Shoe Carnival Beats Expectations But Takes A Step Back Anyway

Seth Jayson, The Motley Fool
Updated

Shoe Carnival (NAS: SCVL) reported earnings on April 12. Here are the numbers you need to know.

The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended Jan. 28 (Q4), Shoe Carnival met expectations on revenues and beat expectations on earnings per share.

Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue improved slightly, while GAAP earnings per share dropped significantly.


Margins dropped across the board.

Revenue details
Shoe Carnival notched revenue of $181.9 million. The six analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ hoped for a top line of $180.9 million on the same basis. GAAP reported sales were 1.1% higher than the prior-year quarter's $179.9 million.

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Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.24. The five earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ anticipated $0.21 per share on the same basis. GAAP EPS of $0.28 for Q4 were 15% lower than the prior-year quarter's $0.33 per share.

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Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Margin details
For the quarter, gross margin was 28.3%, 170 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 2.6%, 60 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 1.8%, 60 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead
Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $221.3 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.76.

Next year's average estimate for revenue is $846.9 million. The average EPS estimate is $2.20.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a two-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 75 members rating the stock outperform and 14 members rating it underperform. Among 21 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 18 give Shoe Carnival a green thumbs-up, and three give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Shoe Carnival is buy, with an average price target of $28.25.

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At the time thisarticle was published Seth Jayson had no position in any company mentioned here at the time of publication. You can view his stock holdings here. He is co-advisor ofMotley Fool Hidden Gems, which provides new small-cap ideas every month, backed by a real-money portfolio. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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