Mexican tourists might choose Canada over US under Trump

The U.S. tourism industry is bracing for a slump during the Trump administration, particularly from south of the border.

Forbes reports some experts expect U.S. tourism to drop by 7 percent this year. By 2018, the country could lose $1.6 billion as a result.

Douglas Quimby of travel research firm Phocuswright told the outlet: "We have Twitter wars with our President and former President of Mexico. ... There is lots of speculation in the media about a trade war with Mexico. ... If that happens, what kind of impact does that have on millions of middle class Mexicans looking to take a trip?"

Some of that expected loss has to do with the Trump administration's focus on tighter border scrutiny and deportation. President Trump's campaign trail comments probably don't help, either.

Responding to a debate question about immigration during the presidential race, Trump said: "We're going to secure the border, and once the border is secured at a later date, we'll make a determination as to the rest. But we have some bad hombres here, and we're going to get them out."

SEE MORE: US Considers Separating Kids And Adults At The Mexico Border

But the U.S. is also facing increased competition from Canada, which recently lifted visa requirements on Mexican citizens entering the country. Travel analysis firm ForwardKeys reports Mexico-to-Canada tourism spiked 82 percent in the month after the requirements were lifted.

Broader U.S. tourism is also set to suffer under the Trump administration. Analysts estimated that the White House's proposed ban on travel from six Muslim-majority nations could cost the U.S. $18 billion.

Best places to live in the US in 2017
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Best places to live in the US in 2017

25. Omaha, Nebraska

Nebraska’s largest metro area scored highest for its value. Omaha is the second-most affordable place to live on the Best Places list, behind Des Moines, Iowa.

Metro Population: 895,919 
Median Home Price: $152,450 
Median Annual Salary: $44,920 

(Davel5957 via Getty Images)

24. Richmond, Virginia

Located about 100 miles south of the District of Columbia, Richmond attracts visitors every year for its role in American history, and more people are moving to the area thanks to its growing job market. Top employers in the area include Capital One Financial Corp., VCU Health System Authority and the HCA Virginia Health System.

[See: The 25 Most Desirable Places to Live in the U.S. in 2017 .]

Metro Population: 1,246,215 
Median Home Price: $216,580 
Median Annual Salary: $47,880 

(epantha via Getty Images)

23. San Antonio

San Antonio is seeing similar growth in its job market and population as nearby Austin, Texas. Between 2011 and 2015, San Antonio grew by 6.6 percent due to net migration alone.

Metro Population: 2,286,702 
Median Home Price: $178,408 
Median Annual Salary: $43,740 

(Photo by: Loop Images/UIG via Getty Images)

22. San Diego

What San Diego lacks in affordability – it’s one of the most expensive metro areas on the list – it makes up for in desirability. San Diego’s beautiful beaches and laid-back vibe make many Americans wish they lived there.

Metro Population: 3,223,096 
Median Home Price: $484,625 
Median Annual Salary: $54,210 

(InnaPoka via Getty Images)

21. Sarasota, Florida

Sarasota is another metro area with a reputation for being pricey to live compared to the typical annual income, but its recent rapid growth shows that plenty of people are willing to take on the extra costs. The Sarasota metro area grew by 10.7 percent from 2011 to 2015 due to net migration, the second-greatest population growth in that time period after only Fort Myers, Florida.

Metro Population: 735,767 
Median Home Price: $224,613 
Median Annual Salary: $40,600 

(Cameron Davidson via Getty Images)

20. Houston

Houston rounds out the top 20 with high marks for its cost of living compared to the median annual salary, as well as for its growth due to net migration. Houston is the second of four Texas metro areas in the list of top 25 Best Places to Live in 2017.

Metro Population: 6,346,653 
Median Home Price: $197,628 
Median Annual Salary: $51,830 

(SeanPavonePhoto via Getty Images)

19. Grand Rapids, Michigan

Falling a few spots after finishing at No. 13 on last year's list, Grand Rapids is hailed for its low cost of living, low crime, short commutes and high rate of college readiness among area high school students, as scored by the U.S. News Best High Schoolsrankings.

Metro Population: 1,017,877 
Median Home Price: $155,256 
Median Annual Salary: $42,950 

(Getty Images/iStockphoto)

18. Madison, Wisconsin

Madison receives its highest score for having a solid job market. With a median annual salary of $47,490, unemployment is just 3.2 percent, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Metro Population: 627,618 
Median Home Price: $219,429 
Median Annual Salary: $49,030 

(tadphoto via Getty Images)

17. Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota

Minneapolis-St. Paul is hailed for its low cost of living, as residents typically spend just over 25 percent of their income on housing expenses, including utilities. The area also has an unemployment rate of just over 3.5 percent.

Metro Population: 3,458,790 
Median Home Price: $223,995 
Median Annual Salary: $53,450 

(NicholasBPhotography via Getty Images)

16. San Francisco

San Francisco receives high scores for its desirability among residents, job market and its population growth due to net migration, but it’s also one of the most expensive places to live in the country. Residents of the San Francisco metro area spend more than 31 percent of their income on housing expenses.

Metro Population: 4,528,894 
Median Home Price: $700,875 
Median Annual Salary: $66,900 

(Bojan Bokic via Getty Images)

15. Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas

The Dallas-Fort Worth metro area comes in at No. 15 for its large growth, thanks primarily to relocation to the area, a solid job market and relatively low cost of living compared to similar-sized cities. Ranked No. 21 on the 2016 Best Places to Live list, Dallas-Fort Worth moves up six spots this year.

Metro Population: 6,833,420 
Median Home Price: $210,181 
Median Annual Salary: $49,030 

(Davel5957 via Getty Images)

14. Charlotte, North Carolina

Charlotte saw its population grow just over 6 percent between 2011 and 2015. And many people appear to be moving to the area out of simple desire, as Charlotte is the 15th most desirable place to live in the U.S. in 2017.

Metro Population: 2,338,792 
Median Home Price: $189,508 
Median Annual Salary: $48,370 

(skiserge1 via Getty Images)

13. Nashville, Tennessee

Nashville receives high scores for net migration and desirability, along with the area's relatively low cost of living. Another plus: Music City residents spend just over 27 percent of their income on housing.

Metro Population: 1,761,848 
Median Home Price: $200,590 
Median Annual Salary: $44,700 

(f11photo via Getty Images)

12. Boise, Idaho

Idaho's capital city receives its highest score due to population growth, with Boisegrowing by 5.8 percent between 2011 and 2015 due to net migration. And with an unemployment rate of 3.7 percent, Boise’s job market continues to attract new residents to the area.

Metro Population: 651,402 
Median Home Price: $228,567 
Median Annual Salary: $42,180 

[Read: Are the Best Places to Live the Best Markets to Buy a Home? ]

11. Colorado Springs, Colorado

As the No. 2 most desirable place to live this year, Colorado Springs also scores well for its low cost of living. The median home price is nearly $25,000 less than nearby Denver.

Metro Population: 678,364 
Median Home Price: $228,431 
Median Annual Salary: $47,600 

(Getty Images/iStockphoto)

10. Salt Lake City

Salt Lake City rounds out the top 10 in 2017 – after ranking No. 27 last year – particularly for the area’s high value score. Salt Lake City residents spend less than 26 percent of their income on housing expenses.

Metro Population: 2,235,531 
Median Home Price: $247,052 
Median Annual Salary: $44,752 

(David Crowther)

9. Des Moines, Iowa

Iowa’s capital city is the most affordable place to live of the 100 largest metro areas in the country. Des Moines residents spend just 23.8 percent of their income on housing.

Metro Population: 601,187 
Median Home Price: $168,629 
Median Annual Salary: $47,170 

(Getty Images/Flickr RF)

8. Boston

With an unemployment rate of just 3.5 percent and a median salary over $60,000,Boston has the strongest job market of the 100 largest metro areas in the U.S. Boston also receives high scores for its desirability. Americans surveyed placed the New England city high on their list of places they’d like to live, given its reputation for being a big city with the friendliness of a small town.

Metro Population: 4,694,565 
Median Home Price: $321,436 
Median Annual Salary: $62,070 

(DenisTangneyJr via Getty Images)

7. Raleigh and Durham, North Carolina

The metro area best known for boasting three renowned colleges – Duke University, University of North Carolina–Chapel Hill and North Carolina State University – scores highest for its low cost of living and steady growth. Raleigh and Durham grew by 6.4 percent due to net migration from 2011 to 2015.

Metro Population: 1,750,865 
Median Home Price: $219,466 
Median Annual Salary: $51,150 

6. Seattle

Whether it’s the presence of major corporations such as Microsoft, Amazon and Starbucks or the rainy-but-mild weather, Seattle ranks high on the list of desirable places to live in the U.S. This Pacific Northwest city’s lowest score stems from its average commute time, as area residents spend an average of 29 minutes heading to work in the morning.

Metro Population: 3,614,361 
Median Home Price: $359,693 
Median Annual Salary: $59,060 

(Getty Images/iStockphoto)

5. Fayetteville, Arkansas

Fayetteville is the fastest-growing metro area in Arkansas, having grown more than 6 percent from 2011 to 2015 due to net migration. Fayetteville also has the lowest unemployment rate (2.95 percent) out of the 100 metro areas ranked.

Metro Population: 493,095 
Median Home Price: $182,508 
Median Annual Salary: $43,570

(DenisTangneyJr via Getty Images) 

4. Washington, District of Columbia

The District of Columbia offers ample employment opportunities, both in the public and private sectors. And with a high median annual salary, the area's pricey cost of living is more affordable for the typical resident.

Metro Population: 5,949,403 
Median Home Price: $371,772 
Median Annual Salary: $65,910

3. San Jose, California

As the heart of Silicon Valley, it’s no secret San Jose has a strong job market, a high desirability score and impressive population growth due to net migration. It also ranked the No. 1 metro area for college readiness among high school students.

Metro Population: 1,925,706 
Median Home Price: $829,792 
Median Annual Salary: $78,620 


2. Denver

The No. 1 Best Place to Live in 2016 slides to No. 2 this year. Denver’s highest score comes from U.S. residents’ desire to live in the Mile High City, followed closely by its population growth – 6.3 percent due to net migration from 2011 to 2015 – and strong job market, with just 3.2 percent of area residents unemployed.

Metro Population: 2,703,972 
Median Home Price: $301,300 
Median Annual Salary: $54,450 

[Read: 3 Up-and-Coming Places to Live .]

(photoquest7 via Getty Images)

1. Austin, Texas

With high scores across the board, Austin takes the top spot in the 2017 Best Places to Live in the U.S. list. As an increasingly popular alternative for tech companies to the more expensive San Jose and Seattle, Austin has a strong – and growing – job market that's also able to meet the needs of the area's growing population. From 2011 to 2015, the Austin area grew by nearly 10.5 percent due to net migration alone, making it the third fastest-growing metro area after Sarasota and Fort Myers.

Metro Population: 1,889,094 
Median Home Price: $262,182 
Median Annual Salary: $49,560 

(dszc via Getty Images)

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