6 Investing Lessons from Buffett's 50 Years of Success
In a sense, the Oracle of Omaha turned 50 this month. While Warren Buffett himself is 84 years old, he's now celebrating the 50th anniversary of when he took charge of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-A) (BRK-B). At that time, Berkshire was a declining textile manufacturer operating at a loss and closing plants. Today, it's a huge conglomerate that owns and operates numerous successful businesses, including the insurance companies that provide it with the huge pool of cash that Buffett and his team use to acquire new businesses and invest in the stock market. Berkshire Hathaway has grown over 20 percent a year, on average, over the past 50 years -- a return that's roughly twice that of the S&P 500 (^GSPC) over the same period.
Buffett has plenty to celebrate, but in this year's letter to shareholders, he spends almost as much time reflecting on his mistakes as he does his successes. Buffett not only writes about the past year's results, but looks back on his whole 50-year journey at the helm of Berkshire Hathaway -- and looks ahead to the future, including what the firm will do when he's gone.
He's learned a lot in the past 50 years, as you might imagine, and he has plenty of advice for individual investors -- including how to save money on your flight down to Berkshire's annual meeting, if you're going, and what to order at his favorite restaurant (the root beer float at Piccolo's). Let's focus on investing, though. Here are six lessons individual investors can learn from Buffett's golden anniversary reflections:
1. Your Behavior Makes Investing Risky, Not Volatility
Volatility shouldn't matter if you're investing for the long haul, Buffett points out. The real problem is, if you're spooked by volatility, you may end up doing something really risky -- like trying to time the market. It's investor behavior -- actively trading, failing to diversify and paying excessive fees -- that makes owning stocks risky, Buffett says.
2. Be Wary of Salespeople
"Don't ask the barber whether you need a haircut," Buffett writes. Consider the business model of anyone who's giving you advice -- do they make more money when you take action as opposed to sitting tight in an index fund? Buffett also notes that most advisers "are far better at generating high fees than they are at generating high returns." They're really salespeople, he says. Research by San Francisco investment firm SigFig supports this: advisers generally don't justify their fees by outperforming individuals who manage their own accounts.
3. Face Your Mistakes
Buffett owns up to quite a few mistakes in this letter--starting with building up a large stake in Berkshire Hathaway in the '60s, which he essentially says he did out of spite. He mentions businesses he shouldn't have acquired, and opportunities he missed. He also says he should have sold out of Tesco (TESO) sooner than he did (although he notes that it has now hired new management). That serves as a lesson for investors who tend to hold onto the losers in their portfolios too long, to avoid the pain of taking the loss. Take Buffett as your role model and learn to own up to your mistakes, take your hits, and move on.
4. Don't Expect Another 50 Years Like the Last 50
Buffett is very confident that Berkshire will continue to be well-managed and the value of the business will continue to grow. However, he says investors still shouldn't expect the kind of percentage gains from Berkshire in the next 50 years that it's enjoyed over the last 50. "The numbers have become too big," he says. A business of Berkshire's size simply can't continue gaining 20 percent a year.
It's obviously been a great 50 years for Buffett, as well as for Berkshire Hathaway investors. The stock has gained a staggering total of 1,826,163 percent from 1964 to 2014. Even if such returns are a thing of the past, Buffett still has plenty to offer investors: his timeless, sensible, down-to-earth advice. Especially about that root beer float. (He says to get the large.)
5. A Single Year Often Says More About the Market Than the Stock
As Buffett's own investing mentor, Ben Graham, famously said, "In the short term, the market is a voting machine; in the long run it acts as a weighing machine." In other words, in the long term, stronger businesses will ultimately be worth more -- but in the short term, anything can happen. Nobody knows what any stock will be worth a year from now, but you can be reasonably confident that investing in a solid business will reward you in the long run -- unless you've overpaid for that stock in the first place.
6. Avoid Overpriced Investments
Buffett returns to this point a few times in his letter. It's one of his core principles when looking for businesses to acquire: even a good business is a bad investment if you pay too much for it. This absolutely applies to individuals buying common stock. As Buffett writes of Berkshire Hathaway's own stock, "a sound investment can morph into a rash speculation if it is bought at an elevated price." This point is worth remembering -- particularly when you're considering buying shares in a hot new IPO. Individual investors tend to pay a premium for newly public shares, which cuts into any potential returns.
Sarah Morgan is a contributing writer at SigFig. Nearly a million people use SigFig to track, improve and manage over $300 billion in investments.