One Person's Trash Is Another Person's Treasure Portfolio
Last November, I announced my intention to create a portfolio of 10 companies that investors had effectively thrown away and given up on, in the hope of showing that deep-value investing, and contrarian thinking, can actually be a very successful investing method. I dubbed this the "One Person's Trash Is Another Person's Treasure" portfolio and, over a 10-week span, I highlighted companies that I thought fit this bill, and would expect to drastically outperform the benchmark S&P 500 over the coming 12 months. If you're interested in the reasoning behind why I chose these companies, then I encourage you to review my synopsis of each portfolio selection:
Now, let's get to the portfolio and see how it fared this week:
S&P 500 performance
Performance relative to S&P 500
This week's winner
The top dog this week was, again, the star of this deeply discounted value portfolio, Arkansas Best . The trucking company soared 18% on the week after announcing that its ABF teamsters had ratified a five-year collective bargaining agreement, and passed a majority of supplements in the ABF National Master Freight Agreement. This news paves the way for Arkansas Best to, once again, be cost-competitive with its peers without having to reduce its workforce. Shares have now more than doubled in just the past two months.
This week's loser
The laggard this week was foreign telecommunications provider Orange (formerly France Telecom), which dipped 4.2% on the week. Although no company-specific news set off the pessimism, regional worries out of Portugal that austerity measures may not stick sent ripples of fear throughout Europe, where the heart of Orange's revenue stream is located. I purchased Orange in my own portfolio late last year on the high prospects for its emerging market growth coupled with steady European cash flow. While I certainly haven't liked seeing its dividend get cut by more than 40%, and feel more hiccups may be on the way, I see it as an incredible cash cow at these levels, and am still considering adding to my position.
Also in the news...
In the latest installment of "Dells of Our Lives," Carl Icahn announced that he'd arranged for $3.4 billion of the $5.2 billion needed for the debt financing portion of his Dell leveraged buyout offer. Icahn is counting on independent shareholder advisory group ISS to back his bid (they've yet to make their stance on either offer known, but are expected to shortly), which could force Michael Dell to bump his takeover price higher -- if anything, at least to match Icahn at his proposed $14 shareholder tender offer. We are now just two weeks away from the shareholder vote, so expect some volatility in shares moving forward.
Dendreon shareholders received the news they've been waiting an eternity to hear late last week: a positive opinion on Provenge by the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use, or CHMP. While the European Medicines Agency isn't required to follow the opinion of the CHMP, it often does, giving Provenge a good chance of gaining approval in Europe before the year is out. While it may not seem like much, with competition in the EU over advanced prostate cancer treatments accelerating, this is a big step toward Dendreon moving toward a lower cash burn rate, and could, once again, reignite takeover chatter.
If you notice a bit more cash in coffers this week, it's because we received our quarterly distribution of $0.0575 per share from Xerox on Monday. Xerox is an extremely sneaky play on the implementation of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, because it processes all of California's Medicaid claims. Medicaid is set to expand in a big way across the country, bringing some 16-million new members under its umbrella over the next couple of years. Sure, Xerox still makes money from its legacy printing and service revenue; but it's so much more than that now!
Also worth a quick mention, QLogic shares spiked higher on Wednesday after rumors swirled that its peer, Emulex, may have hired an investment bank to seek out strategic alternatives. As a cash-rich and profitable rival to Emulex, it's not surprising to see buying interest building in QLogic, as well.
We can do better
I might be a bit biased, but I'd call this, perhaps, the best overall week this contrarian portfolio has had since its inception. Of course, a big part of that has to do with the continued surge in Arkansas Best, but many other components also handily outperformed the S&P 500 for the week. Collectively, this is also the first time the portfolio has sat in positive territory, now up 1.1% since inception. Dividends are starting to play a crucial role in providing supplemental income, but I feel that investors are starting to finally realize and unlock some of the hidden value in these discounted gems.
Check back next week for the latest update on this portfolio and its 10 components.
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The article One Person's Trash Is Another Person's Treasure Portfolio originally appeared on Fool.com.Fool contributor Sean Williams owns shares of QLogic, Dell, Skullcandy, and Orange, but has no material interest in any other companies mentioned in this article. You can follow him on CAPS under the screen name TMFUltraLong, track every pick he makes under the screen name TrackUltraLong, and check him out on Twitter, where he goes by the handle @TMFUltraLong.The Motley Fool owns shares of Dendreon, Skullcandy, and Staples. It also recommends Exelon and Orange. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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