Why You Shouldn't Worry About High-Frequency Trading
When I shared this thought with my colleague Nick, his response was "As in, don't worry about the HFT guys allegedly skimming billions off the market by arbitraging microseconds?"
"That's right," I said.
Why High-Frequency Trading Is Decreasing
Some brokerage firms use super-expensive equipment to get access to more information and get that data faster -- slivers of a second faster. The edge allows them to trade in and out stocks in a flash and make a profit of maybe a thousandth of a cent per share. But since they do this millions of times a minute, these fractions add up. They also use their technological advances to flood the market with bogus trades in an effort to confuse the market and confound competitors. It's a billion-dollar industry that some people are up in arms about. Let me tell you why I'm not one of them:
- The industry is shrinking. According to the New York Times, HFT firms are going to bring in $1.25 billion this year. That's serious money, but a 35 percent drop since last year and a 75 percent slide since 2009. According to the Times, many firms are closing or cutting staff.
- There is less opportunity. Profits are dropping. Overall trading volume has declined, and that means fewer prospects for high-frequency traders to work their evil.
- It's becoming more expensive to maintain the technological edge. To shave off the first 30 milliseconds was easy. The next 30 milliseconds will be very costly.
- As word got out about HFT six or seven years ago, more players jumped into the game. That increased downward pressure on profits and also introduced mutual funds to this technique. Since at least some mutual funds are HFT traders, investors themselves are participating in the profits, too.
- Increased scrutiny from regulators around the globe means players are less enthusiastic about getting into or staying in the game.
On the positive side, studies suggest HFT helps investors by creating liquidity and reducing the cost to trade buy keeping spreads thin.
%VIRTUAL-article-sponsoredlinks%On the negative was the May 6, 2010 "flash crash," in which the marketed cratered 9 percent. The crash happened as a direct result of one transaction -- a $4.1 billion sale of futures contracts.
But I'm not even worried about that sort of event recurring. First, odds are high that measures soon will be put in place to curb this kind of wackiness. The Chicago Federal Reserve suggested several controls.
And the market itself is at work. The market did crash 1,010 points on that terrible day in 2010. But it regained every cent within minutes. Why? Because the same algorithms that flashed "sell" turned around and flashed "buy" when they recognized the prices were artificially low. These flash crashes are problems, but they self-correct. Long-term investors won't be impacted by HFT.
[Correction: A previous version of this article inaccurately described the opinions of Eric Hunsader, owner of market technology and data firm Nanex, on HFT, based on an article in Forbes. DailyFinance regrets the error.]