Tropical Storm Otto may form in last gasp of Atlantic hurricane season

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By Alex Sosnowski for AccuWeather.com

A cluster of showers and thunderstorms in the western Caribbean has the potential to become the next named tropical system of the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season.

The showers and thunderstorms in the area may begin to spin slowly later this week.

Once this spin becomes fully circular, a tropical depression will be born. Once sustained winds reach 39 mph, the threshold for a tropical storm will be reached and the system would be named.

The next name on the list of tropical storms and hurricane is Otto.


This live loop is focused on the southwestern Atlantic basin. The area of potential tropical development is over the western Caribbean. (NOAA/Satellite)

RELATED: Tropical Storm Hermine hits Florida, US

21 PHOTOS
Tropical Storm Hermine hits Florida, US
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Tropical Storm Hermine hits Florida, US
UNITED STATES - SEPTEMBER 1: In this NOAA handout image, taken by the GOES satellite at 1315 UTC shows Tropical Storm Hermine gathering strength in the Gulf of Mexico just west of Florida on September 1, 2016. According to NOAA's National Hurricane Center, Tropical Storm Hermine is located about 195 miles south-southwest of Apalachicola, Florida and is heading north-northeast at a speed of approximately 12 miles per hour. Hurricane warnings have been issued for parts of Florida's Gulf Coast as Hermine is expected to make landfall as a Category 1 hurricane. (Photo by NOAA via Getty Images)
HOLMES BEACH, FL - SEPTEMBER 1: Residents of the Sandpiper Resort survey the rising water coming from the Gulf of Mexico into their neighborhood as winds and storm surge associated with Tropical Storm Hermine impact the area on September 1, 2016 at in Holmes Beach, Florida. Hurricane warnings have been issued for parts of Florida's Gulf Coast as Hermine is expected to make landfall as a Category 1 hurricane (Photo by Brian Blanco/Getty Images)
HOLMES BEACH, FL - SEPTEMBER 1: Charlie and Brenda Miller watch an update on the weather as they monitor the seawall outside their home at the Sandpiper Resort as rising water comes from the Gulf of Mexico into their front yard as winds and storm surge associated with Tropical Storm Hermine impact the area on September 1, 2016 at in Holmes Beach, Florida. Hurricane warnings have been issued for parts of Florida's Gulf Coast as Hermine is expected to make landfall as a Category 1 hurricane (Photo by Brian Blanco/Getty Images)
HOLMES BEACH, FL - SEPTEMBER 1: Doug LeFever inspects the seawall near his home at the Sandpiper Resort as he surveys the rising water coming from the Gulf of Mexico into his neighborhood as winds and storm surge associated with Tropical Storm Hermine impact the area on September 1, 2016 at in Holmes Beach, Florida. Hurricane warnings have been issued for parts of Florida's Gulf Coast as Hermine is expected to make landfall as a Category 1 hurricane(Photo by Brian Blanco/Getty Images)
Ground water begins to flood some low areas as Tropical Storm Hermine heads inland Thursday, Sept. 1, 2016, in Dekle Beach, Fla. A hurricane warning was in effect for Florida's Big Bend from the Suwannee River to Mexico Beach. (AP Photo/John Raoux)
Ground water begins to flood some low lying areas as Tropical Storm Hermine heads inland Thursday, Sept. 1, 2016, in Dekle Beach, Fla. A hurricane warning was in effect for Florida's Big Bend from the Suwannee River to Mexico Beach.(AP Photo/John Raoux)
Spyridon Aibejeris helps his neighbors pull out a trailer off their property along the Gulf of Mexico in advance of Tropical Storm Hermine Thursday, Sept. 1, 2016, in Keaton Beach, Fla. Hermine strengthened into a hurricane Thursday and steamed toward Florida's Gulf Coast, where people put up shutters, nailed plywood across store windows and braced for the first hurricane to hit the state in over a decade. (AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)
ATLANTIC CITY, NJ - SEPTEMBER 4: High winds from tropical storm Hermine make their way north and effects can be seen as waves crash into shore on September 4, 2016 in Atlantic City, New Jersey. Hermine made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane but has weakened back to a tropical storm. (Photo by Jessica Kourkounis/Getty Images)
ATLANTIC CITY, NJ - SEPTEMBER 4: High winds from tropical storm Hermine make their way north and effects can be seen as waves crash into shore on September 4, 2016 in Atlantic City, New Jersey. Hermine made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane but has weakened back to a tropical storm. (Photo by Jessica Kourkounis/Getty Images)
CEDAR KEY, FL - SEPTEMBER 2: Peter Stafani, owner of the Cedar Cove resort, surveys damage to what had been the bar area of his property left behind by the winds and storm surge associated with Hurricane Hermine which made landfall overnight in the area on September 2, 2016 in Cedar Key, Florida. Hermine made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane but has weakened back to a tropical storm. (Photo by Brian Blanco/Getty Images)
CEDAR KEY, FL - SEPTEMBER 2: Photographs and books sit on what is left of the saltwater-soaked drywall inside the bar office area of the Cedar Cove resort after being damaged by the winds and storm surge associated with Hurricane Hermine which made landfall overnight in the area on September 2, 2016 in Cedar Key, Florida. Hermine made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane but has weakened back to a tropical storm. (Photo by Brian Blanco/Getty Images)
CEDAR KEY, FL - SEPTEMBER 2: Saltwater-soaked books are left to dry in the sun in the parking lot of the Cedar Cove resort after being damaged by the winds and storm surge associated with Hurricane Hermine which made landfall overnight in the area on September 2, 2016 in Cedar Key, Florida. Hermine made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane but has weakened back to a tropical storm. (Photo by Brian Blanco/Getty Images)
ALLIGATOR POINT, FL - SEPTEMBER 02: Residents look at Alligator Point road that collapsed during the storm surge from Hurricane Hermine at Alligator Point, Florida on September 2, 2016. Hermine made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane but has weakened back to a tropical storm. (Photo by Mark Wallheiser/Getty Images)
PANACEA, FL - SEPTEMBER 02: Maddie Mitchell, 8 years old, walks around her grandfather's pool as a houseboat sits on top of a dock carried there by the storm surge from Hurricane Hermine on September 2, 2016 in Panacea, Florida. Hermine made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane but has weakened back to a tropical storm. (Photo by Mark Wallheiser/Getty Images)
ST MARKS, FL - SEPTEMBER 2: Law enforcement officers use an airboat to survey damage around homes from high winds and storm surge associated with Hurricane Hermine which made landfall overnight in the area on September 2, 2016 in St. Marks, Florida. Hermine made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane but has weakened back to a tropical storm. (Photo by Brian Blanco/Getty Images)
ST MARKS, FL - SEPTEMBER 2: A resident surveys damage around his home from high winds and storm surge associated with Hurricane Hermine which made landfall overnight in the area on September 2, 2016 in St. Marks, Florida. Hermine made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane but has weakened back to a tropical storm. (Photo by Brian Blanco/Getty Images)
ST MARKS, FL - SEPTEMBER 2: A resident points back to his home as he speaks with law enforcement officers using an airboat to survey damage around homes from high winds and storm surge associated with Hurricane Hermine which made landfall overnight in the area on September 2, 2016 in St. Marks, Florida. Hermine made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane but has weakened back to a tropical storm. (Photo by Brian Blanco/Getty Images)
ST MARKS, FL - SEPTEMBER 2: Homes sit in several feet of water left behind by the storm surge associated with Hurricane Hermine which made landfall overnight in the area on September 2, 2016 in St. Marks, Florida. Hermine made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane but has weakened back to a tropical storm. (Photo by Brian Blanco/Getty Images)
ST MARKS, FL - SEPTEMBER 2: A resident surveys damage around his home from high winds and storm surge associated with Hurricane Hermine which made landfall overnight in the area on September 2, 2016 in St. Marks, Florida. Hermine made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane but has weakened back to a tropical storm. (Photo by Brian Blanco/Getty Images)
SHELL POINT BEACH, FL - SEPTEMBER 02: A recreational boat is off its mooring after Hurricane Hermaine came ashore on September 2, 2016 in Shell Point Beach, Florida. Hermine made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane but has weakened back to a tropical storm. (Photo by Mark Wallheiser/Getty Images)
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The Caribbean is likely the most favorable area over the Atlantic basin for development over the next seven to 10 days.

"Strong wind shear that has been present over the Caribbean in recent weeks is diminishing and waters are sufficiently warm to sustain a tropical system," according to AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski.

Wind shear is the change in the movement of air at different levels of the atmosphere. Strong wind shear can prevent a tropical system from developing or cause an established tropical system to weaken.

Warm water is needed to allow showers and thunderstorms to blossom.

"Steering winds will likely cause the system to drift northeastward for a time during this weekend into early next week," Kottlowski said.

Interests in the western and central Caribbean from Jamaica to eastern Cuba, Haiti, the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico may want to monitor the development of the system.

The odds are against the system to become as strong as Hurricane Matthew was. However, conditions could allow the system to become a strong tropical storm or hurricane.

The greatest threats from such a system would be from flash flooding, mudslides and rough seas.

More from AccuWeather.com:
AccuWeather Hurricane Center
How GOES-R will help to revolutionize weather forecasting
6 ways to prepare now for hurricanes

Recovery from Matthew has been slow in Haiti, where it was the strongest hurricane to hit in more than 50 years.

Related: Learn more about life in Haiti after Hurricane Matthew:

28 PHOTOS
Heartbreaking photos of Haiti recovering from Hurricane Matthew
See Gallery
Heartbreaking photos of Haiti recovering from Hurricane Matthew

The port city of Les Cayes flooded, suffering badly in the storm.

(Photo via REUTERS/Andres Martinez Casares)

A flooded river in Jérémie. Rising water has prompted fears of a surge in the cholera epidemic.

Source: The Guardian

(Photo via REUTERS/Carlos Garcia Rawlins)

Many homes in Jérémie were heavily damaged.

(Photo via REUTERS/Carlos Garcia Rawlins)

In Port-au-Prince, a street or a waste yard?

(Photo via REUTERS/Carlos Garcia Rawlins)

Some homes are on the verge of collapse. Shelter is a huge concern.

(Photo via REUTERS/Carlos Garcia Rawlins)

Sifting through the damage. 

(Photo via REUTERS/Andres Martinez Casares)

People carrying their belongings through flooded streets.

(Photo via REUTERS/Carlos Garcia Rawlins)

Water levels kept rising in some areas.

(AP Photo/Dieu Nalio Chery)

Displaced residents taking a mattress to a shelter.

(AP Photo/Dieu Nalio Chery)

Citizens take part in a gathering while Hurricane Matthew passes in Port-au-Prince.

(Photo via REUTERS/Carlos Garcia Rawlins)

Looking after children is one of the biggest concerns here.

(Photo via REUTERS/Carlos Garcia Rawlins)

A girl cries with her relatives at a heavily damaged school.

(Photo via REUTERS/Carlos Garcia Rawlins)

An injured man at the hospital after Hurricane Matthew passed Jérémie.

(Photo via REUTERS/Carlos Garcia Rawlins)

Rescue workers bury the dead.

(Photo via REUTERS/Carlos Garcia Rawlins)

A girl lugs buckets of drinking water in the aftermath of Hurricane Matthew in Les Cayes.

(AP Photo/Dieu Nalio Chery)

An injured woman breast-feeds her baby at a shelter.

Source: The Guardian

(Photo via REUTERS/Carlos Garcia Rawlins)

People repair their homes in Les Cayes.

Source: Associated Press

(AP Photo/Dieu Nalio Chery)

Homes are gone, but life goes on.

(Photo via REUTERS/Carlos Garcia Rawlins)

A relative cries in the funeral of Anne Dit Trozitha Zamore, who died during Hurricane Matthew, in Chantal, Haiti, October 8, 2016. REUTERS/Andres Martinez Casares
A relative cries before the funeral of Anne Dit Trozitha Zamore, who died during Hurricane Matthew, in Chantal, Haiti, October 8, 2016. REUTERS/Andres Martinez Casares
Aerial view of damages in small village of Casanette near Baumond, Haiti on October 8, 2016 after Hurricane Matthew passed the area. The full scale of the devastation in hurricane-hit rural Haiti became clear as the death toll surged over 400, three days after Hurricane Matthew leveled huge swaths of the country's south. / AFP / Nicolas GARCIA (Photo credit should read NICOLAS GARCIA/AFP/Getty Images)
Florida governor Rick Scott (C) visits a damaged beach in St Augustine, Florida, on October 8, 2016, after Hurricane Matthew passed the area. Hurricane Matthew weakened to a Category 1 storm Saturday as it neared the end of a four-day rampage that left a trail of death and destruction across the Caribbean and up the US Atlantic coast. The full scale of the devastation in hurricane-hit rural Haiti became clear as the death toll surged past 400, three days after Hurricane Matthew leveled huge swaths of the country's south. / AFP / Jewel SAMAD (Photo credit should read JEWEL SAMAD/AFP/Getty Images)
A man leans on a damaged boardwalk at a debris covered beach in St Augustine, Florida, on October 8, 2016, after Hurricane Matthew passed the area. Hurricane Matthew weakened to a Category 1 storm Saturday as it neared the end of a four-day rampage that left a trail of death and destruction across the Caribbean and up the US Atlantic coast. The full scale of the devastation in hurricane-hit rural Haiti became clear as the death toll surged past 400, three days after Hurricane Matthew leveled huge swaths of the country's south. / AFP / Jewel SAMAD (Photo credit should read JEWEL SAMAD/AFP/Getty Images)
A man leans on a leftover of a boardwalk in a debris covered beach in St Augustine, Florida, on October 8, 2016, after Hurricane Matthew passed the area. Hurricane Matthew weakened to a Category 1 storm Saturday as it neared the end of a four-day rampage that left a trail of death and destruction across the Caribbean and up the US Atlantic coast. The full scale of the devastation in hurricane-hit rural Haiti became clear as the death toll surged past 400, three days after Hurricane Matthew leveled huge swaths of the country's south. / AFP / Jewel SAMAD (Photo credit should read JEWEL SAMAD/AFP/Getty Images)
Relatives get ready for the funeral of Anne Dit Trozitha Zamore, who died during Hurricane Matthew, in Chantal, Haiti, October 8, 2016. REUTERS/Andres Martinez Casares
A woman tries to get food at a shelter in the school Liliane Mars Dumarsais Estime after Hurricane Matthew in Les Cayes, Haiti, October 7, 2016. REUTERS/Andres Martinez Casares TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY
Relatives cry in the funeral of Anne Dit Trozitha Zamore, who died during Hurricane Matthew, in Chantal, Haiti, October 8, 2016. REUTERS/Andres Martinez Casares
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Matthew struck southwestern Haiti as a Category 4 hurricane on Oct. 4, prior to peaking as a Category 5. The hurricane killed hundreds of people in Haiti.

Haiti is especially vulnerable to heavy rainfall. Much of the nation has been deforested. Even less of protective canopy of trees remains in the wake of Matthew. Forests tend to reduce the speed of runoff during heavy rain events.

"Beyond early next week, the tropical system may be forced southward later in the month," Kottlowski said.

If that occurs, then the system will not be a threat to the United States or Bermuda but may remain a problem for land areas surrounding the Caribbean.

Related: Also see the devastation caused by Hurricane Matthew:

26 PHOTOS
Aerial photos show North Carolina flooding from Hurricane Matthew
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Aerial photos show North Carolina flooding from Hurricane Matthew
A group of people are seen walking through flood waters after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
An aerial view shows a neighborhood that was flooded after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY
A swift water rescue team is seen making its way through a flooded area after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
A tractor trailer is seen in flood waters after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
Fuel tanks are seen after flood waters rose due to Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
A boat is seen carrying residents from a flooded area after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
A man walks through flood waters after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY
An aerial view shows a neighborhood that was flooded after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
A boat is seen in the flood waters after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
Homes are seen underwater after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
An aerial view of a neighborhood that was flooded after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
A home is seen under water after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
A national guard vehicle is seen driving through a flooded street after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
A car drives through flood waters along interstate 95 after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
An aerial view shows flood waters after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
An aerial view of the flood after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
People are seen walking on an elevated path as flood waters surround them after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
An aerial view of a neighborhood that was flooded after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
An aerial view shows flood waters after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
An aerial view of the flood after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
An aerial view of the flood after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
A swift water rescue team is seen making its way through a flooded area after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
A swift water rescue team is seen making its way through a flooded area after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
An areal view shows a neighborhood that was flooded after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
An aerial view of a neighborhood that was flooded after Hurricane Matthew in Lumberton, North Carolina October 10, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Keane
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