Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.
What: Shares of retailer Sears Holdings (NAS: SHLD) have been rallying since the get-go, up as much as 11% at one point today despite no company-specific news.
So what: Retail sales at Sears have been weaker than many of its peers, so it's not a shock that Sears Holdings boasts a very large number of short-sellers. As of Sept. 15, according to The Wall Street Journal, 47% of Sears' float was currently held by short-sellers, making it quite possible that today's rally is being fueled by increased short covering.
Now what: I'd be taking today's move higher with a grain of salt because short-covering rallies often have short-term price effects on a stock. After rebounding more than $20 off its 52-week lows, Sears is valued at roughly 90% of its book value. Then again, the company is forecasting losses at least through 2012 and has been losing ground to Home Depot (NYS: HD) , Wal-Mart (NYS: WMT) , and Lowe's (NYS: LOW) . What many perceive as a value could actually be a value trap, and I'm inclined to stay far away from Sears.
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At the time thisarticle was published Fool contributorSean Williamshas no material interest in any companies mentioned in this article. You can follow him on CAPS under the screen nameTMFUltraLongand on Twitter@TMFUltraLong. The Motley Fool owns shares of Wal-Mart.Motley Fool newsletter serviceshave recommended buying shares of Wal-Mart, Lowe's, and Home Depot, as well as creating a diagonal call position on Wal-Mart and writing covered calls on Lowe's. Try any of our Foolish newsletter servicesfree for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has adisclosure policy.
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