Nate Silver's model says North Carolina is a strong favorite to win the NCAA Tournament

Updated
North Carolina Takes Down Notre Dame, Advances to Final Four
North Carolina Takes Down Notre Dame, Advances to Final Four

The Final Four is set.

North Carolina, Oklahoma, Syracuse, and Villanova survived another wacky tournament and will compete for the college basketball championship in Houston.

SEE ALSO: North Carolina races to another Final Four, beats Notre Dame

With just three games to go, North Carolina is the heavy favorite to win it all, according to Nate Silver's model at FiveThirtyEight.com.

Here are the odds for each of the four teams to win the championship based on thousands of simulations of the Final Four:

  1. North Carolina, 38%

  2. Villanova, 28%

  3. Oklahoma, 22%

  4. Syracuse, 11%

Of course, like many of these models, this doesn't mean that Silver is predicting North Carolina to win and it doesn't even mean UNC is likely to win. In fact, there is a 62% chance that the Tar Heels will not win the championship.

SEE MORE: Buy tickets to the Final Four!

One of the things going for North Carolina is that they are deemed to have the easier semifinal matchup, against 10th-seeded Syracuse, and are less likely to be upset in the Final Four.

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