Stock buybacks are generally considered a bullish signal on Wall Street. They return capital to shareholders while declaring management's belief that its own cheap shares are its best return on investment. As long as profits remain consistent, share repurchases can even increase earnings per share by dividing the same amount of earnings among a smaller pool of shares outstanding.
But don't forget: A company isn't obligated to repurchase shares just because it announced its intention to do so. So don't use the announcement alone as a reason to buy; rather use it as a launching pad for additional research.
More, more, more!
Despite beating analyst expectations last quarter, semiconductor chip maker Marvell Technology (NAS: MRVL) continues to see its shares beaten down. With growing cellphone usage in China and better prospects for the hard-drive market now that Thailand has dried out from the flooding that submerged the industry, even analysts are predicting better days ahead.
Yet the markets aren't so sure. Shares have fallen about 15% in the last month and are down nearly 30% from their highs. Could it be that the profit picture that's weighing down Western Digital (NYS: WDC) and Seagate Technology (NYS: STX) is still impacting Marvell? Analysts don't see them commanding the same margins they did immediately following the floods -- and with the 2012 Pacific typhoon season just ramping up, perhaps there are some concerns of history repeating itself.
If that's the case, then Marvell will be getting a good deal for the $500 million it added to its stock repurchase plan. Its mobile and wireless division grew 14% last quarter, and analysts see both China Mobile and China Unicomduking it out for a growing crop of 3G users. Its storage unit was up 20%.
Certainly the CAPS community sees the potential for Marvell to rebound smartly, as 95% of the 1,400-plus members who have rated it expect it to outperform the market indexes. Add Marvell's stock to your watchlist and let us know in the comments section below or on the Marvell Technology CAPS page if it can continue to chip away at the doubts and ascend to new heights.
Delivering the goods
A confluence of trends will push drug distribution specialist McKesson (NYS: MCK) in the years to come. There are nearly 40 million Americans aged 65 and older -- a number that's expected to grow to more than 72 million by 2030, according to the Health and Human Services Department. At the same time, the use of generic drugs has soared from 19% of all prescription drugs dispensed in 1984 to 78% in 2010. Similarly, FDA approval of specialty pharma drugs has doubled since 2008.
McKesson is the leading drug distributor among a triumvirate of companies that controls 90% of the market and includes rivals AmerisourceBergen and Cardinal Health (NYS: CAH) . As the largest of the three with a $20.6 billion market cap and revenues of $122.7 billion, it is best able to capitalize on the merger of demographics and industry dynamics.
Last quarter, distribution revenues jumped 10% as it added on new customers and made acquisitions. Margins are tight in this business -- McKesson sports operating margins of just 2.3% -- but that's well ahead of the 1.7% and 1.9% displayed by Amerisource and Cardinal, respectively, and the move toward generics will let it pad that lead a little more.
That could be why management has no problem accelerating its buyback program and adding another $700 million on top of what's remaining, even though shares have appreciated more than 12% this year. Although its technology solutions slipped slightly in the latest quarter, it's expecting growth next year to be in line with the 4% achieved for its fiscal 2012 year, particularly as medical IT regulations gain traction, and it's one of the reasons CAPS member KeithSpeights puts McKesson ahead: "Among many reasons, McKesson is solid in the area of payment bundling technology. Payment bundling will be a major factor for health care organizations within the next few years."
You can add your opinion in the comments section below, then add McKesson to the Fool's free portfolio tracker to see how well it maximizes its heft as the market turns in its favor.
Waste not, want not
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At the time thisarticle was published Fool contributor Rich Duprey owns shares of Seagate Technology, but he holds no other position in any company mentioned. Click here to see his holdings and a short bio. The Motley Fool owns shares of Western Digital and China Mobile.Motley Fool newsletter serviceshave recommended buying shares of McKesson. The Motley Fool has adisclosure policy. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe thatconsidering a diverse range of insightsmakes us better investors. Try any of our Foolish newsletter servicesfree for 30 days.
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