NBA Finals favorite: Are the Warriors still an overwhelming prediction?
With only eight teams still alive in the NBA playoffs, the Warriors are still an overwhelming favorite. In fact, the Warriors are such a strong favorite that they have a better chance to win the title than the other seven teams combined.
With the Warriors up 2-0 on the Trail Blazers, they now have a 51% chance to repeat as champions, according to Nate Silver's model at FiveThirtyEight.com. That is up from 43% before the start of the playoffs.
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The Warriors have more than twice the chance of the next favorite, the Spurs, at 23%. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers are the heavy favorite in the Eastern Conference to reach the finals, but are given only a 13% chance of winning Cleveland's first NBA title.