If the Oscars are the biggest night for movies and the Emmys for TV, then the Golden Globes are like their showy, drunken child, with the biggest stars from the small and big screens gathering this Sunday to toast each other and hand out some awards.
Since the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, who puts on the bash, loves a star sighting as much as they do quality film and TV, it's also one of the more unpredictable awards shows of the season. Below, we offer our best guesses on who will take home the top honors, as well as who actually deserved the Globe.
Best Motion Picture - Drama
Who Should Win:Moonlight
Who Will Win:Moonlight
If we look ahead to the Oscars, the three sure things are seemingly La La Land, Manchester by the Sea and Moonlight -- everything else is a dark horse. With La La Land competing in the Comedy or Musical category here, that leaves the latter two locked in a close race. But Moonlight isn't just important, it's a damn fine movie, too. It deserves to get recognized and all signs point that it will.
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Best Performance by an Actress in Motion Picture - Drama
Who Should Win: Ruth Negga (Loving)
Who Will Win: Natalie Portman (Jackie)
Portman gives a performance with a capital P in Jackie, the type of transformative work that voters love to shower with trophies -- and which will surely win Portman her third Globe. But Negga, who delivers a performance that's much more subtle, yet still deeply, deeply affecting -- is just as deserving. It might be that her work is too quiet for the Globes, though. There's always the Independent Spirit Awards...
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama
Who Should Win: Denzel Washington (Fences)
Who Will Win: Casey Affleck (Manchester By the Sea)
Affleck is running away with awards season, despite Washington being so beloved and his powerful turn in Fences -- as the patriarch of a Pittsburgh family in the '50s -- just as worthy, if not more. Yet, for some reason, he just hasn't generated nearly as much heat. But since he's also been eked out of the directing race here, a surprise upset in his favor would certainly be welcomed.
Best TV Series - Drama
Who Will Win:This Is Us
Who Should Win:The Crown
Truthfully, this category is a bit of a toss-up between both This Is Us and The Crown. The HFPA is notorious for awarding their statuettes to the shiniest and most buzzed-about new TV series on our screens, but they also have a huge soft spot for periodical series that appeal to an international audience. In the end, we think This Is Us has tugged on enough heartstrings for a win.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series - Drama
Who Will Win: Billy Bob Thornton (Goliath)
Who Should Win: Matthew Rhys (The Americans)
There's nothing the HFPA loves more than when a high-profile actor makes the move from the big screen to the small one. So, despite the fact that very few people have actually watched Thornton in this new Amazon drama, we think he's a shoe-in to win, which is unfortunate because Rhys deserves absolutely all of the awards and more.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series - Drama
Who Will Win: Winona Ryder (Stranger Things)
Who Should Win: Caitriona Balfe (Outlander)
See above re: movie stars making the transition to TV. We have a strong feeling that Ryder's journey from post-'80s obscurity to one of the most talked-about new series of the season is going to be enough to snag her the win in this category. This is a damn shame because Balfe's heartbreaking, wonderful performance in Outlander's sophomore season was hands down the best acting we've seen all year.
Best Television Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Who Will Win: The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story
Who Should Win:The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story
When you tune into The Globes this Sunday, Best TV Mini-Series, and its subsequent Best Actor and Actress categories should (and will!) be dominated by FX's so-good-it-hurts drama The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story. It was 10 episodes of small-screen perfection and has four Emmys already under its belt, so if Ryan Murphy's latest anthology series doesn't bring home a win, that would be the real crime.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Series, Limited Series or TV Motion Picture
Who Will Win: Courtney B. Vance (The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story)
Who Should Win: Courtney B. Vance (The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story)
Courtney B. Vance's portrayal of Johnnie Cochran was unparalleled in this category. Case closed.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Series, Limited Series or TV Motion Picture
Who Will Win: Sarah Paulson (The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story)
Who Should Win: Sarah Paulson (The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story)
We don't know whether or not that glove ever truly belonged to O.J. Simpson, but we do know for sure that this Golden Globe belongs to Sarah Paulson.
Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
Who Should Win:La La Land
Who Will Win:La La Land
The Musical or Comedy category at the Globes can sometimes feel like comparing apples to oranges -- Florence Foster Jenkins versus Deadpool?? -- but no matter which fruits are in the mix, none will be able to knock La La Land -- the whimsical, expertly crafted throwback to Old Hollywood -- from the top spot. Know who loves a movie about showbiz most? Showbiz people.
Best Actress in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
Who Should Win: Emma Stone (La La Land)
Who Will Win: Emma Stone (La La Land)
In any other year, this category would seem like stiff competition, including the likes of Annette Bening, who is splendid in 20th Century Women, and Meryl Streep, who is kryptonite to the HFPA. But this year, La La Land is so tailor-made to showcase everything Stone is great at and she is so undeniably charming in it, that it made her the instant frontrunner for all the awards.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
Who Should Win: Colin Farrell (The Lobster)
Who Will Win: Ryan Reynolds (Deadpool)
It's a shame that Farrell -- and The Lobster -- has been widely overlooked this awards season, as his performance in the touching, bizarre film was hands down one of the best of the year. And while this might seem like another opportunity to celebrate La La Land -- Ryan Gosling is nominated here -- the HFPA is NOT going to pass up the chance for a charming Ryan Reynolds acceptance speech or a loving cutaway to wife Blake Lively.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture
Who Should Win: Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
Who Will Win: Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
If this post were "Who Will Win" and "Who Shouldn't Have Been Nominated," we'd have more thoughts. As it stands, Ali is the only choice to win in this category for his utterly captivating role as a kindhearted, drug-dealing surrogate uncle to young Chiron in Moonlight. The dinner table scene alone should win Ali every award he's nominated for this year.
Best Performance by a Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture
Who Should Win: Viola Davis (Fences)
Who Will Win: Viola Davis (Fences)
If this year seems -- rightfully? Boringly? -- like everyone who should win, will win, well... Still, Davis, a five-time nominee, is all but guaranteed to take home her first win for Fences. And then she'll go on to the Oscars and win that too. For everyone competing against her, it truly will be an honor just to be nominated.
Best Television Series - Musical or Comedy
Who Will Win:Atlanta
Who Should Win: Atlanta
Despite the fact that this category is overflowing with sensational series, we think FX's new comedy, Atlanta,will be the sweetest peach. Not only does is it a brand new series (which the HFPA traditionally loves), it's perfectly unique blend of comedy and drama is enough to appeal to all.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series - Comedy
Who Will Win: Donald Glover (Atlanta)
Who Should Win: Donald Glover (Atlanta)
Not only is Glover the star of Atlanta, he also serves as the creator, executive producer and writer on the wildly compelling series. There's nothing else like Atlanta on TV and that's all thanks to Glover, so he's more than overqualified to take home the gold.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series – Comedy
Who Will Win: Sarah Jessica Parker (Divorce)
Who Should Win: Issa Rae (Insecure)
We know what you're thinking: Divorce was barely a comedy! We agree with you completely, but we need to point out that the HFPA is completely obsessed with Parker. Over the past 18 years, Parker has been nominated nine times and won four awards, making her a Golden Globes darling. The true prize should go to another HBO star, Rae, whose breakout performance on Insecure was both poignant and raw.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role - Television
Who Will Win: John Lithgow (The Crown)
Who Should Win: Sterling K. Brown (The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story)
Once again, we're in a bit of a toss-up in this category because both Brown and Lithgow delivered sensational performances this year. However, in the end, we think that Lithgow's awe-inspiring transformation into the iconic Winston Churchill will give him the international edge that the HFPA is always looking to reward.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role - Television
Who Will Win: Chrissy Metz (This Is Us)
Who Should Win: Lena Headey (Game of Thrones)
Don't get us wrong – we absolutely adore Metz and we at ET correctly called it at the beginning of the season that she would be the big breakout star of the year. However, we think that Headey's consistently remarkable performance on Game of Thrones should be enough to crown her the ruler of Westeros -- umm... we mean the Golden Globes.
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