After a Wretched Start, '09 Ends Sublime for Stocks
Winners: Tech, Materials . . . and Diedrich Coffee
The best-performing sectors were tech and materials, with gains of more than 60% and 50%, respectively, according to Capital IQ. That's partly a reflection of how badly beaten down those sectors were coming out of last year, and partly because they comprise early-cycle stocks, meaning they tend to move well ahead of an economic recovery.
The biggest laggards were telecommunications, which gained 5%, and utilities, which added about 10%. No surprise there, as investors dumped poky, defensive, dividend-payers in order to wrap their arms around risk and its attendant rewards.
Drilling down into individual names, the top-performing U.S. stock of 2009 was Diedrich Coffee (DDRX). Now in the process of being acquired by Peet's Coffee (PEET), Diedrich shares soared nearly 9,600% this year. (It was the best stock in the Nasdaq Composite, too). The top Dow stock was American Express (AXP), which rose 120%, while the XL Capital (XL) led the S&P 500 with a 398% gain.
The Most Dismal Decade
As salutary as 2009 was for U.S. equity investors, it did little to make up for a decade of buy-and-hold misery. Indeed, the last 10 years the ignoble distinction of being the Worst Decade Ever for stocks. Thanks to a couple of mighty assets bubbles -- first in tech stocks and then in credit -- the 2000s turned out to be even more horrid than the Stagflation 70s or, gulp, Great Depression 30s. That's right: The S&P 500 produced an annualized, inflation-adjusted "return" of -3.3% over the last decade, according to Charles Jones, a finance professor at North Carolina State University.
That's not to say there wasn't huge money to be made in equities -- if you knew where to look. True, the following is like going back in time with the winning Mega Millions numbers, but we decided to construct the perfect concentrated portfolio for the last 10 years, helped by the Center for Research in Securities Prices at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business.
If you bought these 10 names on the last trading day of 1999 and reinvested all the dividends, you would have enjoyed an average total return of . . . wait for it . . . 5,029%.
The Top 10 Stocks of the Last 10 Years
1) Terra Nitrogen (TNH) 7,137%
2) Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR) 6,985%
3) Hansen Natural (HANS) 6,483%
4) Bally Technologies (BYI) 5,806%
5) Southwestern Energy (SWN) 5,402%
6) Clean Harbors (CLH) 4,657%
7) Almost Family (AFAM) 3,513%
8) Quality Systems (QSII) 3,501%
9) Deckers Outdoor (DECK) 3,429%
10) Jos. A Bank Clothiers (JOSB) 3,378%