Latest Sports Scores

Scoreboard

  • ALL
  • NBA
  • NFL
  • NHL
  • NFL
  • 1/22 3:05 PM EST
    GB0
    ATL0
  • 1/22 6:40 PM EST
    PIT0
    NE0
  • NBA
  • 1/21 5:00 PM EST
    POR0
    BOS0
  • 1/21 6:00 PM EST
    WAS0
    DET0
  • 1/21 7:00 PM EST
    BKN0
    CHA0
  • 1/21 7:00 PM EST
    PHI0
    ATL0
  • 1/21 7:30 PM EST
    PHO0
    NY0
  • 1/21 7:30 PM EST
    MIL0
    MIA0
  • 1/21 8:00 PM EST
    HOU0
    MEM0
  • 1/21 8:30 PM EST
    SA0
    CLE0
  • 1/21 9:00 PM EST
    IND0
    UTA0
  • 1/21 9:00 PM EST
    SAC0
    CHI0
  • 1/21 9:00 PM EST
    LAC0
    DEN0
  • NHL
  • 1/21 3:00 PM EST
    STL0
    WPG0
  • 1/21 5:00 PM EST
    CAR0
    CBJ0
  • 1/21 7:00 PM EST
    BUF0
    MTL0
  • 1/21 7:00 PM EST
    NJ0
    PHI0
  • 1/21 7:00 PM EST
    OTT0
    TOR0
  • 1/21 7:00 PM EST
    LA0
    NYI0
  • 1/21 8:00 PM EST
    WSH0
    DAL0
  • 1/21 8:00 PM EST
    TB0
    ARI0
  • 1/21 9:00 PM EST
    ANA0
    MIN0
  • 1/21 10:00 PM EST
    EDM0
    CGY0
  • 1/21 10:30 PM EST
    COL0
    SJ0

NATE SILVER: 73% chance that the Super Bowl will be won by 1 of these 5 teams

Before you go, we thought you'd like these...
Before you go close icon
Can Denver Get to Super Bowl with These Sloppy Wins?

After six weeks of the NFL season, the New England Patriots and Green Bay Packers are the heavy favorites to meet in the Super Bowl, and only three other teams have a legit shot to win it all.

Using Nate Silver's "2015 NFL Predictions," a model that rates each team and then projects how the regular season and playoffs will play out, we can get a better sense of which teams are the true Super Bowl contenders.

Heading into Week 7, the Patriots are still the favorite and their chances are still growing, up from 19% two weeks ago and 23% last week, to 24% this week. The Packers are the favorite in the NFC with a 19% chance to win the Super Bowl.

Check out the latest AOL.com power rankings:

1 PHOTOS
NFL Rankings 10-20-15
See Gallery
NATE SILVER: 73% chance that the Super Bowl will be won by 1 of these 5 teams
HIDE CAPTION
SHOW CAPTION
of
SEE ALL
BACK TO SLIDE

Of the projections run this week by Silver's model, 73% of the seasons ended with one of these teams winning the Super Bowl:

  1. New England Patriots, 24%
  2. Green Bay Packers, 19%
  3. Denver Broncos, 13%
  4. Cincinnati Bengals, 9%
  5. Carolina Panthers, 8%

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Arizona Cardinals are next on the list, with both having a 4% chance of winning it all.

The Broncos (96%) and Bengals (96%) join the Patriots (99%) and Packers (97%) this week as the first teams to eclipse a 95% chance of making the postseason, making them virtual locks for the playoffs after just six weeks. The Carolina Panthers are on the cusp at 92%.

At the other end of the spectrum, there are still just three teams without a legit shot to make the playoffs. The Detroit Lions (4%), Jacksonville Jaguars (3%), and Cleveland Browns (2%) all have less than a 5% chance to make the playoffs.

Here are the eight teams with the best chance to win each division:

  • AFC East — New England Patriots, 89% chance to win their division
  • AFC North — Cincinnati Bengals, 76%
  • AFC South — Indianapolis Colts, 68%
  • AFC West — Denver Broncos, 94%
  • NFC East — Philadelphia Eagles, 38%
  • NFC North — Green Bay Packers, 90%
  • NFC South — Carolina Panthers, 62%
  • NFC West — Arizona Cardinals, 49%

You can see the full projections at FiveThirtyEight.

NOW WATCH: Curious things most people don't know about Tom Brady

See the best NFL photos from the last week:

7 PHOTOS
NFL week 6 best photos
See Gallery
NATE SILVER: 73% chance that the Super Bowl will be won by 1 of these 5 teams
INDIANAPOLIS - OCTOBER 18: New England Patriots Brandon Bolden and New England Patriots defense weren't fooled when the Indianapolis Colts lined up in a strange punt formation as Bolden and cornerback Logan Ryan grabbed Indianapolis Colts Colt Anderson and took him to the turf on the play in the third quarter. The New England Patriots take on the Indianapolis Colts in a Sunday night football game at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Ind. on Oct. 18, 2015. (Photo by Barry Chin/The Boston Globe via Getty Images)
JACKSONVILLE, FL - OCTOBER 18: Guard A.J. Cann #60 of the Jacksonville Jaguars emerges from a cloud of smoke during the team's intro before the game against the Houston Texans at EverBank Field on October 18, 2015 in Jacksonville, Florida. The Texans defeated the Jaguars 31 to 20. (Photo by Don Juan Moore/Getty Images)
SEATTLE, WA - OCTOBER 18: Wide receiver Ricardo Lockette #83 of the Seattle Seahawks makes a catch for a touchdown against defensive back Kurt Coleman #20 of the Carolina Panthers in the third quarter at CenturyLink Field on October 18, 2015 in Seattle, Washington. The Panthers defeated the Seahawks 27-23. (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)
PITTSBURGH, PA - OCTOBER 18: Larry Fitzgerald #11 of the Arizona Cardinals leaps over Antwon Blake #41 of the Pittsburgh Steelers in the 1st half of the gmae at Heinz Field on October 18, 2015 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
INDIANAPOLIS - OCTOBER 18: New England Patriots running back LeGarrette Blount hurtles into the end zone for his second touchdown of the game, scoring this one in the fourth quarter. The New England Patriots take on the Indianapolis Colts in a Sunday night football game at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Ind. on Oct. 18, 2015. (Photo by Barry Chin/The Boston Globe via Getty Images)
SANTA CLARA, CA - OCTOBER 18: Wide receiver Quinton Patton #11 of the San Francisco 49ers celebrates in the stands after a 21-yard touchdown catch against the Baltimore Ravens during their NFL game at Levi's Stadium on October 18, 2015 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)
HIDE CAPTION
SHOW CAPTION
of
SEE ALL
BACK TO SLIDE

See Also:

Read Full Story

From Our Partners