Why Did My Stock Just Die?
Since there seems to be some grudging agreement between House Speaker John Boehner and President Obama to implement tax hikes on the so-called rich, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was encouraged to once again end yesterday up over 100 points, its second straight day of gains.
Yet the biggest loser on the day was General Electric, which fell more than 1% after it reduced the guidance for its industrials segment. The three companies below, however, did much worse than the Dow or its lagging component, falling by double-digit percentages.
GT Advanced Technologies
Smith & Wesson Holding
Now don't go running over the cliff with them like a bunch of lemmings: It could just be a temporary situation. Let's first see whether they had good reason to fall, as panic-fueled routs can sometimes lead to excellent buying opportunities.
Hitting up the till
Biotech Galena Biopharma is in late-stage studies with its cancer therapy NeuVax, which trains an individual's immune system cells called T-cells to attack and kill those that exhibit the HER2 protein. Drug giant Roche, which licenses Herceptin from PDL Biopharma, has already proved that that particular protein is a site worthy of further investigation, and if Galena is successful in its efforts, investors are looking for it to break in on Roche's blockbuster territory.
Yet yesterday's fall didn't have anything to do with that, but rather with Galena tapping the equity markets with a stock and warrant offering that was priced at $1.60, some 14% below where it had been trading before it made the announcement.
Galena longs are a protective bunch who don't brook no gainsaying the stock. Two weeks ago, when I mentioned that The Street's Adam Feuerstein had cast aspersions on its ability to make it through the FDA gauntlet, they took to the comments section to attack the short thesis. I noted then that Galena may be cherry-picking the data as Feuerstein suggests, or it could be following where the science leads. That hasn't changed since then, but the offering also offers two possibilities: Management figures it better raise money while it can because things may go awry, or it's getting ready to fund the next stage of the course it set.
I know where certain Galena investors stand, now where do the others? Let me know in the comments section below.
Cloudy days ahead
A week or so ago, solar polysilicon equipment maker GT Advanced Technologies bounced higher after Jinko Solar announced it got a $1 billion handout from the Chinese government. I predicted the gains wouldn't stick, as the news had nothing to do with the equipment maker even if there would be some sort of trickle-down effect for polysi demand. And that came through yesterday after GT gave up dour guidance for the fourth quarter and next year.
It said it expects to lose as much as $0.10 per share next quarter, well below analyst forecasts of a $0.17-per-share profit, giving it full-year profits of $0.77 to $0.82 per share. Next year, though, things were going to get really bad, as it anticipated making at most $0.44 a share, but it could be even worse with just a quarter per share in profits.
I'd also said that Trina Solar would likely make the return trip, but thus far it's still pushed higher, rising 17% over the past five trading days. I still don't expect those gains to hold.
Gun makers in their sights
Last, the fallout from the tragedy in Connecticut last week continues to weigh on gun maker Smith & Wesson, which has seen its stock lose 30% of its value since it hit a 52-week high a week ago. Sturm, Ruger lost almost 8% yesterday.
Gun control legislation is on everyone's lips, whether for or against, and though momentum would seem to have shifted in favor of stricter laws, that's not so certain, and President Obama has only come out saying he'd support a reinstatement of the so-called assault weapons ban. That might not impact as many gun buyers as other forms of gun control, but with Dick's Sporting Goods pulling gun sales from its stores for the time being and Cerebus Capital Management saying it's booting Freedom Group -- the maker of Remington and Bushmaster guns -- from its portfolio, expect gun stocks to be depressed for some time.
Ready for a resurrection
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The article Why Did My Stock Just Die? originally appeared on Fool.com.Rich Duprey owns shares of General Electric Company. The Motley Fool owns shares of Dick's Sporting Goods, General Electric Company, and Sturm, Ruger & Company. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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