1-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Dunkin' Brands?

Updated

Based on the aggregated intelligence of 180,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, coffee shop operator Dunkin' Brands Group (Nasdaq: DNKN) has received the dreaded one-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Dunkin's business and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Dunkinfacts

Headquarters (founded)

Canton, Mass. (2004)

Market Cap

$3.6 billion

Industry

Restaurants

Trailing-12-Month Revenue

$656.8 million

Management

CEO Nigel Travis (since January 2009)
CFO Paul Carbone (since June 2012)

Trailing-12-Month Return on Equity

11.6%

Cash/Debt

$218.7 million / $1.5 billion

Dividend Yield

2.0%

Competitors

McDonald's
Starbucks
Yum! Brands


Sources: S&P Capital IQ and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 40% of the 247 members who have rated Dunkin' believe the stock will underperform the S&P 500 going forward.

Just yesterday, one of those bears, TMFHarleyQuinn, showed skepticism over management's business strategy:

Though the company has great expansion plans and many exciting news announcements, there is an underlying and fundamental issue with its structure as an "Asset - Light" business . The company has almost $2B in debt, backed by an overinflated valuation of its Trade Name. Though this is a company that makes its money through franchise and licensing agreements, hence lending to the idea of an asset-light strategy, backing up a substantial amount of debt with an Intangible Asset (Trade Names, etc.) is a very risky move. I will be curious to see what happens in the next 2-3 years with all of the expansions, but I think that in the end the company will have to come up with a new strategy, which could create investor-averse conditions.

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The article 1-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Dunkin' Brands? originally appeared on Fool.com.

Fool contributorBrian Pacamparaowns no position in any of the companies mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of McDonald's and Starbucks.Motley Fool newsletter serviceshave recommended buying shares of McDonald's and Starbucks, as well as writing covered calls on Starbucks. Try any of our Foolish newsletter servicesfree for 30 days.We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe thatconsidering a diverse range of insightsmakes us better investors. The Fool'sdisclosure policyalways gets a perfect score.

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