Does Medtronic Pass Buffett's Test?
We'd all like to invest like the legendary Warren Buffett, turning thousands into millions or more. Buffett analyzes companies by calculating return on invested capital (ROIC) to help determine whether a company has an economic moat -- the ability to earn returns on its money above that money's cost.
ROIC is perhaps the most important metric in value investing. By determining a company's ROIC, you can see how well it's using the cash you entrust to it and whether it's actually creating value for you. Simply, ROIC divides a company's operating profit by how much investment it took to get that profit. The formula:
ROIC = Net operating profit after taxes / Invested capital
You can get further detail on the nuances of the formula.
This one-size-fits-all calculation cuts out many of the legal accounting tricks, such as excessive debt, that managers use to boost earnings numbers, and it provides you with an apples-to-apples way to evaluate businesses, even across industries. The higher the ROIC, the more efficiently the company uses capital.
Ultimately, we're looking for companies that can invest their money at rates that are higher than the cost of capital, which for most businesses is between 8% and 12%. We prefer to see ROIC above 12% at a minimum, along with a history of increasing returns, or at least steady returns, which indicate some durability to the company's economic moat.
Let's look at Medtronic (NYS: MDT) and three of its industry peers, to see how efficiently they use cash. Here are the ROIC figures for each company over a few periods.
1 Year Ago
3 Years Ago
5 Years Ago
|Boston Scientific (NYS: BSX)||4.2%||4%*||4.2%*||5.1%|
|St. Jude Medical (NYS: STJ)||15.4%||17.4%||17%||13.4%|
|Stryker (NYS: SYK)||20.2%||25.6%||25.8%||23.4%|
Source: S&P Capital IQ.
*Because BSX did not report an effective tax rate, we used its 26% effective rate from TTM.
Medtronic's returns on invested capital have declined consistently and dramatically from five years ago. Two of the other companies have also seen declines over the same time period, but their declines weren't as severe. Only St. Jude Medical's returns have grown from five years ago, but they are currently lower than they were last year.
Businesses with consistently high ROIC show that they're efficiently using capital. They also have the ability to treat shareholders well, because they can then use their extra cash to pay out dividends to us, buy back shares, or further invest in their franchise. And healthy and growing dividends are something that Warren Buffett has long loved.
So for more successful investments, dig a little deeper than the earnings headlines to find the company's ROIC. If you'd like, you can add these companies to your Watchlist.
- Add Stryker to My Watchlist.
- Add St. Jude Medical to My Watchlist.
- Add Medtronic to My Watchlist.
- Add Boston Scientific to My Watchlist.
At the time this article was published Jim Royal, Ph.D., owns no shares of any company mentioned here. The Motley Fool owns shares of St. Jude Medical and Medtronic.Motley Fool newsletter serviceshave recommended buying shares of Stryker. Try any of our Foolish newsletter servicesfree for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe thatconsidering a diverse range of insightsmakes us better investors. The Motley Fool has adisclosure policy.
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