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Browns should think twice before trading up to draft a quarterback

Which QB Goes Third in NFL Draft?


Don't do it, Cleveland. You've had enough cautionary tales by now, one as recently as last year when a trade up for the right to draft Johnny Manziel blew up in your face.

As we established earlier this offseason, first-round quarterbacks have not been paying off at all in recent years. In fact, looking at the 17 quarterbacks taken in the first round since 2009, no more than three of them (Andrew Luck, Ryan Tannehill and maybe Matthew Stafford) had what I'd call good 2014 campaigns.

Now, we're hearing that the mistake-prone Browns are reportedly talking with the Washington Redskins about a trade to move up into the No. 5 spot, presumably for a shot at a top-flight prospect like Jameis Winston or Marcus Mariota. But even if the Browns haven't learned from what happened with recent first-round busts Manziel, Brandon Weeden and Brady Quinn, they should consider how rarely things pan out well for teams who trade up for quarterbacks in that round.

Here's the list generated by Adam Jahns of the Chicago Sun-Times:

Quarterbacks drafted after first-round trade-ups this century:
1. Michael Vick (2001)
2. Kyle Boller (2003)
3. Eli Manning (2004)
4. J.P. Losman (2004)
5. Jason Campbell (2005)
6. Jay Cutler (2006)
7. Brady Quinn (2007)
8. Joe Flacco (2008)
9. Mark Sanchez (2009)
10. Josh Freeman (2009)
11. Tim Tebow (2010)
12. Blaine Gabbert (2011)
13. Robert Griffin III (2012)
14. Johnny Manziel (2014)
15. Teddy Bridgewater (2015)

Only four are NFL starters, while only two - Manning and Flacco - are established veterans holding secure jobs. Those are the only two with championships, while five are currently out of the league. I would say only one of the last 12 have come through and delivered at or beyond expectations (Flacco).

Don't do it, Cleveland.

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Browns should think twice before trading up to draft a quarterback
MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - APRIL 25: Cameron Munster of the Storm is tackled by the Sea Eagles defence during the round eight NRL match between the Melbourne Storm and the Manly Sea Eagles at AAMI Park on April 25, 2015 in Melbourne, Australia. (Photo by Scott Barbour/Getty Images)
BOSTON - APRIL 20: The Elite Womens division winner Caroline Rotich crosses the finish line in Boston on April 20, 2015. (Photo by John Tlumacki/The Boston Globe via Getty Images)
PITTSBURGH, PA - APRIL 20: Gregory Polanco #25 of the Pittsburgh Pirates reacts after scoring in the first inning against the Chicago Cubs during the game at PNC Park on April 20, 2015 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)
HOUSTON, TX - APRIL 21: Josh Smith #5 of the Houston Rockets drives baseline for a dunk past Monta Ellis #11 of the Dallas Mavericks as well as Dirk Nowitzki #41 and Tyson Chandler #6 as James Harden #13 looks on in the second half during Game Two of the Western Conference Quarterfinals of the 2015 NBA Playoffs at Toyota Center on April 21, 2015 in Houston, Texas.  (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
KANSAS CITY, MO - APRIL 20: Salvador Perez #13 of the Kansas City Royals is tagged out at home plate by catcher Kurt Suzuki #8 of the Minnesota Twins while trying to score during the 2nd inning of the game at Kauffman Stadium on April 20, 2015 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)
ISTANBUL, TURKEY - APRIL 21: Players of Anadolu Efes Istanbul celebrate victory during the 2014-2015 Turkish Airlines Euroleague Basketball Play Off Game 3 between Anadolu Efes Istanbul v Real Madrid at Abdi Ipekci Arena on April 21, 2015 in Istanbul, Turkey. (Photo by Aykut Akici/EB via Getty Images)
UNIONDALE, NY - APRIL 21: Jason Chimera #25 of the Washington Capitals sprays ice on Jaroslav Halak #41 of the New York Islanders in Game Four of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals during the 2015 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs at Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum on April 21, 2015 in Uniondale, New York. (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images)
BOSTON - APRIL 18: (ninth inning) Baltimore Orioles left fielder Alejandro De Aza (#12), Baltimore Orioles left fielder David Lough (#9), and Baltimore Orioles center fielder Adam Jones (#10) celebrate the 4-1 win over the Boston Red Sox. The Boston Red Sox take on the Baltimore Orioles in Game two of a four game series at Fenway Park. (Photo by Barry Chin/The Boston Globe via Getty Images)
CHICAGO, IL - APRIL 21: Andrew Desjardins #11 of the Chicago Blackhawks slides across the ice as goalie Pekka Rinne #35 of the Nashville Predators makes the save during Game Four of the Western Conference Quarterfinals during the 2015 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs at the United Center on April 21, 2015 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Bill Smith/NHLI via Getty Images)
DETROIT, MI - APRIL 20: Designated hitter Alex Rodriguez #13 of the New York Yankees ducks under a high pitch during the sixth inning of the game against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on April 20, 2015 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Leon Halip/Getty Images)
DETROIT, MI - APRIL 23: Ondrej Palat #18 of the Tampa Bay Lightning celebrates with Nikita Kucherov #86 next to Darren Helm #43 of the Detroit Red Wings after a overtime game winning goal by Tyler Johnson #9 to win 3-2 in Game Four of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals during the 2015 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs at Joe Louis Arena on April 23, 2015 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
BOSTON, MA - APRIL 23: Kevin Love #0 of the Cleveland Cavaliers is fouled by Jared Sullinger #7 of the Boston Celtics during the first quarter of their game in the first round of the 2015 NBA Playoffs at TD Garden on April 23, 2015 in Boston, Massachusetts. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)
DALLAS, TX - APRIL 26: Dwight Howard #12 of the Houston Rockets grabs a rebound against Al-Farouq Aminu #7 of the Dallas Mavericks during Game Four of the Western Conference quarterfinals of the 2015 NBA Playoffs at American Airlines Center on April 26, 2015 in Dallas, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND - APRIL 26: Runners on The Virgin Money London Marathon cross the River Thames as seen from The Tower Bridge Exhibition'sGlass Flooring on April 26, 2015 in London, England. 38,000 people are running the 26.2 mile marathon course which finishes on The Mall in front of Buckingham Palace. (Photo by Peter Macdiarmid/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NY - APRIL 24: Derek Stepan #21 of the New York Rangers celebrates his powerplay goal at 4:23 of the first period against Marc-Andre Fleury #29 of the Pittsburgh Penguins in Game Five of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals during the 2015 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs at Madison Square Garden on April 24, 2015 in New York City. (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images)
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