Why Nautilus Shares Tuckered Out
Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.
What: Shares of Nautilus , a consumer fitness products maker, shed as much as 10% after receiving an analyst downgrade before the opening bell.
So what: Research firm B. Riley & Co. dropped its rating on Nautilus to neutral, from buy, and set a price target of $10 on shares. The price target represents just 2.4% upside from yesterday's closing value, and was based purely on valuation.
Now what: Regardless of how we feel about any particular stock, we have to remember to take analyst actions with a grain of salt as they're often short-term movers of stock prices, and rarely affect our long-term investing thesis. In this case, though, I do agree with B. Riley's analysis, as I noted in March with my CAPScall of underperform on Nautilus. My primary gripe -- in addition to being skeptical about consumer loyalty when it comes to fitness products -- is that Nautilus is overly exposed to an economic slowdown by relying solely on consumers to purchase its products instead of contracting directly with gyms. Even after today's drop, I'd suggest there could be further room for Nautilus to fall.
There's little denying that the retail space is in the midst of the biggest paradigm shift since mail order took off at the turn of last century. Only those most forward-looking and capable companies will survive, and they'll handsomely reward those investors who understand the landscape. You can read about the 3 Companies Ready to Rule Retail in The Motley Fool's special report. Uncovering these top picks is free today; just click here to read more.
The article Why Nautilus Shares Tuckered Out originally appeared on Fool.com.Fool contributor Sean Williams has no material interest in any companies mentioned in this article. You can follow him on CAPS under the screen name TMFUltraLong, track every pick he makes under the screen name TrackUltraLong, and check him out on Twitter, where he goes by the handle @TMFUltraLong.Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Copyright © 1995 - 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.