This Apparel Company Should Continue to Under-Perform Its Peers

Jones Group is a small-cap company that designs and markets wholesale apparel, footwear, and accessories. Its brands include Kurt Geiger, Jessica Simpson, Nine West, and Jones New York. You might recognize these names, which might lead you to think that the company has performed well over the years. But that hasn't been the case.

The stock has depreciated 2% over the past three years, at a time when the market stampeded higher. Therefore, you have to wonder how the stock is likely to perform if we see a weaker stock market in the future. The good news is that Jones Group is still seeing top-line growth. 

Company strategy
Jones Group is in the midst of restructuring. It plans on closing 120 under-performing locations through 2013/2014. All store closings since 2009 are expected to save the company $14.2 million, and the majority of the savings will come at the expense of employees.


Jones Group also seeks to optimize its operations to further cut costs. One way the company aims to accomplish this goal is by consolidating its supply chain facilities. Furthermore, Jones Group is paying very careful attention to store profitability, and if it's not pleased with the results, it will either close a location or convert it to a brand that has better revenue potential.

Mixed results
In the second quarter, revenue dipped 1.1% to $845.6 million year-over-year, and diluted EPS swung to a loss of ($0.05), versus a gain of $0.10 in the year-ago quarter. The loss is a worrisome sign, especially considering all of the cost-cutting moves that have been taking place. That said, there is still a lot more cost cutting to come. In regards to revenue, let's take a look at its direction in a breakdown by segment. 

(losses in parenthesis)  

Domestic Wholesale Sportswear

(23.7%)

Domestic Wholesale Jeans-Wear

20.9%

Domestic Wholesale Footwear & Accessories

(7.1%)

Domestic Retail

(1.7%)

International Wholesale

17.6%

International Retail

3.9%

Licensing

Even

Source:  10-Q

That's quite a mix. The big drop in revenue for domestic wholesale sportswear stemmed from reduced shipments to under-performing retail stores. The discontinuation of the Joneswear product line was due to a strategy change at J.C. Penney.

Domestic wholesale jeans-wear performed well thanks to increased shipments, and strong product performance for of Gloria Vanderbilt, Jessica Simpson, Nine West Jeans, and others.

The decline in domestic wholesale footwear and accessories was due to decreased shipments. The decline in domestic retail was really a mixed bag. Jones Group closed 12 new stores, which put pressure on the number. On the other hand, comps increased 1.8%.

International wholesale saw strength in Nine West, sportswear, jewelry, and Stuart Weitzman footwear. However, Kurt Geiger didn't perform well in Western Europe due to a weak consumer. Kurt Geiger did perform well in other areas, as its $2.9 million in sales contributed notably to the $3.8 million sales increase in international retail.

Under-performing its peers
Jones Group has a market cap of $1.1 billion, making it similar in size to Brown Shoe , with a market cap of $984 million. These two companies are also trading at similar multiples of 13 times earnings and 14 times earnings, respectively. To further the similarities, they have both seen slowing annual top-line growth, and have both been inconsistent on the bottom line.

Jones Group financial performance

 

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Revenue (in billions)

$3.62

$3.33

$3.64

$3.79

$3.80

Diluted EPS

($9.23)

($1.02)

$0.62

$0.61

($0.72)

(Source: Zacks.com)

Brown Shoe financial performance

 

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Revenue (in billions)

$2.28

$2.24

$2.50

$2.58

$2.60

Diluted EPS

($3.21)

$0.22

$0.85

$0.56

$0.64

Source:  Zacks.com

Brown Shoe is primarily focused on footwear, which can be found at locations like Famous Footwear and Naturalizer.

If you're looking to compare Jones Group with a company that's more focused on apparel, then VF Corp should be considered. VF Corp is a much larger company, with a market cap of $20.6 billion, and its target consumer is a bit different. Many of its brands target outdoor and sports enthusiasts, including The North Face, Timberland, and NFL.

While Jones Group has been downsizing, VF Corp has been acquiring companies, beating analyst expectations, and upping its guidance. VF Corp expects earnings to grow at a 13% annual rate over the next five years, and revenue to increase at a 10% annual rate over the same time frame. With VF Corp's broad and diversified portfolio, these are realistic possibilities. And if the consumer continues to weaken, then VF Corp is likely to offer more resiliency than Jones Group.

On a fundamental basis, VF Corp is more impressive than Jones Group and Brown Shoe. 

 

Trailing P/E

Net Margin

ROE

Dividend Yield

Short Position

Jones Group

13

(1.71%)

(-6.31%)

1.30%

9.00%

Brown Shoe

14

0.58%

7.40%

1.20%

5.10%

VF Corp.

15

10.21%

23.16%

1.80%

3.30%

Source:  Zacks.com

Jones Group might be more affordable at the moment, but not by much, and it would make sense to pay a small premium for a company like VF Corp that turns more revenue into profits, more investor dollars into profits, offers a higher yield, and has fewer people betting against it.

Also consider the 10-year performance chart. 

JNY Chart

Jones Group data by YCharts

Not only did VF Corp dominate Jones Group over this time frame, but any company that can't manage to reward shareholders in a bull-market era should only be considered with caution.

Conclusion
Despite all the negativity above, Jones Group has potential. After all, its annual revenue has continued to improve, which can't be said for many companies throughout the broader market. Furthermore, it has several strong brands that are performing well. If the company can effectively cut costs and focus on its core brands, then you could see an impressive turnaround.

However, this would be a high-risk play, especially considering the current economic environment and weak consumer. If you want to be in this space, then VF Corp is likely going to be your best long-term option. 

The Motley Fool's chief investment officer has selected his No. 1 stock for this year. Find out which stock it is in the special free report: "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2013." Just click here to access the report and find out the name of this under-the-radar company.

 

The article This Apparel Company Should Continue to Under-Perform Its Peers originally appeared on Fool.com.

Dan Moskowitz has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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