On June 16, 2015, Donald Trumpformally announced his presidential candidacy with a rally at Trump Tower in New York City. Flanked by his wife and family, he promised the country he was going to "Make America great again," and build a "great, great wall" that Mexico would pay for.
From that point on, talking heads and political pundits went on a doubting Trump spree -- certain that the Republican candidate's popularity and chances of winning would eventually dwindle and cease to exist. Throughout the 2016 campaign season, the paradoxical relationship between Trump's poor projections and high poll numbers surged.
Eighteen months later, we face the end of 2016 and beginning of Trump's presidency. Just incase a refresher was necessary, here is a running list showcasing an assortment of times Donald Trump was written off leading up to and throughout the 2016 election.
In order to fully relive the election, it's important to go back to June 2015 when Trump announced his candidacy:
1. When he announced his presidential campaign, and promised a huge wall along the U.S.-Mexico border.
And so it begins.
— The Daily Dot (@dailydot) June 16, 2015
The Trump candidacy is a Veep storyline that would have been discarded for being too absurd even for an HBO comedy
— Dan Pfeiffer (@danpfeiffer) June 16, 2015
"There are about eight billion reasons Trump won’t be president" http://t.co/Fh7N0IdKK9
— TIME (@TIME) June 16, 2015
Oh, yes, the new Trump hotel in D.C. So is this all just a PR stunt for that?
— Jennifer Epstein (@jeneps) June 16, 2015
— USA TODAY (@USATODAY) June 16, 2015
The clown has joined the circus. Donald Trump is running for President.
— Ari Fleischer (@AriFleischer) June 16, 2015
— Washington Examiner (@dcexaminer) June 16, 2015
Donald Trump's Six Stages of Doom: FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver writes, "The lesson, rather, is that Trump's campaign will fail by one means or another."
PREDICTION: Trump won't be the Republican nominee. http://t.co/F3Nsg8AnTD
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) August 6, 2015
— Deadspin (@Deadspin) August 6, 2015
Here are the odds that Donald Trump will actually become president: British bookmaker William Hill sets Trump's odds of winning at 14-1, with Democratic Hillary Clinton's odd the favorite at even.
If Trump, Carson, Cruz, Kasich or Jeb is nominee, HRC is president. If Rubio (with Kasich running mate to win Ohio), it's a toss up.
— Kurt "Mask Up, Vote Early" Eichenwald (@kurteichenwald) November 11, 2015
Nate Silver, again, expresses his skepticism:
As for me, I remain quite skeptical of Trump's chances. I also think his nomination would be an unmitigated catastrophe for Republicans.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 29, 2015
Good night: Paul/Cruz/Rubio
Neither good nor bad night: Bush/Fiorina/Carson
Bad night: Trump
— Stephen Hayes (@stephenfhayes) November 11, 2015
New York Times columnist Ross Douthat is still certain Trump won't be president:
Again: Trump will not be the nominee. But he just isn't going to fall much in a world where Rubio + Cruz aren't going after him.
— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) December 16, 2015
— New York Times Opinion (@nytopinion) November 11, 2015
Here's what I think Donald Trump's loss will look like: Vox editor-in-chief Exra Klein states he still doesn't think Trump will win the Republican primary. To Klein's credit, he does later note a "real chance" that Trump wins.
— The Upshot (@UpshotNYT) December 16, 2015
— The Hill (@thehill) December 16, 2015
Why Trump Will Lose: U.S. News & World Report contributor Lara Brown writes, "Simply put, America's political institutions – from the parties to the Electoral College – are designed to prevent the successful capture of them by both dictators and mobs. As such, brute force won't work. Since Donald Trump knows little else, his candidacy won't succeed."
Even when Trump gets a poll surge after his decisive victory in New Hampsire, pundits are ill impressed:
— New York Times Opinion (@nytopinion) February 9, 2016
🇺🇸 Almost 85% of Republican insiders said Trump isn’t on a glide path to become the party’s nominee (Politico) https://t.co/5af1cLKKFO
— Gilles Klein (@GillesKLEIN) February 12, 2016
Romney: Trump won't be Republican nominee: Former presidential candidate Mitt Romney states, ""I will support the Republican nominee. I don't think that's going to be Donald Trump."
Donald Trump Has Clinched Nothing: William Saletan writes, " If you look more comprehensively at history and at current polling, it's still way too early to call a Trump nomination inevitable."
Why Donald Trump won't be elected president: Digital opinions editor James Downie borrows a phrase from the men trailing Trump, stating, "Let's dispense with the notion that Trump has a real shot at winning in November."
— The Hill (@thehill) March 5, 2016
How Trump Loses, Revisited: Ross Douthat ends an op-ed, saying, "Despite all the evidence that fortune favors him, Donald Trump will not be the Republican nominee."
Trump won't win. In fact, the US could be on the brink of a liberal renaissance: Michael Cohen writes for the Guardian that Trump will face the problem of backtracking extreme positions in the general election, and will therefore not be nominated.
— The Upshot (@UpshotNYT) July 19, 2016
At this point, filmmaker Michael Moore revealed what turned out to be one of the few correct election predictions:
— People (@people) July 22, 2016
Relax, Donald Trump Can't Win: The Nation's Jon Wiener writes, "Even before you get to his campaign's incompetence and lackluster fundraising, the numbers just aren't on his side."
Hillary Clinton has a 75 percent chance to win the presidency. https://t.co/g6H5KDpAvG
— The Upshot (@UpshotNYT) July 20, 2016
Tonight’s debate may be Donald Trump’s last best chance to expand his electorate https://t.co/yx81BayN5B 🔓
— The Wall Street Journal (@WSJ) October 19, 2016
— The Economist (@TheEconomist) October 19, 2016
— Washington Examiner (@dcexaminer) October 19, 2016
— The Ringer (@ringer) October 19, 2016
— The Boston Globe (@BostonGlobe) October 19, 2016
How the Harry Reid Machine May Have Killed Trump’s Chances https://t.co/mkMM9da1H8
— POLITICO Magazine (@POLITICOMag) November 8, 2016
So look,barring some sort of systemic polling failure, there's probably a 90% chance Trump loses at this point. Still can be a late break 1/
— Sean T at RCP (@SeanTrende) November 4, 2016
— Washington Examiner (@dcexaminer) November 8, 2016
— NPR (@NPR) November 8, 2016
— The Hill (@thehill) November 8, 2016
— Vox (@voxdotcom) November 8, 2016
Donald Trump’s path to 270 looks tough. But that doesn't mean Hillary Clinton’s victory is assured https://t.co/WAEMUJGEhn
— The Economist (@TheEconomist) November 8, 2016
BY: CHRISTINA GREGG