, the computers are picking outright winners and not against the spread. However, each gives a likelihood of a team's winning, which, in theory, could help measure the strength of certain lines.

After a rough Week 1 for Cortana, it bounced back in Weeks 2 and 3, going 11-5 both weeks and correctly picking all three games on which the two models disagreed. Meanwhile, Elo had a rough week, going 8-8, and is now 29-18 (62%) through three weeks, one game behind Cortana (30-17, 64%).

Here are the picks for Week 4, with each model's percent chance of winning in parentheses. Games in bold are where the two models disagree on who has the best chance to win. Point spreads are just for reference, via Vegas Insider as of Thursday morning.

NFL Week 4 picks
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NFL Week 4 picks

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-7) — PACKERS (Elo 82%, Cortana 72%)

(Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)

New Orleans Saints (-3) vs. Miami Dolphins (in London) — SAINTS (Elo 53%, Cortana 64%)

(Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)

Carolina Panthers at New England Patriots (-9) — PATRIOTS (Elo 78%, Cortana 77%)

(Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)

Los Angeles Rams at Dallas Cowboys (-6.5) — COWBOYS (Elo 78%, Cortana 70%)

(Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings (no line) — VIKINGS (Elo 57%, Cortana 52%)

(Photo by David Berding/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Tennessee Titans (-1.5) at Houston Texans — TEXANS (Elo 55%), TITANS (Cortana 64%)

(Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)

Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) at New York Jets — JETS (Elo 59%), JAGUARS (Cortana 64%)

(Photo by Mitchell Gunn/Getty Images)

Cincinnati Bengals (-3) at Cleveland Browns — BENGALS (Elo 60%, Cortana 58%)

(Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) at Baltimore Ravens — STEELERS (Elo 55%, Cortana 58%)

(Photo by Robin Alam/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Buffalo Bills at Atlanta Falcons (-8) — FALCONS (Elo 77%, Cortana 74%)

(Photo by Steven King/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) — BUCS (Elo 63%), GIANTS (Cortana 57%)

(Photo by David Berding/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5) — EAGLES (Elo 60%), CHARGERS (Cortana 52%)

(Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images)

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (-7) — CARDINALS (Elo 81%, Cortana 67%)

(Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (-3) — BRONCOS (Elo 63%, Cortana 55%)

(Photo by Joe Amon/The Denver Post via Getty Images)

Indianapolis Colts at Seattle Seahawks (-13) — SEAHAWKS (Elo 69%, Cortana 80%)

(Photo by Ronald C. Modra/Sports Imagery/Getty Images)

Washington Redskins at Kansas City Chiefs (-7) —  CHIEFS (Elo 78%, Cortana 61%)

(Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images)

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See Also:

SEE ALSO: NFL POWER RANKINGS: Where all 32 teams stand going into Week 4

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