Has Medtronic Become the Perfect Stock?
Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?
One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if Medtronic fits the bill.
The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:
- Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
- Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that company can turn revenue into profit.
- Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
- Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
- Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
- Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.
With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at Medtronic.
What We Want to See
Pass or Fail?
5-year annual revenue growth > 15%
1-year revenue growth > 12%
Gross margin > 35%
Net margin > 15%
Debt to equity < 50%
Current ratio > 1.3
Return on equity > 15%
Normalized P/E < 20
Current yield > 2%
5-year dividend growth > 10%
7 out of 10
Since we looked at Medtronic last year, the company hung onto its seven-point score for the third year in a row. The stock has also been quite consistent, posting gains of around 15% over the past year.
Medtronic is a giant in the medical-devices industry, with particular specialties in cardiac and cardiovascular devices like pacemakers, valves, and stents. With an aging population, that has been a high-growth industry, even as headwinds like the new excise tax on medical-device sales weighing on Medtronic's future prospects.
One area where Medtronic has focused its efforts is in China. With its September purchase of China Kanghui Holdings, Medtronic boosted its presence in the orthopedic implant market, fighting back against both Johnson & Johnson and Zimmer Holdings . J&J has been able to boost its international medical device business despite adverse currency impacts, with the Asia-Pacific region providing much of the gains, while Zimmer made its own Chinese acquisition in 2010 and now relies on Asia for nearly a fifth of its total revenue.
But one long-term risk involved in Medtronic's business is the threat of drug therapies proving to be more effective than medical devices. With so much of the heart business that Medtronic and rivals St. Jude Medical and Boston Scientific have built up generating billions in revenues, some doctors and other health-care players are asking whether patients really need their devices or whether other treatments are more effective. These issues aren't unique to Medtronic, but they affect it in particular because of its size.
For Medtronic to improve, it needs to keep taking advantage of demographic trends favoring increased demand and use its competitive advantages to beat back competitors. By reducing debt and lifting sales, Medtronic isn't too far away from reaching perfection sometime in the future.
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.
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The article Has Medtronic Become the Perfect Stock? originally appeared on Fool.com.Fool contributor Dan Caplinger has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Johnson & Johnson. The Motley Fool owns shares of Johnson & Johnson, Medtronic, St. Jude Medical, and Zimmer Holdings. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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