Is Tea the New Coffee?
Hot tea was iced down as recent IPO Teavana (NYS: TEA) posted its quarterly report on Friday.
The fast-growing chain selling loose-leaf teas and artisanal tea-making gear posted strong numbers, but it disappointed investors holding out for more in its guidance for the seasonally potent holiday quarter. The end result is that Teavana has the sorry distinction of being one of the few stocks to post double-digit percentage declines during the most bullish weekly Wall Street run in years.
Teavana's quarter was tight. Net sales climbed 35% to $33.4 million. Brisk expansion and an 8.5% spike in comps helped fuel the 196-unit chain's top-line growth. Net income tripled to $0.02 a share.
Unfortunately, the company's outlook for all of fiscal 2011 calls for a profit of $0.43 a share to $0.45 a share on $162 million to $166 million in net sales. Analysts were slurping away at the high end of those ranges, and that's apparently not good enough for a fresh stock with a lofty valuation.
There's clearly a market for premium hot beverages. Where would Starbucks (NAS: SBUX) and Keurig parent Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (NAS: GMCR) be if folks were settling cheap bean brews in stale pots?
If tea can get the same kind of makeover as java, Teavana will be ahead of the curve with its aromatic stores stocking more than 100 varieties of high-end teas.
Before Teavana's summertime IPO, there really wasn't a pure tea play on the market. Celestial Seasonings parent Hain Celestial (NAS: HAIN) and Lipton's Unilever (NYS: UL) aren't constructed as companies where teas move the needle. Starbucks has Tazo, of course. Keurig machines whip up a mean single serving of tea. However, if the same upscale relaxation trend that continues to drive yoga outfitter lululemon athletica (NAS: LULU) is for real, how can Teavana not bounce back?
I'll make this interesting. As part of our CAPScall initiative for accountability, I'm initiating a bullish call for Teavana on Motley Fool CAPS. I like my timing. The stock closed below its $17 IPO price on Friday for the first time in its brief publicly traded life.
The opportunity to get in at a better price than this summer's first public investors is too tempting to ignore.
At the time this article was published The Motley Fool owns shares of lululemon athletica and Starbucks.Motley Fool newsletter serviceshave recommended buying shares of Unilever, lululemon athletica, Starbucks, and Green Mountain Coffee Roasters.Motley Fool newsletter serviceshave also recommended creating a lurking gator position in Green Mountain Coffee Roasters. Try any of our Foolish newsletter servicesfree for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe thatconsidering a diverse range of insightsmakes us better investors. The Motley Fool has adisclosure policy.Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz calls them as he sees them. He does not own shares in any of the stocks in this story, except for Green Mountain. Rick is also part of theRule Breakersnewsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early.
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