Nikki Haley comes in behind Trump in New Hampshire primary poll - live

Nikki Haley has risen to second place behind Donald Trump in New Hampshire, according to a new poll of Republican primary voters by Suffolk University, The Boston Globe, and USA Today.

The former South Carolina governor and UN Ambassador received 19 per cent of likely primary voters, her highest numbers in the state so far in the 2024 campaign. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is in third place in the state at 10 per cent while all other candidates are in the single digits.

This comes as a poll by Politico and Morning Consult has revealed that a majority of voters would support an attempt to disqualify the former president from the ballot in 2024.

Fifty-one per cent said that Mr Trump is prevented from running under the 14th Amendment because he was part of an insurrection following the 2020 election.

Before the survey respondents were asked about disqualifying Mr Trump, they were asked a number of questions concerning the Constitution and Mr Trump’s behaviour after the last presidential election.

Thirty-four per cent said that Mr Trump should not be disqualified.

Key Points

• What have GOP candidates said about strikes and unions?

• Majority of voters say Trump should be disqualified under 14th amendment, poll shows

• Poll showing Trump 10 points ahead of Biden blasted as ‘absurd’ and ‘ridiculous'

Nikki Haley comes in behind Trump in New Hampshire primary poll

13:13 , Gustaf Kilander

Nikki Haley has risen to second place behind Donald Trump in New Hampshire, according to a new poll of Republican primary voters by Suffolk University, The Boston Globe, and USA Today.

The former South Carolina governor and UN Ambassador received 19 per cent of likely primary voters, her highest numbers in the state so far in the 2024 campaign. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is in third place in the state at 10 per cent while all other candidates are in the single digits.

Most of Iowa and New Hampshire voters are considering candidates other than Trump

Saturday 30 September 2023 18:00 , Gustaf Kilander

While Mr Trump has a massive lead with the national Republican electorate, voters in the early-voting states of Iowa and New Hampshire are looking beyond the former president.

More than three-quarters of likely Republican voters in those states are either not even considering Mr Trump, or are considering him but are also looking at other options, according to a poll by CBS News and YouGov.

But when voters were asked who they would back right now, Mr Trump topped the poll by 30 points in Iowa and by 37 points in New Hampshire.

Ron DeSantis was supported by 21 per cent in Iowa and 13 per cent in New Hampshire.

Trump has biggest primary poll lead since George W Bush in 2000 election

Saturday 30 September 2023 17:00 , Gustaf Kilander

Donald Trump has the biggest primary poll lead since George W Bush in the 2000 election.

According to a CNN polling average of five national surveys conducted between 7 and 24 September, Mr Trump has the backing of 58 per cent of Republican voters.

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is supported by 15 per cent – 43 points behind Mr Trump.

At a similar time in the 2000 campaign, in September 1999, Mr Bush was a 62 per cent in the polls to Elizabeth Dole’s 10 per cent – a lead of 52 points.

What have GOP candidates said about strikes and unions?

Saturday 30 September 2023 16:00 , Gustaf Kilander

Before the election of Donald Trump, it would have been more or less unthinkable for a Republican to be criticised for invoking Ronald Reagan.

But as college graduates move towards the Democrats and more socially conservative working-class voters towards the GOP, Republican candidates can no longer invoke the Golden State governor and B-list actor and be sure that whatever they say will be a slam dunk.

South Carolina Senator Tim Scott figured this out the hard way on the campaign trail. As both President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump speak to the United Auto Workers Union this week, both of them will attempt to appear to be on the side of the workers.

Mr Scott was hit with a complaint from the union after he was asked about his view of the labour negotiations following the UAW’s decision to strike against the Big Three automakers.

“Ronald Reagan gave us a great example when federal employees decided they were going to strike,” he said.

Mr Reagan fired thousands of air traffic controllers after they went on strike in 1981.

“He said, ‘You strike, you’re fired.’ Simple concept to me. To the extent that we can use that once again, absolutely,” Mr Scott said in Iowa earlier this month, even as the GOP has come to rely more and more on blue-collar workers.

But the Republican Party today remains anti-union, especially when considering what General Dwight Eisenhower told the American Federation of Labor when he was running for president in 1952.

“Today in America unions have a secure place in our industrial life,” he said. “Only a handful of unreconstructed reactionaries harbour the ugly thought of breaking unions. Only a fool would try to deprive working men and women of the right to join the union of their choice.”

Here’s what each of the Republican presidential candidates has said about strikes and unions.

Majority of voters say Trump should be disqualified under 14th amendment, poll shows

Saturday 30 September 2023 15:08 , Gustaf Kilander

A new poll by Politico and Morning Consult has revealed that a majority of voters would support an attempt to disqualify former President Donald Trump from the ballot in 2024.

Fifty-one per cent said that Mr Trump is prevented from running under the 14th Amendment because he was part of an insurrection following the 2020 election.

Before the survey respondents were asked about disqualifying Mr Trump, they were asked a number of questions concerning the Constitution and Mr Trump’s behaviour after the last presidential election.

Thirty-four per cent said that Mr Trump should not be disqualified.

Poll showing Trump 10 points ahead of Biden blasted as ‘absurd’ and ‘ridiculous'

Monday 25 September 2023 14:47 , Gustaf Kilander

A poll by The Washington Post and ABC has been blasted by observers after it showed former President Donald Trump 10 points ahead of President Joe Biden.

The director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, pollster Larry Sabato, wrote on X: “Ignore the Washington Post - ABC poll. It’s a ridiculous outlier (Trump up 10 over Biden—laughable). My question: How could you even publish a poll so absurd on its face? Will be a lingering embarrassment for you.”

The chief political analyst at The New York Times, Nate Cohn, wrote: “It’s really really hard to release outlying poll results, so you’ve got to give credit to ABC/Post here, but I do have a fairly major quibble with ABC/Post here: if you release consecutive ‘outlying’ poll results -- R+7 in May, R+10 today -- you don’t get to dismiss your results.”

The poll by The Washington Post and ABC does show Mr Trump with a 10-point over Mr Biden, but The Post itself writes that “the sizable margin of Trump’s lead in this survey is significantly at odds with other public polls that show the general election contest a virtual dead heat. The difference between this poll and others, as well as the unusual makeup of Trump’s and Biden’s coalitions in this survey, suggest it is probably an outlier”.

Mr Cohn added: “If it happens twice in a row in the same race, it’s clear that this is the result of some element of your approach, and either you either need to decide you’re good with it and defend it or you need to go home.”

Trump has double-digit lead over Trump in new poll

Sunday 24 September 2023 19:41 , Ariana Baio

Polling from The Washington Post and ABC News shows ex-president Donald Trump with a 10 percentage point lead over President Joe Biden in the 2024 presidential election.

The survey, which asked 1,006 US adults about their preference for either candidate in a general election showed voters responded 52 per cent for Mr Trump and 42 per cent for Mr Biden.

These findings are an increase in favorability for Mr Trump since the same survey was conducted in May.

Biden trounces Trump in new poll of New Hampshire voters

Friday 22 September 2023 16:00 , Andrew Feinberg

A new poll of voters in New Hampshire shows that President Joe Biden would easily win the state’s electoral votes if the next presidential election were held today.

According to the survey of 2,107 Granite State voters by CNN and the University of New Hampshire Survey Centre, Mr Biden tops former president Donald Trump among voters there by a margin of 52 per cent to 40 per cent.

Mr Biden also holds a commanding lead among primary voters there despite not being permitted to campaign there by Democratic Party rules which make next year’s South Carolina primary the party’s first official presidential contest.

Among New Hampshire Democrats, Mr Biden has support from 78 per cent of them, while his two declared Democratic primary opponents — author Marianne Williamson and anti-vaccine conspiracy theorist Robert F Kennedy Jr — each poll in single digits.

The president’s lead among primary voters in the Granite State stands in stark contrast to national poll, many of which show him tied with Mr Trump or trailing by single-digit margins.

DeSantis losing ground in GOP primary, polls show

Friday 22 September 2023 15:07 , Gustaf Kilander

A number of recent polls reveal that Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is losing ground in the Republican primary.

The polls show Mr DeSantis dropping both on the national level and in the early voting states.

A poll by CNN and the University of New Hampshire released on Wednesday shows that Mr DeSantis has lost more than half of his backing in the state since the last poll conducted by the university two months previously.

Mr DeSantis received 10 per cent in the polls while former president Donald Trump got 39 per cent, while biotech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy got 13 per cent support, former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley got 12 per cent, and former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie got 11 per cent.

In Iowa, the first state to vote, a poll by Fox Business also published on Wednesday, put Mr DeSantis in second place at 15 per cent support, while Mr Trump was more than 30 points ahead.

Ms Haley came in third at 11 per cent.

In South Carolina, a separate poll by Fox Business revealed that Mr DeSantis was backed by 10 per cent and Mr Trump by 46 per cent. Ms Haley, a former governor of the state, was at 18 per cent.

On the national level, Mr DeSantis was at 12 per cent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll published last week. Mr Trump was 50 points ahead on the national level.

Trump widens lead in Republican primary polls

Tuesday 19 September 2023 16:00 , Gustaf Kilander

Donald Trump has widened his lead in the Republican primary over the last few months, according to a polling average calculated by FiveThirtyEight.

As of 19 September, this is how the polls weigh the candidates’ support:

• Donald Trump: 55.8%

• Ron DeSantis: 14.6%

• Vivek Ramaswamy: 7.8%

• Nikki Haley: 6.4%

• Mike Pence: 4.8%

• Chris Christie: 2.8%

• Tim Scott: 2.5%

• Asa Hutchinson: 0.5%

• Doug Burgum: 0.4%

• Will Hurd: 0.3%

Biden behind Trump and other GOP candidates in hypothetical 2024 matchups, poll shows

Tuesday 19 September 2023 14:33 , Gustaf Kilander

President Joe Biden is lagging behind former President Donald Trump and several other Republican candidates, including former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley, and South Carolina Senator Tim Scott, a new poll outlining a number of hypothetical 2024 general election matchups shows.

The survey from Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll revealed that 44 per cent of respondents said they would vote for Mr Trump, while 40 per cent said they would back Mr Biden. Another 15 per cent said they were unsure.

A Harvard CAPS-Harris poll found in July that Mr Trump was supported by 45 per cent and Mr Biden by 40 per cent.

In a matchup with Ms Haley, 41 per cent said they would vote for the former South Carolina governor, while 37 per cent said they would vote for Mr Biden.

When facing Mr Scott, Mr Biden also received 37 per cent while Mr Scott got 39 per cent.

In the Biden-Haley poll, 21 per cent of respondents said they were unsure – 25 per cent said so when Mr Biden went up against Mr Scott.

Against former Vice President Mike Pence, Mr Biden came out on top with 42 per cent to Mr Pence’s 36 per cent.

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis was also behind the president – 42 to 38 per cent, as was biotech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, who received 37 per cent to Mr Biden’s 39 per cent.

In all of those hypothetical races, at least 20 per cent said they were unsure.

Poll co-director Mark Penn told The Hill: “No question that President Joe Biden is showing lagging national poll numbers and that now multiple GOP candidates are ahead of him. This is a new development as [non-Trump] potential opponents like Haley get exposure.”

Joe Biden’s approval rating reaches highest level since March

Tuesday 12 September 2023 21:37 , Gustaf Kilander

President Joe Biden’s approval rating has risen to its highest level since March – 42 per cent – according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll.

The increasing support stems from Democratic voters coalescing around Mr Biden as House Republicans launch an impeachment inquiry.

Eighty per cent of Democrats approved of Mr Biden while 91 per cent of Republicans disapproved.

Trump, DeSantis and other 2024 GOP prospects vie for attention at Iowa-Iowa State football game

Tuesday 12 September 2023 14:00 , Ariana Baio

Trump, DeSantis and other 2024 GOP prospects vie for attention at Iowa-Iowa State football game

Trump says ending Roe v Wade ‘cost us politically’

Tuesday 12 September 2023 11:00 , Ariana Baio

Donald Trump has repeatedly taken credit for the US Supreme Court’s 2022 decision to revoke a constitutional right to abortion care, a landmark ruling that has upended abortion access for millions of Americans in the months that followed.

Within his one four-year term, the former president appointed three conservative justices to the nine-member panel, tilting the court’s ideological balance in a promised effort to achieve a long-held Republican goal of overturning the 1973 decision in Roe v Wade.

In remarks to a crowd of supporters at a South Dakota rally on 8 September, the former president – who once said “I’m the one that got rid of Roe v Wade” – admitted that the Supreme Court decision has “probably cost” the GOP politically.

“Last year, those justices bravely and incredibly ruled on something that everybody has wanted for decades,” Mr Trump said. “They ruled to end Roe v Wade. That was a big thing. And it’s probably cost us politically, because the other side got energised.”

DeSantis team admits they might have to settle for second place in Iowa

Tuesday 12 September 2023 08:00 , Ariana Baio

He’s made a close ally in the state’s governor. He attended the state fair, and yucked it up with Republican voters in person. But Ron DeSantis still can’t seem to make any headway against Donald Trump in Iowa.

Now, a DeSantis campaign official is telling Politico that the Florida governor’s campaign is preparing for the likelihood of a second-place finish in the first-in-the-nation caucus next year. Doing so, they say, would underscore the GOP primary as a two-person race.

John Bowden reports:

DeSantis team admits they might have to settle for second place in Iowa

Gavin Newsom tamps down speculation that he will run for president in 2024

Tuesday 12 September 2023 05:00 , Ariana Baio

California governor Gavin Newsom is offering reporters and critics of Joe Biden a reality check in terms of the 2024 election.

Mr Newsom was speaking to the Today show for an interview when he was once again presented with murmurs that he could enter the race for president. Many in the media have speculated that the governor would launch his own bid if the incumbent president, Joe Biden, 80, reconsidered his decision to stand for another four years.

“I think the vice president is naturally the one lined up, and the filing deadlines are quickly coming to pass, and I think we need to move past this notion that he’s not going to run,” Mr Newsom said in the interview.

He’s not wrong about the filing deadlines: The earliest hard deadline is coming up on 16 October, when the state of Nevada will cease accepting major-party entrants for the 2024 caucuses. Other states have deadlines throughout November; were Mr Newsom or another Democrat to decide to run after those deadlines, they could be locked out of receiving delegates from those primaries simply because they weren’t on the ballot.

Who is ahead in the Republican polls?

Tuesday 12 September 2023 03:30 , Ariana Baio

The 2024 presidential election is nearing and Donald Trump remains the strong frontrunner, according to FiveThirtyEight.

According to the polls as of 11 September here is where the GOP candidates stand:

Donald Trump 53 per cent

Ron Desantis 13.2 per cent

Vivek Ramaswamy 7.4 per cent

Nikki Haley 5.6 per cent

Mike Pence 4.8 per cent

Chris Christie 3.7 per cent

Tim Scott 2.3 per cent

Dough Burgum 0.5 per cent

Asa Hutchinson 0.2 per cent

Will Hurd 0.2 per cent

GOP senator explains what he might do if Trump is the nominee in 2024

Tuesday 12 September 2023 00:00 , Ariana Baio

A Republican senator who has long voiced his opposition to Donald Trump winning the GOP primary in 2024 is now saying he may not vote for either Joe Biden or Mr Trump next year if the two are their respective parties’ nominees.

Bill Cassidy spoke on Meet the Press on Sunday and explained that he would likely write in another candidate, essentially tossing away his vote, were the two to be on the ballot in November of 2024.

John Bowden reports:

GOP senator explains what he might do if Trump is the nominee in 2024

Biden and Trump tied in most polls

Monday 11 September 2023 22:00 , Ariana Baio

President Joe Biden and ex-president Donald Trump are tied with each other in most polls.

Surveys from The Wall Stree Journal, The New York Times and CNN all show the two are polling with a majority of votes split between them.

In the CNN poll, Mr Trump is ahead of Mr Biden by at least one per cent.

The findings suggest that Mr Trump’s stronghold over his party has not weakened even slightly, despite the numerous lawsuits and criminal cases he has coming up.

It also points to Democratic voters’ feelings toward the current president and how they’re hoping for another candidate to step in.

Who are the moderators for the second GOP debate?

Monday 11 September 2023 19:00 , Ariana Baio

After a fiery debate last month, Republican presidential candidates are preparing for a second presidential primary showdown on 27 September.

The debate is due to take place at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California.

Fox News Media’s Dana Perino and Stuart Varney and UNIVISION’s Ilia Calderón will co-moderate the second Republican presidential primary debate, the networks revealed 31 August.

RFK Jr boasts about polls numbers: 'better then DeSantis’

Saturday 9 September 2023 05:00 , Ariana Baio

Poll-challenged Pence channels the NFL in touting how he can catch up with Trump

Saturday 9 September 2023 02:00 , Ariana Baio

Maybe he’s dreaming of a Hail Mary.

That might have been on former Vice President Mike Pence’s mind when likened his polling gap to former President Donald Trump in the 2024 race to an NFL game after a recent poll revealed a huge margin between the two candidates.

His comments came after a recent CNN poll of Republican-leaning voters showed the former president carrying 52 per cent compared to former VP Pence, who is at 7 per cent.

Kelly Rissman reports:

Hail Mary time? Poll-challenged Pence channels NFL in touting how he can catch Trump

Where the GOP candidates stand in the polls

Friday 8 September 2023 22:00 , Ariana Baio

As of Friday, 8 September, here is where the Republican presidential candidates stand in the polls per FiveThirtyEight.

Trump: 54.1 per cent

DeSantis: 14.5 per cent

Ramaswamy: 8.3 per cent

Haley: 6.4 per cent

Pence: 4.8 per cent

Christie: 3.3 per cent

Scott: 2.3 per cent

Hutchinson: 0.6 per cent

Burgum: 0.5 per cent

Hurd: 0.4 per cent

In a hypothetical match-up Biden loses to Haley

Friday 8 September 2023 19:00 , Ariana Baio

A CNN poll shows that in a hypothetical matchup, President Joe Biden could lose to Republican candidate Nikki Haley.

In a sample of 1,503 respondents, with a margin of error of 3.5 per cent, Ms Haley leads Mr Biden with 49 per cent of respondents saying they would back her over Mr Biden.

VOICES: From cringeworthy to baffling: 2024 candidates revealed their favorite songs

Friday 8 September 2023 16:30 , Ariana Baio

“Who wants to talk about policy when you can talk about music?

Several of the 2024 presidential candidates replied to a Politico query to list their top 20 tracks. The point of the exercise was, ostensibly, to see what music makes the hearts of our prospective presidents sing, but, let’s be honest, the responses were certainly pored over and curated by the candidates’ staffers.”

Graig Graziosi writes:

From cringeworthy to baffling: 2024 candidates revealed their favorite songs

Nearly half of Democratic voters believe Joe Biden is too old

Friday 8 September 2023 11:00 , Ariana Baio

In a new poll from CNN, nearly half of respondents said they were concerned about President Joe Biden’s age going into another presidency.

In a survey of Democrat or Democrat-leaning voters, 49 per cent said that they were concerned about Mr Biden’s age and indicated that the US may need someone younger.

Who are the moderators for the second GOP debate?

Friday 8 September 2023 05:00 , Ariana Baio

The next debate is set for 27 September. Here’s everything you need to know.

Faiza Saqib reports:

Who are the moderators for the second GOP debate?

82% of Democrat voters do not want Biden to be party’s nominee

Friday 8 September 2023 02:00 , Ariana Baio

Democrat voters are desperate for another candidate other than President Joe Biden to run for 2024 president, according to a new poll.

Approximately 82 per cent of Democrat or Democrat-leaning voters said they want to see the Democratic Party nominate “someone besides Joe Biden” for office, the poll conducted by CNN and SSRS found.

Only 1 per cent of those surveyed said they would like to see other potential candidates Robert F Kennedy Jr or Marianne Williamson to be the party’s official nominee.

Haley on a steady rise

Thursday 7 September 2023 23:00 , Ariana Baio

Since the first GOP debate on 23 August, Nikki Haley has been on a steady rise, according to polls.

One poll from FiveThirtyEight shows Ms Haley polling at 3.4 per cent on 23 August. As of 6 September, she is at 6.3 per cent – nearly double where she was two weeks ago.

CNN poll shows Biden tied with Trump and DeSantis – and losing to Nikki Haley

Thursday 7 September 2023 20:00 , Ariana Baio

A new poll from CNN shows President Joe Biden neck and neck with former president Donald Trump and tied with Florida governor Ron DeSantis.

Eric Garcia reports:

CNN poll shows Biden tied with Trump and DeSantis – and losing to Nikki Haley

VOICES: Even Senate Republicans don’t want to impeach Joe Biden. They may not have a choice

Thursday 7 September 2023 18:30 , Ariana Baio

“It would be a mistake to call Republican senators more moderate than their House counterparts, but they do have to be more methodical. Indeed, the Senate killed both of Mr Trump’s impeachments. While the story that George Washington compared the upper chamber to a saucer is likely a bunch of malarkey, it does see itself as more responsible and a means to temper the passions of the often squirrelly House.”

Eric Garcia writes:

Even Republicans don’t want to impeach Biden. They may not have a choice

Most people believe Biden made economy worse

Thursday 7 September 2023 16:00 , Ariana Baio

More than half of US adults believe President Joe Biden’s economic policies have made the economy worse, a new poll from CNN says.

The results, comprised of sampling of 1503 adults, found that 58 per cent believe Mr Biden’s policies have made the economy worse. Only 24 per cent thought he improved the economy while 18 per cent felt there was no significant change.

ICYMI: Pence and DeSantis get surprising poll boost after first GOP debate

Thursday 7 September 2023 13:00 , Ariana Baio

Support for former president Donald Trump among Republican primary voters dipped slightly after the ex-president skipped out on the first debate among GOP presidential hopefuls last week, according to a new poll from Emerson College.

The survey, which was conducted from 25 to 26 August, found just 50 per cent of GOP primary voters expressing an intention to vote for Mr Trump. That’s a six-point drop from a similar Emerson survey conducted before last week’s Milwaukee, Wisconsin debate.

But multiple candidates who participated in the face-off saw gains in the same survey compared with the drop in support for Mr Trump.

Andrew Feinberg reports:

Trump slumps while Pence and DeSantis get poll boost after first GOP debate

Vivek Ramaswamy’s wife dismisses concerns about his popularity with female voters

Thursday 7 September 2023 10:00 , Ariana Baio

Vivek Ramaswamy’s wife has brushed off concerns about her husband’s growing unpopularity among female voters.

In an interview with NewsNation’s Elizabeth Vargas, Apoorva Ramaswamy was pressed on the tech millionaire’s unfavourability ratings among women in polls taken since the first GOP presidential primary debate in Milwaukee on 23 August.

Bevan Hurley reports:

Vivek Ramaswamy’s wife dismisses concerns about his popularity with female voters

President Biden viewed as a more likable person than Trump

Thursday 7 September 2023 07:00 , Ariana Baio

Approximately 48 per cent of voters found President Joe Biden more likable over ex-president Donald Trump, a Wall Street Journal poll found.

Just 31 per cent of responders found Mr Trump more likable than Mr Biden.

Mr Biden, who is seeking a second term against political rival Donald Trump, is also viewed as a more honest person than Mr Trump.

The WSJ survey asked 750 voters their opinion on the two candidates after Mr Trump was indicted for a fourth time.

Next presidential campaign might look a lot like the last one

Thursday 7 September 2023 04:00 , Ariana Baio

The end of Labor Day weekend would typically mark the start of a furious sprint to the Iowa caucuses as candidates battle for their party’s presidential nomination. But as the 2024 campaign comes into greater focus, the usual frenzy is yielding to a sense of inevitability.

Among Republicans, Donald Trump is dominating the primary field, outpacing rivals with resumes as governors, diplomats and entrepreneurs that would normally prove compelling.

The Associated Press contributed to this report

Can Trump be banned from 2024 race? Legal experts divided on 14th amendment arguments

Wednesday 6 September 2023 22:00 , Ariana Baio

As Donald Trump looks increasingly likely to be the 2024 Republican nominee for president, it continues to look more and more plausible that there could be a serious effort to keep him off the ballot entirely.

Following his presidency ending in a bloody battle on Capitol Hill, Mr Trump remains the de facto leader of the Republican Party, at least among its primary voting electorate. Recent polls show the ex-president supported by as many as six in 10 of GOP primary voters nationally, while he also continues to hold commanding leads in early primary and caucus states like Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina.

John Bowden reports:

Can Trump be banned from 2024 race? Legal experts explain 14th amendment arguments

Most Trump supporters not concerned about criminal charges

Wednesday 6 September 2023 18:00 , Ariana Baio

A new poll from CNN and SSRS has found that of Republican / Republican-leaning voters, 52 per cent are not concerned the ex-president’s criminal charges will negatively impact him.

The same poll found that Donald Trump remains a strong frontrunner with 4 in 10 potential voters saying they have “definitely” decided to support him if he is nominated.

Only 44 per cent of voters are concerned about the multitude of charges that Mr Trump is facing.

Trump considering Ramaswamy for VP but says he’s ‘getting controversial’

Wednesday 6 September 2023 15:00 , Ariana Baio

Donald Trump is considering Vivek Ramaswamy as a possible choice for running mate, the former president told a conservative TV host.

Mr Trump was speaking to rightwing talk show host Glenn Beck when he made the comments about the tech entrepreneur and author of Woke Inc.

The ex-president said Mr Ramaswamy, 38, could be a “very good” choice for vice president, but warned him that he may need to pull back on some of his more controversial statements.

Gustaf Kilander reports:

Trump considering Ramaswamy for VP but says he’s ‘getting controversial’

Biden’s approval rating remains low

Wednesday 6 September 2023 12:00 , Ariana Baio

President Joe Biden’s approval rating has remained consistently below 50 per cent since the beginning of the year.

According to FiveThirtyEight, Mr Biden has a 40 per cent approval rating as of 5 September, which is approximately the same range as ex-president Donald Trump’s highest approval rating when he was in office.

Trump could be Republican nominee before voters know if he’ll be convicted

Wednesday 6 September 2023 09:00 , Ariana Baio

Donald Trump may be the Republican nominee for president before voters know if he’ll be convicted in any of the legal cases against him.

The New York Times reports that the former president may have the nomination locked down before the party “knows if he’s a felon”.

Mr Trump’s trial is set to begin on 4 March 2024, by which time five states will already have voted, according to the current schedule. On 5 March, 15 states will vote as part of “Super Tuesday”, including California and Texas, states with many delegates to hand out.

Super Tuesday is likely to reveal if a challenger to Mr Trump will remain an alternative to GOP voters.

Just two weeks after that, Florida, Ohio, and Illinois are set to vote.

Two of those states, Florida and Ohio, are states where the winner is awarded all of the delegates regardless of their level of support.

In the past, winner-take-all primaries have boosted a frontrunner’s road to the nomination, the paper notes. Mr Trump’s trial on the federal level is set to not even close to ending by that time if it sticks to the current schedule.

Trump has raised millions with his mug shot. Legal experts say it could be a big mistake

Wednesday 6 September 2023 06:00 , Ariana Baio

His campaign turned the defining image into a souvenir. It’s unclear who actually owns it.

Alex Woodward reports:

Why Trump could be making a big mistake by fundraising off his mug shot

Straw polls finds younger Republicans prefer DeSantis

Wednesday 6 September 2023 03:00 , Ariana Baio

A straw poll conducted at the Young Republican National Convention in Dallas, Texas earlier this month found that a small margin of respondees prefer Florida governor Ron DeSantis to ex-president Donald Trump.

The convention, hosted by the Young Republican National Federation (YRNF) polled attendees and found 36.6 per cent preferred Mr DeSantis, 35.4 per cent preferred Mr Trump, 9.1 per cent preferred Vivek Ramaswamy and 7.5 per cent preferred Nikki Haley.

Other percentages went to Tim Scott and other GOP candidates.

Support for Trump has grown since March

Wednesday 6 September 2023 00:00 , Ariana Baio

A new CNN poll shows that support for ex-president Donald Trump has grown since March.

Mr Trump went from 40 per cent favorability in March to 52 per cent favorability in August. The +34 jump shows the strength Mr Trump has over Republican voters despite his multitude of indictments.

Meanwhile, support for Mr DeSantis dropped from 35 per cent to 18 per cent.

‘Won’t be a shock’ if Biden drops out of 2024 race, says biographer

Tuesday 5 September 2023 21:00 , Ariana Baio

A man who wrote the book on Joe Biden says he still thinks it is possible that the incumbent president steps aside and lets another Democrat head their party’s ticket in 2024.

Franklin Foer, author of the upcoming book The Last Politician, told NBC’s Meet the Press in an interview this weekend that he believes the president has carefully left open the possibility of changing his mind before the year’s end.

John Bowden reports:

‘Won’t be a shock’ if Biden drops out of 2024 race, says biographer

Most Americans want Trump’s trial to occur before election

Tuesday 5 September 2023 18:00 , Ariana Baio

When asked whether Donald Trump’s 2020 election interference federal trial should occur before the 2024 election, 61 per cent of Americans say “yes”.

An Ipsos / POLITICO survey found that most Americans want to see an outcome in the trial – brought forth by special counsel Jack Smith – before they vote again.

Of the 1,032 respondents, 61 per cent said the trial should place before the election.

Across political lines, that number changes. Only 33 per cent of Republicans feel the same way. Approximately 63 per cent of Independent voters and 89 per cent of Democrats agree.

Most voters think Joe Biden is ‘too old’ for second term

Tuesday 5 September 2023 15:31 , Ariana Baio

A new Wall Street Journal poll found that 73 per cent of voters feel President Joe Biden is “too old” to seek a second term.

Mr Biden, who is 80 years old, is only three years older than ex-president Donald Trump, and yet only 47 per cent of voters say the same about Mr Trump.

WSJ poll finds 59 per cent of voters consider Trump a first choice

Monday 4 September 2023 17:40 , Ariana Baio

A new poll from The Wall Street Journal found that of 600 GOP voters who were surveyed, nearly 60 per cent of them consider Donald Trump to be their first choice.

The poll found that 59 per cent thought of the ex-president as their first choice, despite the numerous indictments Mr Trump is facing in several states and federally.

Interestingly, only seven per cent considered the ex-president a second choice.

31 per cent of Georgia GOP primary voters say Trump charges ‘not serious at all'

Tuesday 29 August 2023 22:00 , Kelly Rissman

The AJC poll also asked the likely GOP primary voters how serious they believed the indictment to be.

In total, 27 per cent said they found the charges “very serious,” 23 per cent said they found them “somewhat serious,” while a whopping 31 per cent found them “not serious at all”.

The former president will have to juggle his 2024 campaign schedule with his court dates in the Georgia case, and also in his two federal cases – one regarding his handling of classified documents found at Mar-a-Lago, and one regarding his alleged efforts to overturn the 2020 election – as well as his New York case over hush money payments made to Stormy Daniels.

Half of Georgia Republicans say Trump is strongest candidate to defeat Biden

Tuesday 29 August 2023 19:00 , Kelly Rissman

Half of Georgia Republicans polled said that Mr Trump is “definitely” the strongest candidate to defeat President Joe Biden in the next election.

This poll comes after Mr Trump was indicted – along with 18 others, including Rudy Giuliani, Sidney Powell, and Mark Meadows – in the Fulton County probe.

Mr Trump faces 13 charges of attempting to overturn the 2020 presidential election in Georgia. Last week, he was formally arrested and had his mug shot taken, making him the first current or former president to ever be captured in a booking photo.

On Monday, former White House chief of staff Mark Meadows took the historic step of testifying in criminal court for the first time about the allegations laid out in the sprawling indictment as he seeks to have the case moved to federal court.

Mr Trump and his co-defendants are scheduled to be arraigned on 6 September.

New poll shows Trump leads GOP rivals in Georgia despite election interference indictment

Tuesday 29 August 2023 16:12 , Kelly Rissman

The latest poll has revealed that former president Donald Trump is still leading his Republican rivals in Georgia – despite being indicted in Fulton County over his efforts to overturn his election loss in the state.

The poll, conducted by the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, asked 807 likely Republican primary voters in the state who they would vote for in the presidential primary.

Mr Trump earned 57 per cent of the vote, while Florida Governor Ron DeSantis trailed behind the former president with 15 per cent.

The next highest share went to undecided voters who made up 14 per cent, while other GOP candidates – including former vice president Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy, Tim Scott, Nikki Haley, Chris Christie, and Francis Suarez – didn’t even break out of the single digits.

According to the AJC, when asking the likely GOP primary voters who they would support in a race between Mr Trump and Mr DeSantis, the former president still held a 33-point lead over the Florida governor.

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New poll shows Trump still leads GOP rivals in Georgia after indictment

Trump slumps while Pence and DeSantis get surprising poll boost after first GOP debate

Tuesday 29 August 2023 13:00 , Andrew Feinberg

Support for former president Donald Trump among Republican primary voters dipped slightly after the ex-president skipped out on the first debate among GOP presidential hopefuls last week, according to a new poll from Emerson College.

The survey, which was conducted from 25 to 26 August, found just 50 per cent of GOP primary voters expressing an intention to vote for Mr Trump. That’s a six-point drop from a similar Emerson survey conducted before last week’s Milwaukee, Wisconsin debate.

But multiple candidates who participated in the face-off saw gains in the same survey compared with the drop in support for Mr Trump.

Ex-Trump administration UN Ambassador Nikki Haley saw a five-point boost in her polling, from 2 per cent to 5 per cent post-debate.

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Trump slumps while Pence and DeSantis get poll boost after first GOP debate

Tuesday 29 August 2023 08:00 , Will Weissert, Emily Swanson, Darlene Superville, AP

Susan Grant, a 66-year-old retired office manager for a nonprofit physician membership association from Westfield, Indiana, said she sees Mr Biden as “very weak” and doesn’t agree with his policies. Mr Trump, meanwhile, is “extremely divisive, and I think that’s bad for our country.”

“There’s this whole thing, in the Bible, ‘A house divided against itself cannot stand,’ and all of the division that has just been promoted and pushed is just damaging to our country,” Ms Grant said. “I’m very conservative with values, with economic things. But, personally, I don’t think Trump’s a very good person.”

Ms Grant described herself as a “hold your nose” Trump voter twice before. If he’s the GOP nominee against Mr Biden, she said, “I probably would do it a third time. But I would not be happy.”

“I’m also wondering if it’s what we need for a third party,” Ms Grant said. “Maybe it’s the push. I don’t know.”

Tuesday 29 August 2023 06:00 , Will Weissert, Emily Swanson, Darlene Superville, AP

For Mr Trump, meanwhile, the top comments among Republicans include the generally positive (15 per cent) along with things like “strong” (11 per cent) and mentions of America or patriotism (8 per cent), along with mentions of the presidency or leadership (6 per cent).

Even some Republicans use negative words to describe Mr Trump, though, including labels such as “loudmouth” or “angry” (7 per cent). Others mentioned arrogance or pompousness (6 per cent), narcissism (5 per cent) or other generally negative comments (6 per cent).

Democrats are more likely than Republicans to cite corruption (25 per cent to 4 per cent) and dishonesty (12 per cent to 4 per cent) to describe Mr Trump. Seven per cent of Democrats mention racism, bigotry, homophobia or misogyny among their top words to describe the former president. Those words were hardly invoked by any Republicans in the poll.

Tuesday 29 August 2023 04:00 , Will Weissert, Emily Swanson, Darlene Superville, AP

Annie Doerr, a 60-year-old retiree from suburban Atlanta who described herself as a moderate Republican, said of Mr Trump, “I thought some of his policies were good for Americans, but he’s just too much of a distraction.”

Ms Doerr had problems with the president, too, comparing him to what she had seen while caring for her 95-year-old father.

“He reminded me a lot of Biden, just things that come out of (Biden’s) mouth,” Ms Doerr said.

“I just don’t think he’s fit to be president for four more years,” she added. ”He may have been when he first ran, but not now.”

The poll also illustrated familiar ideological divides. It found that Republicans are more likely than Democrats to use words like “slow” and “confused” to describe Mr Biden, 25 per cent to 7 per cent, as well as words like “corrupt” and “crooked” (14 per cent to 0 per cent) and “weak” or “unqualified” (9 per cent to 2 per cent).

Tuesday 29 August 2023 02:00 , Will Weissert, Emily Swanson, Darlene Superville, AP

Mr Haith blamed Mr Biden’s economic policies for his cash net worth declining at least about $150,000 and said the president “just needs to retire and get on with it.”

Though he had some kind words for Mr Trump, Mr Haith was also critical of the former president.

“I really like what he did, and I like the decisions that he made,” said Mr Haith, who added that, at first, ”I really liked that gruffness about him.” But those feelings have cooled, he said, in part because Mr Trump has what Mr Haith described as “a typical New York, arrogant attitude.”

“I’m not going to support him anymore,” he said. “I’m done with him.”