CBO Outlook: Low Growth, High Unemployment


The Congressional Budget Office (CBO), a nonpartisan agency that analyzes federal budget proposals each year, today issued its fiscal outlook for fiscal years 2013-2023.

In the short term, while the deficit is projected to shrink to 5.3% of GDP -- the lowest it's been since 2008 -- unemployment is estimated to remain above 7.5% through 2014, according to the CBO. That would make for the longest period of time with such high unemployment in 70 years, according to the CBO.

The CBO sees real GDP growth of just 1.4% this year, as federal expenditures are curbed and certain tax breaks like the Social Security payroll tax cut expire. For comparison, China's GDP grew at 9.3% in 2011, the most recent year for which the World Bank has data. That said, in the coming years the U.S. economic outlook is set to improve, beginning in 2014, when GDP growth in the U.S. is projected to more than double to 3.4%. The CBO sees the labor market taking a bit longer than that to recover, however, taking until the end of 2017 for the unemployment rate to fall to 5.5%. The unemployment rate currently sits at 7.9%.


The article CBO Outlook: Low Growth, High Unemployment originally appeared on Fool.com.

You can the author on Twitter @divinebizkid and on Motley Fool CAPS @TMFDivine.Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.