It turns out, the Warriors have a 69 percent chance of winning the NBA Finals

Warriors Complete Comback, Will Face Cavs in Final
Warriors Complete Comback, Will Face Cavs in Final

After beating the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 7 of the Western Conference Finals on Monday night, 96-88, the Golden State Warriors have a 69% chance to repeat as NBA champions.

That is according to Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight website, which uses a combination of its Elo model and Carmelo player rankings to offer NBA playoff result probabilities. It gives the Cleveland Cavaliers a comparatively measly 31% chance to lift the Larry O'Brien Trophy.

Immediately before Monday night's Game 7, the site gave the Thunder the best chance of winning the title at 44%. Now the Warriors are back atop of the rankings, where they were for most of the season.

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Upon first glance, however, a 69% chance to win the Finals sounds high for any team, even the Warriors. Golden State is, of course, the best regular-season basketball team in NBA history, and it is riding an emotional high after escaping a 3-1 Western Conference Finals hole. Stephen Curry & Co. also dominated the Cavs in the regular season, not to mention the Finals they won last year in six games.

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But this is the NBA Finals — the cliché that anything can happen is more true now than in any earlier round of the playoffs. And unlike last year, LeBron James has a healthy roster around him. Entering the Finals, the Cavs have lost just two playoff games — in the far less competitive Eastern Conference — compared with the Warriors' five.

Silver's site also gives the Warriors a 72% chance to win Game 1 in Oakland, favoring them by six points. That game tips off on Thursday at 9 p.m. ET on ABC.

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