Worthless predictions about the economy


Every year at this time, economists and financial analysts are jockeying for position on television news shows and in magazine articles. They each have the latest and greatest prediction about what's going to happen in the coming year. And those stories sell, which is why you keep hearing them.

But economists are often wrong more than they're right. Take the forecasts about the housing market. A year ago, many respected analysts were predicting that the recovery of the real estate market would begin in 2007. They were wrong, as the housing market made history with its declines. From housing strength to home building, the economists' predictions were wrong.

Why do you care? Consumers hear this information and many times use it to make major financial decisions for their families. If so many economists are certain that housing is going to rebound in the next year, some people are bound to believe them.

Originally published