In Search of a Massive Dividend: Wal-Mart
Dividends are a hot topic for many investors right now. The turmoil of the financial meltdown is still fresh, and the tangibility of a quarterly cash payout hits the spot like a cool glass of lemonade on a midsummer day in the desert.
Not surprisingly, investors have been drawn to companies that feature massive dividend yields. And why not? If you're going to go for dividends, why not go big?
But the catch is that many -- if not most -- of the companies with huge dividend yields get those yields by paying out nearly all, if not all, of their income through those dividends. Take U.S. electric utility Progress Energy (NYS: PGN) for instance. Over the past 12 months, the company has paid out 86% of its income in dividends and over the past three years has paid out an average of 88% of earnings.
By focusing on the dividend yield alone, investors can end up overlooking the bigger picture. A dividend-paying company with a high payout ratio may have a tougher time maintaining its payout if it hits a speed bump. It may also have little capital left behind to reinvest in the business and might be forced to load up on debt or sell new shares if it wants to grow. Or it may simply be admitting that its growthy days are in the past.
A laser-focus on dividend yields also means that investors may not be comparing potential investments on an apples-to-apples basis.
At first glance, Wal-Mart's (NYS: WMT) 2.8% payout may not look very generous next to Progress' heftier 4.9% dividend, but over the past 12 months Wal-Mart has paid out a mere 28% of its income in the form of dividends. But what would happen if Wal-Mart was more like Progress and paid out 90% of its income? That 2.8% yield suddenly jumps to a fatter 8.1%.
We certainly don't want to completely jump the gun here. Wal-Mart has to spend plenty of money to keep up its stores and stay competitive with tough foes such as Target (NYS: TGT) and Costco (NAS: COST) . And with its business in the U.S. not at the top of its game, Wal-Mart probably doesn't want to be too quick to jettison all of its cash. However, as it is, the company spends a ton of money on share buybacks -- which I'm not a big fan of. Shifting that buyback spending alone could triple its dividend and bring income investors swarming like bees to honey.
Now it may seem like on odd comparison to stack Wal-Mart's theoretical 8.1% payout against Progress' actual 4.9% yield. But this is meant as a thought exercise and a reminder that a dividend yield is only part of the story. Many really great companies have the earnings power to pay truly massive dividends but simply choose to either reinvest some of their earnings for future growth, buy back shares, or hang on to some extra cash. That doesn't mean that you should consistently pass up big dividends for smaller ones, but it does mean that you may miss out on some really great companies if the one and only stop in your research is to ogle a stock's yield.
At the time this article was published The Motley Fool owns shares of Wal-Mart Stores and Costco Wholesale.Motley Fool newsletter serviceshave recommended buying shares of Costco Wholesale and Wal-Mart Stores and creating a diagonal call position in Wal-Mart Stores. Try any of our Foolish newsletter servicesfree for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe thatconsidering a diverse range of insightsmakes us better investors.Fool contributorMatt Koppenhefferowns shares of Wal-Mart and Target but has nofinancial interest in any of the other companies mentioned. You can check out what Matt is keeping an eye on by visiting hisCAPS portfolio, or you can follow Matt on Twitter, where he goes by@KoppTheFool, or onFacebook. The Fool'sdisclosure policyprefers dividends over a sharp stick in the eye.
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