Can Quiksilver Earnings Surf Past Zumiez and Pacific Sunwear?
Quiksilver will release its quarterly report on Thursday, and investors have been impressed with the surf-apparel retailer's recent performance. As the vital holiday season enters full swing, though, will Quiksilver be able to sustain its momentum against Zumiez and Pacific Sunwear and keep its share price climbing higher?
Quiksilver faces an ultracompetitive environment, having to keep up with the fickle fashion trends of younger shoppers while remaining true to its core values in order to retain its base of loyal long-term customers. In addition to fellow specialists like Zumiez and Pacific Sunwear, Quiksilver also faces competition from opportunistic retailers looking to take advantage of hot trends without making long-term commitments to them. That raises the question of how Quiksilver can take its past success and carry it into the future. Let's take an early look at what's been happening with Quiksilver over the past quarter and what we're likely to see in its report.
Stats on Quiksilver
Analyst EPS Estimate
Change From Year-Ago EPS
Change From Year-Ago Revenue
Earnings Beats in Past 4 Quarters
Source: Yahoo! Finance.
Can Quiksilver earnings keep up their positive momentum?
In recent months, analysts have gotten more cautious about Quiksilver earnings, cutting their estimates for the quarter ended in October by $0.02 per share and pulling back on their full-year fiscal 2014 projections by a penny per share. Still, the stock has soared more than 50% since early September.
Quiksilver dazzled investors early in the quarter, crushing earnings estimates even as revenue fell 3% from the year-ago quarter. Improving conditions in Europe and Asia helped pave the way, while refinancing the company's extensive debt to reduce interest expenses and other cost-cutting measures helped bolster margins and put Quiksilver on more stable financial footing.
But over the longer run, Quiksilver and its competitors have had a much harder time producing growth. Pacific Sunwear has had to push its demographic focus up in age in order to capture more customers, and it has boosted name-brand merchandise from Vans and other well-known manufacturers to increase shopper interest. Zumiez saw relatively strong results earlier in the year, but its quarterly report last week showed a year-over-year decline in net income even as comparable-store sales rose 1.5% for the quarter ended in October.
Quiksilver has sought to take advantage of other distribution channels to bolster growth. In addition to its own network of stores, Quiksilver has used partnerships with Tilly's, as well as department-store chains, to get its teen activewear in front of more customers. Yet Tilly's also plunged recently, with weak traffic and comp declines pointing to a potentially tough holiday season for the retailer, and by extension its suppliers.
In the Quiksilver earnings report, see if the retailer is able to boost performance from its own stores as well as eking more sales from distribution partnerships. If the company can't duplicate its positive surprise from September, then shares could tumble quickly from their current lofty heights.
Surf to better returns in 2014
Quiksilver hasn't been the best performer of the year, but smart investors are already looking forward to 2014 to find next year's huge winners. The Motley Fool's chief investment officer has just hand-picked one such opportunity in our new report: "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2014." To find out which stock it is and read our in-depth report, simply click here. It's free!
Click here to add Quiksilver to My Watchlist, which can find all of our Foolish analysis on it and all your other stocks.
The article Can Quiksilver Earnings Surf Past Zumiez and Pacific Sunwear? originally appeared on Fool.com.Fool contributor Dan Caplinger has no position in any stocks mentioned. You can follow him on Twitter @DanCaplinger. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Copyright © 1995 - 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.