Can Navios Maritime Partners Catch a Wave in 2013?

Updated

As 2013 begins, now's a good time to look at the future prospects for the stocks you own. If you don't know where a company's headed in the next year and beyond, then it's impossible to make an informed decision about whether you should add the stock to your portfolio -- or sell it if you already own it.

Today, I'll look at Navios Maritime Partners (NYS: NMM) . The shipping company managed to stay afloat in 2012 in a very tough industry, but it's hoping the long-depressed shipping industry will rebound enough to support its longer-term prospects. Below, you'll learn more about what's in store for Navios Maritime Partners in 2013.

Stats on Navios Maritime Partners

Average Stock Target Price

$15.54

Full-Year 2012 EPS Estimate

$1.22

Full-Year 2013 EPS Estimate

$0.95

Full-Year 2012 Sales Growth Estimate

8.5%

Full-Year 2013 Sales Growth Estimate

(5.4%)

Forward P/E

14.7


Source: Yahoo Finance.

Will Navios Maritime Partners ride higher in 2013?
Analysts put together a mixed picture of Navios Maritime Partners for the coming year. From a fundamental perspective, they expect earnings to keep declining in 2013, with revenue also reversing course from a nice gain in 2012. However, its stock price remains 10% above current levels, and with the stock yielding more than 12% in dividends, those two factors combined could bring shareholders a nice return.

Already in 2013, we've seen some optimism about the dry-bulk shipping industry. Last Friday, DryShips (NAS: DRYS) saw its stock soar 25% in a single day, while Safe Bulkers (NYS: SB) and Navios Maritime Holdings (NYS: NM) posted less extreme but still respectable gains. Yet as Fool contributor Dan Carroll pointed out after the rally, the Baltic Dry Index remains at rock-bottom levels, and at least for now, there are few signs that the world economic recovery that would be necessary to boost shipping companies has started to take place.

For Navios Maritime Partners, the fact that it has managed to get many of its vessels on long-term contracts has been a major contributor to its outperformance in the sector. But five of its contracts will expire and require renegotiation this year, and if the company has to accept much lower prevailing rates, it will weigh on results. The company also faces six contract expirations in early 2014.

Navios has been able to avoid the worst of the downturn in shipping stocks, but it really needs a recovery to take shape soon. Otherwise, the storm that has battered many of its peers may finally come home to roost for it as well.

Sail higher
Beaten-down industries can be great value buys, but many of the biggest gains you'll find come from new companies that are changing the way their industries do business. Let Motley Fool co-founder David Gardner help you tap into the latest profitable trends by joining his Supernova service. For a limited time, we invite you to take a personal tour of Supernova and decide for yourself whether it's right for you. Click here today and get your free look before this opportunity's gone.

Click here to add Navios Maritime Partners to My Watchlist, which can find all of our Foolish analysis on it and all your other stocks.

The article Can Navios Maritime Partners Catch a Wave in 2013? originally appeared on Fool.com.

Fool contributor Dan Caplinger has no position in any stocks mentioned. You can follow him on Twitter @DanCaplinger. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Copyright © 1995 - 2013 The Motley Fool, LLC. All rights reserved. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Advertisement