Does Frontier Communications Have High-Quality Earnings?
Frontier Communications (NYS: FTR) reported $162 million in net income over the past four quarters. But how good are those earnings, really? Apparent profits on the income statement won't always tell you the whole story. Instead of looking just at the reported numbers, you need to find companies with authentic earnings power. So how do the earnings at Frontier Communications look?
It's earnings that count
In his book It's Earnings That Count, Hewitt Heiserman explains how to determine the quality of a company's profits. First, he points out four key limitations of the traditional income statement:
- Fixed capital investments are not fully expensed but rather depreciated over time.
- Investments in working capital are left off the income statement.
- Intangible growth-generating expenditures (such as advertising) are immediately expensed, even though they pay off over time.
- Retained earnings that are reinvested back in the business are not treated as an expense.
To compensate for these defects, Heiserman suggests that investors recalculate the income statement, creating both a defensive income statement and an enterprising statement. If a company can achieve profits on both statements, then that business has authentic earnings power. And that, Heiserman explains, can lead to safer and more profitable investments.
The defensive income statement
The defensive statement shows whether a company can self-fund and generate more cash from its operations than it uses. It looks like a regular statement, but it corrects for the first two limitations Heiserman pointed out. First, it expenses all capital investments in the year they're incurred. Second, it treats a company's investments in working capital as if they were expenses. This statement is stringent to provide the most conservative look into the company's operations.
The enterprising income statement
The enterprising statement reveals whether the business can create value and turn shareholder money into even greater profit over time. It corrects for the second two of Heiserman's limitations. First, it treats R&D and advertising costs as capital assets, depreciating them over their useful lives. Second, it treats equity capital held on the balance sheet as an expense.
Here are the statements for Frontier and a few peers over the past few years, divided into enterprising and defensive profits, respectively. We're looking for solidly profitable numbers that grow over time, in order to show authentic earnings power.
|Frontier Communications||($0.97), ($0.53)||$0.02, ($0.19)||($0.20), ($0.14)||($0.22), ($0.29)|
|Windstream (NAS: WIN)||($0.46), $0.13||($0.07), $0.02||$0.30, $0.33||$0.22, $0.15|
|CenturyLink (NYS: CTL)||($1.50), $1.29||($2.61), $0.22||($2.07), $1.19||($1.21), $0.43|
|AT&T (NYS: T)||($0.64), ($0.45)||($1.64), ($1.10)||($3.92), ($3.54)||($1.52), ($1.54)|
Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's.
With the exception of its enterprising earnings in 2009, Frontier has had consistently negative enterprising and defensive earnings since 2007. AT&T has also failed to produce positive earnings in these categories over the same period. CenturyLink and Windstream, on the other hand, have consistently offered us positive defensive earnings.
The earnings power chart
For an illustrative depiction of a company's earnings power, Heiserman recommends graphing the earnings from the defensive and enterprising statements, plotting enterprising profits along the horizontal axis and defensive along the vertical. I've done this for Frontier Communications.
Ideally, you want to see the company generating both earnings figures in the upper right quadrant. A staircase of escalating earnings toward the upper right over time would be even better. That pattern would show that the company is consistently generating value and self-funding, two great signs of a winning company. As the chart demonstrates, Frontier Communications has offered consistently low enterprising and defensive profits. While defensive earnings moved up from 2006 to 2008, the company appears to be moving in the wrong direction since 2009.
Foolish bottom line
The enterprising and defensive statements can provide you some key insights into a company's earnings power and quality. Just because a company doesn't make it into the upper right quadrant, that doesn't mean it can't be a good investment. But if it isn't at least moving toward the upper right, you'll want to dig in deeper to find out why. To keep an eye on these companies, add them to your Watchlist:
- Add Frontier Communications to My Watchlist.
- Add Windstream to My Watchlist.
- Add AT&T to My Watchlist.
- Add CenturyLink to My Watchlist.
At the time this article was published Jim Royal, Ph.D., owns shares of Frontier.Motley Fool newsletter serviceshave recommended buying shares of AT&T. Try any of our Foolish newsletter servicesfree for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe thatconsidering a diverse range of insightsmakes us better investors. The Motley Fool has adisclosure policy.
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