Why MicroStrategy Shares Popped
Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.
What: Shares of business intelligence software provider MicroStrategy (NAS: MSTR) jumped nearly 13% earlier today after it reported its first-quarter earnings results.
So what: Talk about a confusing earnings report. For the quarter, MicroStrategy reported that sales jumped 19% to $145.1 million as license revenue increased by a brisk 37%. But expenses also increased 20%, which led to a profit of just $0.02, down significantly from the $0.10 reported last year. Revenue of $145.1 million leaped past Wall Street's expectation of $141.3 million, but fell $0.02 shy of the consensus EPS figure. The kicker: MicroStrategy does not supply guidance in its earnings reports or hold conference calls afterward to further discuss its results.
Now what: This looks like more of the same from MicroStrategy: Basically, license revenue is up, but expenses are again outpacing total revenue growth. I really do want to believe that MicroStrategy has a successful platform, but at 97 times trailing-12-month earnings and 33 times forward earnings, it's making that very difficult. Considering that MicroStrategy has missed Wall Street's expectations in three of the past four quarters, I would either temper my expectations for growth with this stock, or somehow convince MicroStrategy's management team that it may want to provide guidance going forward. For now, I'm avoiding this stock.
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