Armed Forces Bowl: What to know about Baylor vs. Air Force

What should you know about the Armed Forces Bowl? Baylor (6-6) and Air Force (9-3) meet on Thursday at Amon G. Carter Stadium on the TCU campus.

Here are some key facts and notes to know if you are going to brave the sub-freezing temperatures and attend in person or if you choose to watch it on TV (6:30 p.m., ESPN).

Dave Aranda will call the defensive plays in the frigid Armed Forces Bowl against option-oriented Air Force for the first time since the Baylor coach was running the defense for LSU’s national championship team three years ago.

Stepping into his office right now is like stepping back in time.

“It’s been a while,” Aranda said. “You go into my office now, my desk, I’ve got fits and drawings all over. I remember those days. It used to be a clean desk. It’s not like that anymore.”

Aranda fired defensive coordinator Ron Roberts at the end of a 6-6 regular season that followed a run to the 2021 Big 12 championship and Sugar Bowl victory over Mississippi. Roberts joined new Auburn coach Hugh Freeze’s staff as defensive coordinator.

Special teams coordinator and safeties coach Ronnie Wheat also were let go after the Bears finished in the middle of the pack in the Big 12 in defensive efficiency.

“I think what we’re trying to do here is probably different than most, and I just think it’s way important that everything’s together in terms of how we treat people and what we’re doing and all of it and the fit,” Aranda said. “I think we’re going to have a great fit moving forward.”

The forecast calls for temperatures in the teens with a sub-zero wind chill at the home of TCU, Baylor’s Big 12 rival.

The Falcons (9-3) are making their sixth Armed Forces Bowl appearance, more than any team. Baylor’s pedigree is probably the strongest of any of their opponents. It’s the first meeting between the schools since 1977.

“I think it’s astounding when you look at their program and what they’ve done here over the last 12 years,” Air Force coach Troy Calhoun said. “So for us to encounter somebody like this in one game, our guys realize we’re really fortunate to be in this situation.”

The Falcons feature the vaunted triple-option offense and running back Brad Roberts, who has a school-record 1,612 yards rushing (134.3 per game).

Air Force leads the nation at 330.9 yards rushing per game, while Baylor allows 138. The Bears allowed three 100-yard rushers in their past four games, after only before that.

“I think whenever you face an option team, there’s not a lot of gray. It’s black and white,” Aranda said. “It’s a math game. It’s 11-on-11, but we have to make sure we’ve got the bounce numbers and the correct leverages.”

RUN, RUN REESE

Running back Richard Reese set a Baylor freshman record with 962 yards rushing to go with 14 touchdowns. He has three 100-yard games, but only 171 yards combined in the past four games.

SOMETHING’S GOT TO GIVE

The Baylor defense was on the field for an average of about 27 1/2 minutes per game during the regular season. Air Force has the nation’s best ball-control offense at more than 36 minutes per game.

ON A ROLL

Air Force has a four-game game winning streak and a shot at its fifth 10-win season since 2014. The Falcons went 15 years without one before that.

WATCH THE INTERIOR

The interior of Baylor’s defensive line has Calhoun’s attention with All-Big 12 selection Siaki Ika. The 6-foot-4, 358-pound nose tackle is an LSU transfer.

“I don’t know if we’ve ever played against a guy who was that capable that they have up front,” Calhoun said. “Truly a guy who’s going to make gobs of money playing the NFL.”

THIS LOOKS FAMILIAR

While Baylor is making the short trip from its Waco campus about 100 miles south of Fort Worth to play in a familiar stadium, Air Force has been a regular in the Dallas area recently.

The Falcons beat Louisville 31-28 in the First Responder Bowl at SMU in Dallas last December, then beat Army 13-7 in a neutral-site game at the home of MLB’s Texas Rangers last month.

WHAT’S AT STAKE

Air Force is making its sixth appearance in the Armed Forces Bowl, the most by any team. The Falcons have won there only once, but ended this regular season with a four-game winning streak and have won their last three bowls overall since a loss to California in the 2015 Armed Forces Bowl. Baylor is trying to avoid a losing season. The Bears have a three-game losing streak, all to ranked teams, but have won four of their last five bowl games. Baylor and Air Force last played in 1977.

FACTS & FIGURES

The game is played on the TCU campus, where Baylor has lost five of its last seven games. ... Only one team scored more than 21 points this season against Air Force, which has allowed only 16.6 points per game over the past two seasons. ... The Falcons beat Army 13-7 on Nov. 5 in the Commander’s Classic played at Globe Life Field, the home stadium of the MLB’s Texas Rangers that is about 20 miles from the TCU campus. ... Both teams have 14 bowl victories — Air Forces is 14-13-1, and Baylor is 14-12.