What Would Yellen Do? 5 Key Facts About the Next Fed Chair
To get an idea of how she'll steer the ship that is the U.S. economy once she takes her seat as Fed chair, let's take a look at what she has already done.
1. Yellen Has Strong Professional Clout
Yellen has plenty of experience with the Fed. She was appointed vice chair in 2010, but before that, she served as president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank from 2004 to 2010 and was on the Fed's Board of Governors from 1994 to 1997.
In addition to an academic career that included teaching stints at Harvard, Berkeley, and the London School of Economics, Yellen served as the leader of the Council of Economic Advisers to President Clinton from 1997 to 1999.
Her work at the Fed began in the 1970s, when she worked as a researcher there. As Washington Post columnist Neil Irwin said of Yellen earlier this year, "She's a very good economist; she has long experience in the Fed system. ... She is a completely sound candidate."
2. Yellen Helped Design the Fed's Most Recent Policy Tools
In the investing world, the Fed's most well-known actions have been its efforts to stimulate the economy through policies like its quantitative-easing programs, which keep long-term rates down and encourage higher levels of economic activity.
%VIRTUAL-article-sponsoredlinks%Yellen was an important contributor to exploring and implementing these unprecedented actions in the aftermath of the 2007-2008 financial crisis. You can expect her to continue to push hard to ensure that the economic recovery continues and supports greater job growth and overall prosperity for Americans.
3. Yellen Has Been an Insightful Economic Prognosticator
Part of the Fed's job is to predict future economic conditions, and Yellen has an impressive track record on that front.
A recent Wall Street Journal analysis found that Yellen scored best among 14 Fed officials, with particularly good predictions about the future direction of inflation and the labor market. As early as 2005, she identified the housing market's rise as a possible bubble and avoided the mistake of thinking the subprime mortgage crisis in 2006 and 2007 wouldn't balloon into something larger. She sounded an early warning about the potential for the broad-based recession that eventually materialized.
4. Yellen Will Likely Emphasize Creating Jobs Over Fighting Inflation
The Fed has a dual mandate to keep unemployment levels low while also making sure inflation doesn't sap the purchasing power of the wages that Americans earn, or the investments savers hold. Yellen is viewed as being more focused on the Fed's role in promoting job creation, which dovetails with assertions from analysts that she's more likely to continue the Fed's current monetary policies until job gains become more robust.
Yellen hasn't shown indifference to inflation, though. She helped establish the Fed's current 2 percent target for annual consumer-price increases, helping to make the Fed's thought process concerning inflation more transparent. That view stood in opposition to former Fed chief Alan Greenspan, who believed that eliminating inflation entirely should be the Fed's goal, but Yellen produced and gathered research to support her findings.
Nevertheless, some experts remain nervous about Yellen's commitment to controlling inflation, especially if that goal were to conflict with the mandate for employment growth.
5. Expect Her to Keep Seeking Greater Regulation Over Financial Companies
Yellen has supported a wide variety of measures aimed at curbing the practices that led up to the financial crisis. She believes that imposing stringent capital requirements on banks is important to make sure that institutions have the ability to survive unexpected setbacks.
Moreover, Yellen doesn't confine her attention to the banks that are household names, noting that the so-called "shadow banking" system of unregulated participants in the financial industry represents a threat to the economy that should also be subject to greater regulatory scrutiny.
Don't Expect Huge Changes
The nature of the job of being Fed chair isn't one that lends itself to abrupt policy shifts other than in emergency situations, and Yellen isn't expected to seek radical changes.
Instead, you can expect Yellen to put her fingerprint on the Fed gradually, building a legacy of reasoned and measured policy initiatives over the long haul.
That's a big reason why the financial markets have responded favorably to her potential appointment. But ordinary Americans can expect her to champion causes that are important to them as well.
You can follow Motley Fool contributor Dan Caplinger on Twitter @DanCaplinger or on Google+.