How Low Can Sohu.com Go?
Shares of Sohu.com (NAS: SOHU) hit a 52-week low on Tuesday. Let's look at how the company got here and whether dark clouds are ahead.
How it got here
Sohu has fallen far from its all-time high of over $109 set more than a year ago, with shares roughly 60% lower. Chinese dot-coms were all the rage a couple of years ago, and some may have gotten ahead of themselves and have subsequently fallen back down to Earth.
The past two quarters have mostly disappointed investors. The company reported its fourth-quarter results in February, and despite the better-than-expected figures, Sohu provided soft outlook and predicted a 20% drop in brand advertising revenue. Shares plunged on concerns that the company didn't have as much growth in store.
The next quarter told a similar story, again beating estimates on the current quarter while the disappointing guidance again triggered a plunge. CEO Charles Zhang said the brand advertising business saw a slot start during the period because of the early Chinese New Year holiday and softening macroeconomic conditions in China.
How it stacks up
Let's see how Sohu stacks up against some of its Chinese Internet-based peers.
We'll add some additional fundamental metrics for more insight.
Sales growth (MRQ)
Net margin (TTM)
|Baidu (NAS: BIDU)||36.1||75.0%||45.4%||55.7%|
|SINA (NAS: SINA)||NM||21.3%||(62.6%)||(26.3%)|
|NetEase (NAS: NTES)||14.4||28.5%||44.2%||28.3%|
Source: Reuters. TTM = trailing 12 months. MRQ = most recent quarter. NM = not meaningful.
Baidu stands out as the clearest leader, and its performance shows it. There's good reason that it's known as the "Google of China." It carries a premium valuation, but has the growth and profitability to back it up.
SINA has been seeing growth deceleration of its own recently, which is partially why it's lost almost two-thirds of its value over the past 13 months. NetEase has held up relatively better than Sohu.com and SINA, but it also plays more games than the others.
Investors had priced a lot of growth into Chinese companies, and it seems that some of that enthusiasm was a little frothy. China still remains the hottest emerging market for growth, but sometimes it's hard to put a price on it.
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At the time this article was published Fool contributor Evan Niu holds no position in any company mentioned. Click here to see his holdings and a short bio. The Motley Fool owns shares of Google and Baidu. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Baidu, Google, SINA, NetEase, and Sohu.com. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.
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