Has Achillion Pharmaceuticals Become the Perfect Stock?
Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?
One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if Achillion Pharmaceuticals (NAS: ACHN) fits the bill.
The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:
- Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
- Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that a company can turn revenue into profit.
- Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
- Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
- Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
- Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.
With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at Achillion Pharmaceuticals.
What We Want to See
Pass or Fail?
5-Year Annual Revenue Growth > 15%
1-Year Revenue Growth > 12%
Gross Margin > 35%
Net Margin > 15%
Debt to Equity < 50%
Current Ratio > 1.3
Return on Equity > 15%
Normalized P/E < 20
Current Yield > 2%
5-Year Dividend Growth > 10%
4 out of 8
Since we looked at Achillion Pharmaceuticals last year, the company has kept its four-point score. The shares have gone on a roller-coaster ride, with a 20% gain over the past year masking much bigger temporary jumps in the stock.
Achillion has had a tumultuous year, due mostly to its developmental drugs in the red-hot hepatitis C drug industry. Early in the year, Achillion soared when Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYS: BMY) paid a huge premium to buy fellow hep-C researcher Inhibitex on the heels of Gilead Sciences' (NAS: GILD) much larger purchase of Pharmasset.
Yet, in April, Achillion got bad news: its ACH-1625 drug, while showing strong efficacy in phase 2 clinical data, took longer than rival Gilead's GS-7977. Although Achillion followed that up with strong phase 1b data for another drug, ACH-2684, many investors feared that the company would miss out on the gold rush toward better hep-C treatments, as both Gilead and Abbott Labs (NYS: ABT) have multiple drugs ready for phase 3 trials.
A couple of months ago, Achillion showed solid gains when Bristol-Myers and Idenix Pharmaceuticals (NAS: IDIX) ran into safety issues, with a Bristol drug being completely discontinued, while Idenix had two trials halted indefinitely. But, again, Achillion has largely given up those gains since, as Gilead has such a substantial lead in bringing products to market that Achillion may never be able to catch up.
For Achillion to improve, it needs to keep working on its trials and, hopefully, get more positive results. In the end, a buyout may be Achillion's best chance to reach a perfect result for investors, but it could still be a long way off.
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.
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The article Has Achillion Pharmaceuticals Become the Perfect Stock? originally appeared on Fool.com.Fool contributor Dan Caplinger has no positions in the stocks mentioned above. The Motley Fool has no positions in the stocks mentioned above. Motley Fool newsletter services recommend Gilead Sciences. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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