Regardless of whether or not Donald Trump the presumptive GOP nominee becomes the ultimate Republican nominee , there's a big sign that Republican will struggle to put their man in the White House this November ... all because of Florida.
The Sunshine State is the most influential swing state in the nation with 29 Electoral College votes up for grabs, and Democrats are on pace to win it.
A new survey reveals that of the 604 Floridians polled, 49 percent would choose Hillary Clinton compared to 36 percent who'd vote for Donald Trump. Fifteen percent say they're undecided. With Clinton's likelihood of becoming the Democratic nominee increasingly likely as the primary race rolls on, that support will be crucial
Why does Florida matter so much? Because if the Democrats win it, they can much more easily clinch the nomination.
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As The Washington Post pointed out this week, if the Democratic nominee wins the 19 states (plus the District of Columbia) which went blue for Democrats from in the last 24 years, he or she only needs Florida to win the magic number of electoral votes to become the next president.
The poll, conducted by the Associated Industries of Florida, also revealed a whopping 87 percent of Hispanic voters in the state have a negative view of Trump. By comparison, half of Florida's Hispanic voters have a negative view of Clinton.
The path to securing 270 electoral votes -- the number required for a win -- is a little harder to map out for a Republican candidate. In the past six elections, 13 states have consistently voted Republican, but securing those states would still leave the GOP nominee behind by 168 electoral votes.
While any of these states could start to shift support as the general election draws near, Florida is on track to play its biggest role since Bush v. Gore.