Is Denison Mines the Perfect Stock?
Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?
One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if Denison Mines (ASE: DNN) fits the bill.
The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:
- Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
- Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that company can turn revenue into profit.
- Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
- Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
- Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
- Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.
With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at Denison Mines.
What We Want to See
Pass or Fail?
|Growth||5-Year Annual Revenue Growth > 15%||60.8%||Pass|
|1-Year Revenue Growth > 12%||(24.6%)||Fail|
|Margins||Gross Margin > 35%||(6.6%)||Fail|
|Net Margin > 15%||(73.2%)||Fail|
|Balance Sheet||Debt to Equity < 50%||0%||Pass|
|Current Ratio > 1.3||9.28||Pass|
|Opportunities||Return on Equity > 15%||(15.3%)||Fail|
|Valuation||Normalized P/E < 20||NM||NM|
|Dividends||Current Yield > 2%||0%||Fail|
|5-Year Dividend Growth > 10%||0%||Fail|
|Total Score||3 out of 9|
Source: S&P Capital IQ. NM = not meaningful due to negative earnings. Total score = number of passes.
With only three points, Denison Mines hasn't hit the mother lode on our scale. The miner finds itself in a now-questioned industry, but the ongoing demand for nuclear power should help its stock recover in time.
Historically, Denison Mines has explored for and mined uranium in the U.S. and Canada. In addition to uranium properties in the desert Southwest and the Canadian province of Saskatchewan, Denison also has interests in properties in Africa and Asia.
Uranium was a fast-growing commodity until last year's Japanese nuclear reactor accident following the earthquake and tsunami that hit the island nation. Since then, uranium prices have plunged, and NRG Energy's (NYS: NRG) decision last year to give up on its South Texas Nuclear Development Project seemed to start a trend away from nuclear power, hurting potential uranium demand.
The companies that produce uranium have seen their stocks follow suit. Industry giant Cameco (NYS: CCJ) had contracts in place before the disaster to sell some of its supplies, which helped cushion the blow somewhat. But smaller players Uranium Energy (ASE: UEC) and Uranerz Energy (ASE: URZ) are suffering particularly hard in light of Germany's decision to phase out nuclear energy entirely in the next decade.
More recently, news that the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission approved a new nuclear reactor for the first time in three decades has renewed hope for uranium. But, as long as natural gas prices remain low, the incentives to move to nuclear power don't seem to outweigh the risks involved.
That may be why Denison sold its U.S. assets to Energy Fuels earlier this month. The sale has many looking for a takeover of the company, which could be the best outcome for what has thus far failed to become a perfect stock.
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.
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At the time this article was published Fool contributor Dan Caplinger doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool has a disclosure policy.