Can Ctrip.com International Meet These Numbers?

Seth Jayson, The Motley Fool
Updated

Ctrip.com International (NAS: CTRP) is expected to report Q1 earnings on May 8. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
 Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Ctrip.com International's revenues will grow 20.4% and EPS will contract -21.4%.

The average estimate for revenue is $174.2 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.22.


Revenue details
 Last quarter, Ctrip.com International tallied revenue of $176.8 million. GAAP reported sales were 20% higher than the prior-year quarter's $146.9 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
 Last quarter, non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.35. GAAP EPS of $0.22 for Q4 were 19% lower than the prior-year quarter's $0.27 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
 For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 74.1%, 160 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 10.9%, much worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 17.5%, 980 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $802.5 million. The average EPS estimate is $1.15.

Investor sentiment
 The stock has a three-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 4,009 members out of 4,178 rating the stock outperform, and 169 members rating it underperform. Among 980 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 942 give Ctrip.com International a green thumbs-up, and 38 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Ctrip.com International is outperform, with an average price target of $20.46.

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The article Can Ctrip.com International Meet These Numbers? originally appeared on Fool.com.

Seth Jayson had no position in any company mentioned here at the time of publication. You can view his stock holdings here. He is co-advisor ofMotley Fool Hidden Gems, which provides new small-cap ideas every month, backed by a real-money portfolio. The Motley Fool recommends Ctrip.com International. The Motley Fool owns shares of Ctrip.com International. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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