Why Boeing's Stock Could Keep Flying Higher


It's true that Boeing's 787 Dreamliner hasn't been a fan favorite in the media this year, with grounded airplanes, battery problems, and budget overruns. Despite all that, investors are jumping over themselves to get their hands on Boeing stock, sending it up 55% year to date. For those investors who've jumped in already, good news: This company could get even better.

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Yesterday, Boeing rose nearly 4% after a very bullish upgrade from Sterne Agee's analyst Peter Arment. Not only did he reiterate Boeing's "buy" rating, but he also upped the price target from $120 to $164 - a dramatic increase. He based his new target off the many positive catalysts that Boeing has on the runway ahead.

Arment mentioned the company's well-known and enormous $410 billion backlog of orders for revenue stability, as well as its share repurchasing program and improving free cash flows. But there's another very positive factor for Boeing and its many commercial aircraft: its improving production rate.

Today, Boeing announced that it's expanding its manufacturing plant in Helena, Montana by nearly 50% to support growing demand for its Boeing commercial airplanes, namely its 787-10 Dreamliner. It's spending nearly $35 million to add more than 55,000 square feet of manufacturing space to the plant.

"Boeing Helena has a great future ahead in support of unprecedented production rates," said director and site leader Eric Smith in a press release. "This expansion ensures we have the stable workforce, skills and now the manufacturing space we need to support production requirements and take on new production for the 787-10."

The biggest part to emphasize in that quote is the "unprecedented production rates." This is hugely important because the 787 is going to be a massive part of Boeing's profitability going forward. Up until now, it has struggled to produce any profits because of cost overruns and delays. Fortunately for investors, this could change as production ramps up.

Consider that Boeing was producing just two 787s per month at the end of 2011, but is expected to quintuple that to 10 per month by the end of 2013. The 777 model production will also inch upward by an extra plane per month by the end of this year. Boeing also anticipates production of its 737 to increase from today's 38-per-month pace to 42 by the middle of next year.

Even as the production rate for the 737 improves, consider that Boeing's decision to reengine the plane rather than develop an entirely new airplane saved the company more than $15 billion, according to Morningstar.

Information and graphic credit: Boeing's 20-year forecast press release.

Boeing's commercial aircraft account for roughly 60% of its revenues. As production ramps up, economies of scale start making that production more efficient, and the company fills its enormous backlog of orders, margins and free cash flow should continue to improve.

Boeing also increased its 20-year forecast, predicting that global commercial aircraft demand would reach 35,280 new airplanes - valued at $4.8 trillion. As aircraft demand increases over the years ahead, Boeing looks well positioned to take more than its fair share - rewarding investors along the way.

Boeing's not the only big business bouncing back

With the American markets reaching new highs, investors and pundits alike are skeptical about future growth. They shouldn't be. Many global regions are still stuck in neutral, and their resurgence could result in windfall profits for select companies. A recent Motley Fool report, "3 Strong Buys for a Global Economic Recovery," outlines three companies that could take off when the global economy gains steam. Click here to read the full report!

The article Why Boeing's Stock Could Keep Flying Higher originally appeared on Fool.com.

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Originally published