Has Zimmer Holdings Become the Perfect Stock?

Updated

Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?

One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if Zimmer Holdings (NYS: ZMH) fits the bill.

The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:

  • Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.

  • Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that company can turn revenue into profit.

  • Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.

  • Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.

  • Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.

  • Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.

With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at Zimmer Holdings.

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Growth

5-Year Annual Revenue Growth > 15%

5.0%

Fail

1-Year Revenue Growth > 12%

5.5%

Fail

Margins

Gross Margin > 35%

74.8%

Pass

Net Margin > 15%

17.1%

Pass

Balance Sheet

Debt to Equity < 50%

31.2%

Pass

Current Ratio > 1.3

3.78

Pass

Opportunities

Return on Equity > 15%

13.5%

Fail

Valuation

Normalized P/E < 20

17.59

Pass

Dividends

Current Yield > 2%

1.2%

Fail

5-Year Dividend Growth > 10%

NM

NM

Total Score

5 out of 9

Source: S&P Capital IQ. NM = not meaningful; Zimmer announced its first dividend in December 2011. Total score = number of passes.

Since we looked at Zimmer Holdings last year, the medical equipment maker has seen its score rise by a point. Improved net margins are a promising sign for the future.

Zimmer makes products for hip and knee reconstruction, with recent market-share figures putting it slightly ahead of Johnson & Johnson (NYS: JNJ) and Stryker (NYS: SYK) . With access to an aging population as well as one whose exercise practices can lead to joint problems, Zimmer is undoubtedly in a growth market.

But recently, the company has seen some major headwinds. Health-care insurers and government agencies are trying to cut back on reimbursement payouts, while a slow economy has led many people to put off procedures that aren't absolutely critical.

Moreover, high-technology competition is coming up from below. MAKO Surgical (NAS: MAKO) has seen sales of its RIO orthopedic procedure equipment jump strongly in recent quarters. As MAKO and Intuitive Surgical (NAS: ISRG) have increased their penetration into different surgical procedures, patients and doctors are getting more comfortable with the systems. Their success will eventually threaten lower-tech solutions like Zimmer's, forcing Zimmer to take steps to innovate itself.

Zimmer's recent adoption of a dividend payout is a move in the right direction. But what will really make the difference for Zimmer is the potential growth from a recovering economy. If it can beat back its competitors, Zimmer could get a lot closer to perfection in the years ahead.

Keep searching
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.

Zimmer Holdings may not be a perfect stock, but we've got some ideas you may like better. Let me invite you to learn about three smart long-term stock plays in the Fool's latest special report. It's yours for the taking and is absolutely free, but don't miss out -- click here and read it today.

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At the time thisarticle was published Fool contributor Dan Caplinger doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of Johnson & Johnson, MAKO Surgical, and Zimmer Holdings. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Intuitive Surgical, Johnson & Johnson, MAKO Surgical, and Stryker, as well as creating a diagonal call position in Johnson & Johnson. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

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