NFL Draft: Predicting hits/misses among the top 10 players
With the NFL Combine behind us and the draft a little more than two months away, NFL teams are already shoring up their draft boards.
Every scout, every team has a consensus top ten. Only those players deemed stars or very effective pros ever make it to this esteemed list, but there's a blunt reality which must be faced: roughly 55% of the draft's top ten players historically live up to their marquee hype. I went back and looked at the last ten drafts to generate this number, and invite you to do the same.
Based on this, NFL talent evaluators fail 45% of the time on top ten selections – an alarming rate. And because I don't enjoy being accused of hindsight criticism – it's always crystal clear - I thought we'd exhibit a bit of foresight today.
Perusing mock drafts all over the internet, I've compiled a current consensus – the 2015 NFL Draft's top ten players as of today. And with a second opinion offered by Draftbreakdown.com and Bleacher Report's Luke Easterling, he and I peer into our crystal balls to offer "star," "solid starter," and "bust" designations for the cream of the crop this year.
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