ConAgra's Dividend X-ray
Not all dividends are created equal. Here, we'll do a top-to-bottom analysis of a given company to understand the quality of its dividend and how that's changed over the past five years.
The company we're looking at today is ConAgra (NYS: CAG) , which yields 4%.
ConAgra is a food company with brands like Chef Boyardee, Hunt's Ketchup, and others. Conagra had been trying to acquire Ralcorp (NYS: RAH) but dropped its bid in September when Ralcorp bought Sara Lee's (NYS: SLE) refrigerated dough business. Now that the bid's been dropped, Conagra has returned to its core business and a focus on private-label brands to fend off tough competition from Heinz (NYS: HNZ) and Campbell Soup (NYS: CPB) .
To evaluate the quality of a dividend, the first thing to consider is whether the company has paid a dividend consistently over the past five years, and, if so, how much has it grown.
ConAgra's dividend has been steadily rising since 2007.
To understand how safe a dividend is, we use three crucial tools, the first of which is:
- The interest coverage ratio, or the number of times interest is earned, which is calculated by earnings before interest and taxes, divided by interest expense. The interest coverage ratio measures a company's ability to pay the interest on its debt. A ratio less than 1.5 is questionable; a number less than 1 means the company is not bringing in enough money to cover its interest expenses.
ConAgra covers every dollar in interest expense with nearly $7 in operating earnings.
The other tools we use to evaluate the safety of a dividend are:
- The EPS payout ratio, or dividends per share divided by earnings per share. The EPS payout ratio measures the percentage of earnings that go toward paying the dividend. A ratio greater than 80% is worrisome.
- The FCF payout ratio, or dividends per share divided by free cash flow per share. Earnings alone don't always paint a complete picture of a business's health. The FCF payout ratio measures the percent of free cash flow devoted toward paying the dividend. Again, a ratio greater than 80% could be a red flag.
Source: S&P Capital IQ.
ConAgra's free cash flow payout ratio has been volatile; however, it has stabilized to near 50% the past two years. The company's earnings payout ratio has been more stable and also near 50%.
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